GameStop's unsolicited May 2026 cash-and-stock bid for eBay at $125 per share, valuing the target at roughly $55.5 billion, has faced no engagement from eBay management despite GameStop raising its stake to nearly 10%. Traders assign a 91.5% implied probability against completion due to the acquirer's smaller market capitalization, financing and integration risks for a transaction this scale, and eBay's independent performance amid broader e-commerce trends. While Ryan Cohen's continued push and GameStop's improved EBITDA guidance introduce optionality, regulatory scrutiny and shareholder resistance remain material barriers that sustain the current market-implied odds.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于是
9% 概率
$2,758,023 交易量
$2,758,023 交易量
2026-12-31
是
9% 概率
$2,758,023 交易量
$2,758,023 交易量
2026-12-31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that eBay will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with GameStop, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Mergers or acquisitions involving eBay or its parent company, eBay Inc., and GameStop or its parent company (if applicable), will qualify.
An announcement by eBay or GameStop within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether or when the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs.
Announcements of partial sales may count, as long as GameStop acquires a controlling interest in eBay. A “controlling interest” refers to a change in ownership sufficient to control the company’s strategic decisions (typically more than 50% of equity, or equivalent control via voting and governance rights). Transactions or investments that do not result in a transfer of controlling interest will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from eBay and GameStop; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.GameStop's unsolicited May 2026 cash-and-stock bid for eBay at $125 per share, valuing the target at roughly $55.5 billion, has faced no engagement from eBay management despite GameStop raising its stake to nearly 10%. Traders assign a 91.5% implied probability against completion due to the acquirer's smaller market capitalization, financing and integration risks for a transaction this scale, and eBay's independent performance amid broader e-commerce trends. While Ryan Cohen's continued push and GameStop's improved EBITDA guidance introduce optionality, regulatory scrutiny and shareholder resistance remain material barriers that sustain the current market-implied odds.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that eBay will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with GameStop, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Mergers or acquisitions involving eBay or its parent company, eBay Inc., and GameStop or its parent company (if applicable), will qualify.
An announcement by eBay or GameStop within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether or when the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs.
Announcements of partial sales may count, as long as GameStop acquires a controlling interest in eBay. A “controlling interest” refers to a change in ownership sufficient to control the company’s strategic decisions (typically more than 50% of equity, or equivalent control via voting and governance rights). Transactions or investments that do not result in a transfer of controlling interest will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from eBay and GameStop; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mergers or acquisitions involving eBay or its parent company, eBay Inc., and GameStop or its parent company (if applicable), will qualify.
An announcement by eBay or GameStop within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether or when the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs.
Announcements of partial sales may count, as long as GameStop acquires a controlling interest in eBay. A “controlling interest” refers to a change in ownership sufficient to control the company’s strategic decisions (typically more than 50% of equity, or equivalent control via voting and governance rights). Transactions or investments that do not result in a transfer of controlling interest will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from eBay and GameStop; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： May 4, 2026, 9:39 AM ET
交易量
$2,758,023结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
May 4, 2026, 9:39 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that eBay will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with GameStop, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Mergers or acquisitions involving eBay or its parent company, eBay Inc., and GameStop or its parent company (if applicable), will qualify.
An announcement by eBay or GameStop within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether or when the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs.
Announcements of partial sales may count, as long as GameStop acquires a controlling interest in eBay. A “controlling interest” refers to a change in ownership sufficient to control the company’s strategic decisions (typically more than 50% of equity, or equivalent control via voting and governance rights). Transactions or investments that do not result in a transfer of controlling interest will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from eBay and GameStop; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.GameStop's unsolicited May 2026 cash-and-stock bid for eBay at $125 per share, valuing the target at roughly $55.5 billion, has faced no engagement from eBay management despite GameStop raising its stake to nearly 10%. Traders assign a 91.5% implied probability against completion due to the acquirer's smaller market capitalization, financing and integration risks for a transaction this scale, and eBay's independent performance amid broader e-commerce trends. While Ryan Cohen's continued push and GameStop's improved EBITDA guidance introduce optionality, regulatory scrutiny and shareholder resistance remain material barriers that sustain the current market-implied odds.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that eBay will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with GameStop, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Mergers or acquisitions involving eBay or its parent company, eBay Inc., and GameStop or its parent company (if applicable), will qualify.
An announcement by eBay or GameStop within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether or when the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs.
Announcements of partial sales may count, as long as GameStop acquires a controlling interest in eBay. A “controlling interest” refers to a change in ownership sufficient to control the company’s strategic decisions (typically more than 50% of equity, or equivalent control via voting and governance rights). Transactions or investments that do not result in a transfer of controlling interest will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from eBay and GameStop; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mergers or acquisitions involving eBay or its parent company, eBay Inc., and GameStop or its parent company (if applicable), will qualify.
An announcement by eBay or GameStop within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether or when the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs.
Announcements of partial sales may count, as long as GameStop acquires a controlling interest in eBay. A “controlling interest” refers to a change in ownership sufficient to control the company’s strategic decisions (typically more than 50% of equity, or equivalent control via voting and governance rights). Transactions or investments that do not result in a transfer of controlling interest will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from eBay and GameStop; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$2,758,023结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
May 4, 2026, 9:39 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...GameStop's unsolicited May 2026 cash-and-stock bid for eBay at $125 per share, valuing the target at roughly $55.5 billion, has faced no engagement from eBay management despite GameStop raising its stake to nearly 10%. Traders assign a 91.5% implied probability against completion due to the acquirer's smaller market capitalization, financing and integration risks for a transaction this scale, and eBay's independent performance amid broader e-commerce trends. While Ryan Cohen's continued push and GameStop's improved EBITDA guidance introduce optionality, regulatory scrutiny and shareholder resistance remain material barriers that sustain the current market-implied odds.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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