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icon for 锁骨会在2026年亲吻西墙吗?

锁骨会在2026年亲吻西墙吗?

icon for 锁骨会在2026年亲吻西墙吗?

锁骨会在2026年亲吻西墙吗?

28% 概率
Polymarket
最新

28% 概率
Polymarket
最新
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Clavicular, otherwise known as Braden Peters, is photographed or videotaped making direct contact between his lips and the Western Wall in Jerusalem, between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only unambiguous physical contact between his lips and the stones of the wall itself will qualify. Gestures such as blowing a kiss, kissing his hand, or kissing an object placed against the wall will not suffice. The resolution source for this market will be photographic or videographic evidence verified by a consensus of credible reporting.Clavicular (Braden Eric Peters), a prominent looksmaxxing streamer with a large online following, arrived in Israel in early July 2026 for what appears to be his first visit, including time in Tel Aviv under reported security arrangements. The 52.5% Yes probability reflects trader uncertainty over whether he will perform the specific act of kissing the Western Wall by year-end, despite his presence in the country and visible engagement with local networks. Recent clips and reactions from other creators highlight the trip's visibility but provide no confirmation of the gesture occurring. Competitive balance stems from the short resolution window remaining in 2026, his variable public persona, and potential schedule or personal factors that could prompt or deter participation during this or any follow-up travel. Developments such as verified footage from the site, official statements from Clavicular, or extended time in Jerusalem could shift consensus in either direction.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Clavicular, otherwise known as Braden Peters, is photographed or videotaped making direct contact between his lips and the Western Wall in Jerusalem, between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Only unambiguous physical contact between his lips and the stones of the wall itself will qualify. Gestures such as blowing a kiss, kissing his hand, or kissing an object placed against the wall will not suffice.

The resolution source for this market will be photographic or videographic evidence verified by a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$378
结束日期
2026-12-31
市场开放时间
Jul 9, 2026, 8:46 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Clavicular, otherwise known as Braden Peters, is photographed or videotaped making direct contact between his lips and the Western Wall in Jerusalem, between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only unambiguous physical contact between his lips and the stones of the wall itself will qualify. Gestures such as blowing a kiss, kissing his hand, or kissing an object placed against the wall will not suffice. The resolution source for this market will be photographic or videographic evidence verified by a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Clavicular, otherwise known as Braden Peters, is photographed or videotaped making direct contact between his lips and the Western Wall in Jerusalem, between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only unambiguous physical contact between his lips and the stones of the wall itself will qualify. Gestures such as blowing a kiss, kissing his hand, or kissing an object placed against the wall will not suffice. The resolution source for this market will be photographic or videographic evidence verified by a consensus of credible reporting.Clavicular (Braden Eric Peters), a prominent looksmaxxing streamer with a large online following, arrived in Israel in early July 2026 for what appears to be his first visit, including time in Tel Aviv under reported security arrangements. The 52.5% Yes probability reflects trader uncertainty over whether he will perform the specific act of kissing the Western Wall by year-end, despite his presence in the country and visible engagement with local networks. Recent clips and reactions from other creators highlight the trip's visibility but provide no confirmation of the gesture occurring. Competitive balance stems from the short resolution window remaining in 2026, his variable public persona, and potential schedule or personal factors that could prompt or deter participation during this or any follow-up travel. Developments such as verified footage from the site, official statements from Clavicular, or extended time in Jerusalem could shift consensus in either direction.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Clavicular, otherwise known as Braden Peters, is photographed or videotaped making direct contact between his lips and the Western Wall in Jerusalem, between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Only unambiguous physical contact between his lips and the stones of the wall itself will qualify. Gestures such as blowing a kiss, kissing his hand, or kissing an object placed against the wall will not suffice.

The resolution source for this market will be photographic or videographic evidence verified by a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$378
结束日期
2026-12-31
市场开放时间
Jul 9, 2026, 8:46 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Clavicular, otherwise known as Braden Peters, is photographed or videotaped making direct contact between his lips and the Western Wall in Jerusalem, between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only unambiguous physical contact between his lips and the stones of the wall itself will qualify. Gestures such as blowing a kiss, kissing his hand, or kissing an object placed against the wall will not suffice. The resolution source for this market will be photographic or videographic evidence verified by a consensus of credible reporting.

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"锁骨会在2026年亲吻西墙吗?"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 2 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"锁骨会在2026年亲吻哭墙吗?",概率为 28%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 28¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 28%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

"锁骨会在2026年亲吻西墙吗?"是 Polymarket 上新创建的市场,于Jul 9, 2026上线。作为一个新市场,这是你率先设定赔率并建立初始价格信号的机会。你也可以将本页加入书签,以便跟踪交易量和活动。

要在"锁骨会在2026年亲吻西墙吗?"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 2 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"锁骨会在2026年亲吻西墙吗?"的当前领先者是"锁骨会在2026年亲吻哭墙吗?",概率为 28%,意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 28%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"锁骨会在2026年亲吻西墙吗?"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。