Canada's population fell by roughly 102,000 people in 2025—the first annual decline on record—driven by sharp net outflows of non-permanent residents after federal caps on international students and temporary workers took effect. Government projections and the 2026-2028 Immigration Levels Plan point to continued stabilization, with permanent resident admissions held at 380,000 and temporary resident targets lowered further to bring their share below 5 percent of the total population. This combination is expected to produce flat or near-zero net growth in 2026, implying a smaller decline than the prior year. Trader pricing remains closely balanced because any acceleration in economic-driven emigration, unexpected policy reversals, or shifts in birth and death rates could alter the final annual figure before year-end resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于是
最新
最新
2027-04-30
是
最新
最新
2027-04-30
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the decrease in the population of Canada from the 4th quarter of 2025 and the 4th quarter of 2026 is greater than that of any year on record. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be the quarterly population estimates release for the 4th quarter of 2026 from StatCan (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start).
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on the most recent data from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced population estimate report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to population estimate report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.Canada's population fell by roughly 102,000 people in 2025—the first annual decline on record—driven by sharp net outflows of non-permanent residents after federal caps on international students and temporary workers took effect. Government projections and the 2026-2028 Immigration Levels Plan point to continued stabilization, with permanent resident admissions held at 380,000 and temporary resident targets lowered further to bring their share below 5 percent of the total population. This combination is expected to produce flat or near-zero net growth in 2026, implying a smaller decline than the prior year. Trader pricing remains closely balanced because any acceleration in economic-driven emigration, unexpected policy reversals, or shifts in birth and death rates could alter the final annual figure before year-end resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the decrease in the population of Canada from the 4th quarter of 2025 and the 4th quarter of 2026 is greater than that of any year on record. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be the quarterly population estimates release for the 4th quarter of 2026 from StatCan (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start).
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on the most recent data from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced population estimate report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to population estimate report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be the quarterly population estimates release for the 4th quarter of 2026 from StatCan (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start).
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on the most recent data from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced population estimate report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to population estimate report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Jan 29, 2026, 3:45 PM ET
交易量
$1,512结束日期
2027-04-30市场开放时间
Jan 29, 2026, 3:45 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the decrease in the population of Canada from the 4th quarter of 2025 and the 4th quarter of 2026 is greater than that of any year on record. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be the quarterly population estimates release for the 4th quarter of 2026 from StatCan (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start).
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on the most recent data from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced population estimate report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to population estimate report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.Canada's population fell by roughly 102,000 people in 2025—the first annual decline on record—driven by sharp net outflows of non-permanent residents after federal caps on international students and temporary workers took effect. Government projections and the 2026-2028 Immigration Levels Plan point to continued stabilization, with permanent resident admissions held at 380,000 and temporary resident targets lowered further to bring their share below 5 percent of the total population. This combination is expected to produce flat or near-zero net growth in 2026, implying a smaller decline than the prior year. Trader pricing remains closely balanced because any acceleration in economic-driven emigration, unexpected policy reversals, or shifts in birth and death rates could alter the final annual figure before year-end resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the decrease in the population of Canada from the 4th quarter of 2025 and the 4th quarter of 2026 is greater than that of any year on record. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be the quarterly population estimates release for the 4th quarter of 2026 from StatCan (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start).
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on the most recent data from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced population estimate report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to population estimate report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be the quarterly population estimates release for the 4th quarter of 2026 from StatCan (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start).
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on the most recent data from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced population estimate report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to population estimate report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$1,512结束日期
2027-04-30市场开放时间
Jan 29, 2026, 3:45 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Canada's population fell by roughly 102,000 people in 2025—the first annual decline on record—driven by sharp net outflows of non-permanent residents after federal caps on international students and temporary workers took effect. Government projections and the 2026-2028 Immigration Levels Plan point to continued stabilization, with permanent resident admissions held at 380,000 and temporary resident targets lowered further to bring their share below 5 percent of the total population. This combination is expected to produce flat or near-zero net growth in 2026, implying a smaller decline than the prior year. Trader pricing remains closely balanced because any acceleration in economic-driven emigration, unexpected policy reversals, or shifts in birth and death rates could alter the final annual figure before year-end resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题