The Israeli Knesset is scheduled to hold legislative elections on October 27, 2026, the date fixed by law after the 25th Knesset completed its full four-year term and dissolved on July 17. Coalition leaders and the Knesset legal adviser confirmed the timeline in July following earlier debates over possible early dissolution, marking the first scheduled election since 1988. Party lists have been submitted, surplus-vote agreements are due shortly, and overseas diplomatic voting begins in late October, with no active legislative efforts or institutional moves to alter the date. Trader consensus at 95 percent reflects this settled legal and political path. A major security escalation, sudden coalition fracture, or unforeseen court intervention before polling day could still shift the schedule, though none are evident at present.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于是
$10,266 交易量
$10,266 交易量
是
$10,266 交易量
$10,266 交易量
For the purposes of this market, "general voting" means nationwide election-day voting open to eligible voters across Israel.
This market will still resolve to "Yes" if voting is postponed, cancelled, or disrupted in a limited number of individual localities or polling stations, so long as nationwide voting proceeds on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve to "No" if nationwide Knesset voting occurs before October 27, 2026 (e.g., due to a snap election), or October 27, 2026 passes without nationwide Knesset voting having occurred (e.g., due to nationwide postponement).
Early or special voting mechanisms that occur before election day (e.g., voting by soldiers or citizens abroad) will not affect resolution. Only the date of general election-day voting counts.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
市场开放时间: Jul 20, 2026, 7:43 PM ET
For the purposes of this market, "general voting" means nationwide election-day voting open to eligible voters across Israel.
This market will still resolve to "Yes" if voting is postponed, cancelled, or disrupted in a limited number of individual localities or polling stations, so long as nationwide voting proceeds on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve to "No" if nationwide Knesset voting occurs before October 27, 2026 (e.g., due to a snap election), or October 27, 2026 passes without nationwide Knesset voting having occurred (e.g., due to nationwide postponement).
Early or special voting mechanisms that occur before election day (e.g., voting by soldiers or citizens abroad) will not affect resolution. Only the date of general election-day voting counts.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
The Israeli Knesset is scheduled to hold legislative elections on October 27, 2026, the date fixed by law after the 25th Knesset completed its full four-year term and dissolved on July 17. Coalition leaders and the Knesset legal adviser confirmed the timeline in July following earlier debates over possible early dissolution, marking the first scheduled election since 1988. Party lists have been submitted, surplus-vote agreements are due shortly, and overseas diplomatic voting begins in late October, with no active legislative efforts or institutional moves to alter the date. Trader consensus at 95 percent reflects this settled legal and political path. A major security escalation, sudden coalition fracture, or unforeseen court intervention before polling day could still shift the schedule, though none are evident at present.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于


警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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