Lana Del Rey’s country album Stove sits at the center of the 53.5% implied probability for a June 30 release, driven by recent single drops like “White Feather Hawk Tail Deer Hunter” and manager comments that the project is “coming soon.” Yet the market stays balanced because of the artist’s repeated delays—multiple title changes, added tracks, and missed earlier targets stretching back to 2025. Traders weigh the current wave of country-influenced promotion and fan speculation around a late-May date against Lana’s track record of shifting timelines. A surprise announcement or confirmed street date in the next two weeks could quickly push the Yes side above 70%, while silence through early June would likely tilt sentiment toward No.