Banksy’s confirmed output through mid-2026 underpins the 84% market-implied odds for another mural or street piece by year-end. The artist authenticated a new statue in London’s Waterloo Place in early May 2026 and delivered multiple London murals in late 2025, continuing a pattern of irregular but recurring public interventions. Traders view this cadence, combined with Banksy’s Instagram confirmations and history of holiday-timed drops, as strong signals that additional work remains likely before December 31. Upcoming cultural events or political developments could accelerate timing, though the secretive nature of his practice leaves room for unexpected gaps.