Lionel Messi’s continued dominance in the 2026 MLS season, where he leads the Golden Boot race with 25 goals and strong goal contributions at age 39, supports trader confidence in his scoring ability. However, the 2027 Sprint Season’s abbreviated 14-match format from February to May introduces high variance and fewer opportunities to pull ahead. Uncertainty around his potential return to Newell's Old Boys, ongoing physical demands at 40, and competition from younger forwards further balance the market near 50%. Strong late-2026 form or confirmed Inter Miami participation could shift momentum toward Yes, while any injury or reduced minutes would favor No.