GameStop's unsolicited May 2026 bid to acquire eBay for $55.5 billion at $125 per share in a 50/50 cash-stock mix was promptly rejected by eBay's board as neither credible nor attractive, establishing the core driver behind the 91.5% market-implied probability of no deal. The video game retailer's roughly $12 billion market capitalization and need for substantial third-party financing contrast sharply with eBay's scale, while GameStop's subsequent increase in its eBay stake to nearly 10% has produced no material progress toward regulatory approvals or shareholder support by mid-August. Strong trader consensus reflects these structural barriers and the absence of new catalysts. A reversal would require eBay's board to reconsider amid pressure or GameStop to secure binding commitments and financing on accelerated timelines.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于是
9% 概率
$2,760,088 交易量
$2,760,088 交易量
2026-12-31
是
9% 概率
$2,760,088 交易量
$2,760,088 交易量
2026-12-31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that eBay will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with GameStop, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Mergers or acquisitions involving eBay or its parent company, eBay Inc., and GameStop or its parent company (if applicable), will qualify.
An announcement by eBay or GameStop within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether or when the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs.
Announcements of partial sales may count, as long as GameStop acquires a controlling interest in eBay. A “controlling interest” refers to a change in ownership sufficient to control the company’s strategic decisions (typically more than 50% of equity, or equivalent control via voting and governance rights). Transactions or investments that do not result in a transfer of controlling interest will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from eBay and GameStop; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.GameStop's unsolicited May 2026 bid to acquire eBay for $55.5 billion at $125 per share in a 50/50 cash-stock mix was promptly rejected by eBay's board as neither credible nor attractive, establishing the core driver behind the 91.5% market-implied probability of no deal. The video game retailer's roughly $12 billion market capitalization and need for substantial third-party financing contrast sharply with eBay's scale, while GameStop's subsequent increase in its eBay stake to nearly 10% has produced no material progress toward regulatory approvals or shareholder support by mid-August. Strong trader consensus reflects these structural barriers and the absence of new catalysts. A reversal would require eBay's board to reconsider amid pressure or GameStop to secure binding commitments and financing on accelerated timelines.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that eBay will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with GameStop, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Mergers or acquisitions involving eBay or its parent company, eBay Inc., and GameStop or its parent company (if applicable), will qualify.
An announcement by eBay or GameStop within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether or when the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs.
Announcements of partial sales may count, as long as GameStop acquires a controlling interest in eBay. A “controlling interest” refers to a change in ownership sufficient to control the company’s strategic decisions (typically more than 50% of equity, or equivalent control via voting and governance rights). Transactions or investments that do not result in a transfer of controlling interest will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from eBay and GameStop; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mergers or acquisitions involving eBay or its parent company, eBay Inc., and GameStop or its parent company (if applicable), will qualify.
An announcement by eBay or GameStop within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether or when the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs.
Announcements of partial sales may count, as long as GameStop acquires a controlling interest in eBay. A “controlling interest” refers to a change in ownership sufficient to control the company’s strategic decisions (typically more than 50% of equity, or equivalent control via voting and governance rights). Transactions or investments that do not result in a transfer of controlling interest will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from eBay and GameStop; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： May 4, 2026, 9:39 AM ET
交易量
$2,760,088结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
May 4, 2026, 9:39 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that eBay will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with GameStop, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Mergers or acquisitions involving eBay or its parent company, eBay Inc., and GameStop or its parent company (if applicable), will qualify.
An announcement by eBay or GameStop within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether or when the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs.
Announcements of partial sales may count, as long as GameStop acquires a controlling interest in eBay. A “controlling interest” refers to a change in ownership sufficient to control the company’s strategic decisions (typically more than 50% of equity, or equivalent control via voting and governance rights). Transactions or investments that do not result in a transfer of controlling interest will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from eBay and GameStop; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.GameStop's unsolicited May 2026 bid to acquire eBay for $55.5 billion at $125 per share in a 50/50 cash-stock mix was promptly rejected by eBay's board as neither credible nor attractive, establishing the core driver behind the 91.5% market-implied probability of no deal. The video game retailer's roughly $12 billion market capitalization and need for substantial third-party financing contrast sharply with eBay's scale, while GameStop's subsequent increase in its eBay stake to nearly 10% has produced no material progress toward regulatory approvals or shareholder support by mid-August. Strong trader consensus reflects these structural barriers and the absence of new catalysts. A reversal would require eBay's board to reconsider amid pressure or GameStop to secure binding commitments and financing on accelerated timelines.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that eBay will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with GameStop, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Mergers or acquisitions involving eBay or its parent company, eBay Inc., and GameStop or its parent company (if applicable), will qualify.
An announcement by eBay or GameStop within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether or when the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs.
Announcements of partial sales may count, as long as GameStop acquires a controlling interest in eBay. A “controlling interest” refers to a change in ownership sufficient to control the company’s strategic decisions (typically more than 50% of equity, or equivalent control via voting and governance rights). Transactions or investments that do not result in a transfer of controlling interest will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from eBay and GameStop; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mergers or acquisitions involving eBay or its parent company, eBay Inc., and GameStop or its parent company (if applicable), will qualify.
An announcement by eBay or GameStop within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether or when the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs.
Announcements of partial sales may count, as long as GameStop acquires a controlling interest in eBay. A “controlling interest” refers to a change in ownership sufficient to control the company’s strategic decisions (typically more than 50% of equity, or equivalent control via voting and governance rights). Transactions or investments that do not result in a transfer of controlling interest will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from eBay and GameStop; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$2,760,088结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
May 4, 2026, 9:39 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...GameStop's unsolicited May 2026 bid to acquire eBay for $55.5 billion at $125 per share in a 50/50 cash-stock mix was promptly rejected by eBay's board as neither credible nor attractive, establishing the core driver behind the 91.5% market-implied probability of no deal. The video game retailer's roughly $12 billion market capitalization and need for substantial third-party financing contrast sharply with eBay's scale, while GameStop's subsequent increase in its eBay stake to nearly 10% has produced no material progress toward regulatory approvals or shareholder support by mid-August. Strong trader consensus reflects these structural barriers and the absence of new catalysts. A reversal would require eBay's board to reconsider amid pressure or GameStop to secure binding commitments and financing on accelerated timelines.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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