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icon for 夏令时将在2026年在美国永久化吗?

夏令时将在2026年在美国永久化吗?

icon for 夏令时将在2026年在美国永久化吗?

夏令时将在2026年在美国永久化吗?

46% 概率
Polymarket
最新

46% 概率
Polymarket
最新
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a law with the effect of making Daylight Saving Time the permanent, year-round time across the United States, is enacted into law by December 31, 2026 at 11:59PM. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". The existence of any carve-outs or exceptions shall not be relevant for purposes of this market. The primary resolution source is Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/3633) and other official information from the government of the United States, however other credible reporting may be used.The House's recent passage of the Sunshine Protection Act on July 14, 2026, with strong bipartisan support, has lifted expectations for ending seasonal clock changes, yet the measure's path through the Senate remains uncertain with limited legislative calendar time left this year. President Trump's public endorsement and prior unanimous Senate approval of a similar bill in 2022 provide momentum, but procedural holds, airline industry concerns over scheduling disruptions, and debates over permanent daylight versus standard time create friction. Traders see a narrow edge for "No" because full enactment and 2026 implementation would require rapid Senate action and presidential signature amid competing priorities. Key upcoming catalysts include Senate floor scheduling, any state opt-out provisions, and health or economic impact assessments that could shift consensus before year-end deadlines.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a law with the effect of making Daylight Saving Time the permanent, year-round time across the United States, is enacted into law by December 31, 2026 at 11:59PM. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".

The existence of any carve-outs or exceptions shall not be relevant for purposes of this market.

The primary resolution source is Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/3633) and other official information from the government of the United States, however other credible reporting may be used.
交易量
$0
结束日期
2026-12-31
市场开放时间
Jul 15, 2026, 3:28 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a law with the effect of making Daylight Saving Time the permanent, year-round time across the United States, is enacted into law by December 31, 2026 at 11:59PM. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". The existence of any carve-outs or exceptions shall not be relevant for purposes of this market. The primary resolution source is Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/3633) and other official information from the government of the United States, however other credible reporting may be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a law with the effect of making Daylight Saving Time the permanent, year-round time across the United States, is enacted into law by December 31, 2026 at 11:59PM. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". The existence of any carve-outs or exceptions shall not be relevant for purposes of this market. The primary resolution source is Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/3633) and other official information from the government of the United States, however other credible reporting may be used.The House's recent passage of the Sunshine Protection Act on July 14, 2026, with strong bipartisan support, has lifted expectations for ending seasonal clock changes, yet the measure's path through the Senate remains uncertain with limited legislative calendar time left this year. President Trump's public endorsement and prior unanimous Senate approval of a similar bill in 2022 provide momentum, but procedural holds, airline industry concerns over scheduling disruptions, and debates over permanent daylight versus standard time create friction. Traders see a narrow edge for "No" because full enactment and 2026 implementation would require rapid Senate action and presidential signature amid competing priorities. Key upcoming catalysts include Senate floor scheduling, any state opt-out provisions, and health or economic impact assessments that could shift consensus before year-end deadlines.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a law with the effect of making Daylight Saving Time the permanent, year-round time across the United States, is enacted into law by December 31, 2026 at 11:59PM. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".

The existence of any carve-outs or exceptions shall not be relevant for purposes of this market.

The primary resolution source is Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/3633) and other official information from the government of the United States, however other credible reporting may be used.
交易量
$0
结束日期
2026-12-31
市场开放时间
Jul 15, 2026, 3:28 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a law with the effect of making Daylight Saving Time the permanent, year-round time across the United States, is enacted into law by December 31, 2026 at 11:59PM. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". The existence of any carve-outs or exceptions shall not be relevant for purposes of this market. The primary resolution source is Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/3633) and other official information from the government of the United States, however other credible reporting may be used.

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"夏令时将在2026年在美国永久化吗?"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 2 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"2026年美国会永久实行夏令时吗?",概率为 46%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 46¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 46%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

"夏令时将在2026年在美国永久化吗?"是 Polymarket 上新创建的市场,于Jul 15, 2026上线。作为一个新市场,这是你率先设定赔率并建立初始价格信号的机会。你也可以将本页加入书签,以便跟踪交易量和活动。

要在"夏令时将在2026年在美国永久化吗?"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 2 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"夏令时将在2026年在美国永久化吗?"的当前领先者是"2026年美国会永久实行夏令时吗?",概率为 46%,意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 46%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"夏令时将在2026年在美国永久化吗?"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。