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icon for 到2026年8月31日,勒布朗的YouTube频道会达到100万订阅者吗?

到2026年8月31日,勒布朗的YouTube频道会达到100万订阅者吗?

icon for 到2026年8月31日,勒布朗的YouTube频道会达到100万订阅者吗?

到2026年8月31日,勒布朗的YouTube频道会达到100万订阅者吗?

<1% 概率
Polymarket

$1,400 交易量

<1% 概率
Polymarket

$1,400 交易量

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the LeBron James YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@LeBron) hits 1 million subscribers by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be the LeBron James YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@LeBron) or a consensus of credible reporting.LeBron James’s official YouTube channel, revived in mid-August 2026 with golf-focused content featuring 2016 Cavaliers teammates, reached roughly 597,000 subscribers by the August 31 deadline. Rapid early gains from the debut reunion scramble and follow-up shorts stalled quickly, with only a handful of uploads total and no sustained daily or weekly cadence to drive broader basketball or lifestyle audiences. LeBron’s established Instagram and X followings have not converted at scale to this platform in the narrow timeframe, leaving the channel far short of the 1 million mark amid competition from dedicated golf creators. Trader consensus at 99.9% “No” reflects this verified gap and the absence of any late viral spike or roster-level announcement that could accelerate growth. Even with LeBron’s competitive profile and potential for future monthly episodes, crossing the threshold before resolution would have required unprecedented acceleration not observed in the final weeks.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the LeBron James YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@LeBron) hits 1 million subscribers by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be the LeBron James YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@LeBron) or a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the LeBron James YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@LeBron) hits 1 million subscribers by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be the LeBron James YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@LeBron) or a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$1,400
结束日期
2026-09-01
市场开放时间
Aug 19, 2026, 5:59 PM ET

已提议结果: No

无争议

最终结果: No

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the LeBron James YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@LeBron) hits 1 million subscribers by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be the LeBron James YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@LeBron) or a consensus of credible reporting.LeBron James’s official YouTube channel, revived in mid-August 2026 with golf-focused content featuring 2016 Cavaliers teammates, reached roughly 597,000 subscribers by the August 31 deadline. Rapid early gains from the debut reunion scramble and follow-up shorts stalled quickly, with only a handful of uploads total and no sustained daily or weekly cadence to drive broader basketball or lifestyle audiences. LeBron’s established Instagram and X followings have not converted at scale to this platform in the narrow timeframe, leaving the channel far short of the 1 million mark amid competition from dedicated golf creators. Trader consensus at 99.9% “No” reflects this verified gap and the absence of any late viral spike or roster-level announcement that could accelerate growth. Even with LeBron’s competitive profile and potential for future monthly episodes, crossing the threshold before resolution would have required unprecedented acceleration not observed in the final weeks.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the LeBron James YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@LeBron) hits 1 million subscribers by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be the LeBron James YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@LeBron) or a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the LeBron James YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@LeBron) hits 1 million subscribers by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be the LeBron James YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@LeBron) or a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$1,400
结束日期
2026-09-01
市场开放时间
Aug 19, 2026, 5:59 PM ET

已提议结果: No

无争议

最终结果: No

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常见问题

"到2026年8月31日,勒布朗的YouTube频道会达到100万订阅者吗?"是 Polymarket 上的一个预测市场,交易者根据自己对事件是否会发生的判断买卖"是"或"否"的份额。当前社区预测的概率为 0%("Yes")。例如,如果"是"的价格为 0¢,则市场集体认为该事件发生的概率为 0%。这些赔率会随着交易者对新动态和信息的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

"到2026年8月31日,勒布朗的YouTube频道会达到100万订阅者吗?"是 Polymarket 上新创建的市场,于Aug 19, 2026上线。作为一个新市场,这是你率先设定赔率并建立初始价格信号的机会。你也可以将本页加入书签,以便跟踪交易量和活动。

要在"到2026年8月31日,勒布朗的YouTube频道会达到100万订阅者吗?"上交易,只需选择你认为答案是"是"还是"否"。每一方都有一个反映市场隐含概率的当前价格。输入你的金额并点击"交易"。如果你买入"是"的份额且结果为"是",每份支付 $1。如果结果为"否",你的"是"份额支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额以锁定利润或止损。

"到2026年8月31日,勒布朗的YouTube频道会达到100万订阅者吗?"的当前概率为 0%("Yes")。这意味着 Polymarket 社区目前认为该事件发生的概率为 0%。这些赔率基于实际交易实时更新,持续提供市场预期信号。

"到2026年8月31日,勒布朗的YouTube频道会达到100万订阅者吗?"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。