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icon for Mamdani周四会取消尼克斯队游行的课程吗?

Mamdani周四会取消尼克斯队游行的课程吗?

icon for Mamdani周四会取消尼克斯队游行的课程吗?

Mamdani周四会取消尼克斯队游行的课程吗?

50% 概率
Polymarket
最新
50% 概率
Polymarket
最新
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official announcement states that New York City public schools (NYC Public Schools / Department of Education) will be fully or partially closed, canceled, or postponed for students on Thursday, June 18, 2026. To qualify as "Yes", the announced closure, cancellation, or postponement must apply to at least all public schools in Manhattan south of 14th Street. An announcement covering that area or a larger area (including district-wide, borough-wide, or citywide closures) qualifies. An announcement affecting fewer schools than the full Manhattan south of 14th Street area, a single-school closure, or a remote-learning day does not by itself qualify as "Yes". Resolution will be based solely on the official announcement, regardless of whether the announced closure, cancellation, or postponement ultimately goes into effect or is later modified. This market will resolve according to official New York City government or NYC Public Schools announcements, including the Office of the Mayor, the NYC Public Schools Chancellor, or official NYC Public Schools communication channels. If no qualifying announcement is made, this market will resolve to "No".Mayor Zohran Mamdani’s enthusiastic support for the Knicks’ first NBA title since 1973, including his rapid announcement of the Thursday ticker-tape parade and City Hall ceremony plus prior moves like repealing student bedtimes during the Finals, creates strong trader expectations that he will push for school closures or schedule adjustments to accommodate the Canyon of Heroes event. Counterbalancing factors include the mayor’s limited direct authority over the Department of Education and Regents exams, which typically require coordination with the governor and state officials, plus the precedent of maintaining classes throughout the Finals despite fan excitement. Recent public statements about canceling school and Regents exams reflect his preference for maximizing participation, yet logistical hurdles around a weekday parade and competing educational priorities keep the implied probability evenly split at 50 percent. Fresh updates on official school announcements or state-level approvals could quickly shift sentiment in either direction.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official announcement states that New York City public schools (NYC Public Schools / Department of Education) will be fully or partially closed, canceled, or postponed for students on Thursday, June 18, 2026.

To qualify as "Yes", the announced closure, cancellation, or postponement must apply to at least all public schools in Manhattan south of 14th Street. An announcement covering that area or a larger area (including district-wide, borough-wide, or citywide closures) qualifies. An announcement affecting fewer schools than the full Manhattan south of 14th Street area, a single-school closure, or a remote-learning day does not by itself qualify as "Yes".

Resolution will be based solely on the official announcement, regardless of whether the announced closure, cancellation, or postponement ultimately goes into effect or is later modified.

This market will resolve according to official New York City government or NYC Public Schools announcements, including the Office of the Mayor, the NYC Public Schools Chancellor, or official NYC Public Schools communication channels.

If no qualifying announcement is made, this market will resolve to "No".
交易量
$0
结束日期
2026-06-19
市场开放时间
Jun 15, 2026, 12:55 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official announcement states that New York City public schools (NYC Public Schools / Department of Education) will be fully or partially closed, canceled, or postponed for students on Thursday, June 18, 2026. To qualify as "Yes", the announced closure, cancellation, or postponement must apply to at least all public schools in Manhattan south of 14th Street. An announcement covering that area or a larger area (including district-wide, borough-wide, or citywide closures) qualifies. An announcement affecting fewer schools than the full Manhattan south of 14th Street area, a single-school closure, or a remote-learning day does not by itself qualify as "Yes". Resolution will be based solely on the official announcement, regardless of whether the announced closure, cancellation, or postponement ultimately goes into effect or is later modified. This market will resolve according to official New York City government or NYC Public Schools announcements, including the Office of the Mayor, the NYC Public Schools Chancellor, or official NYC Public Schools communication channels. If no qualifying announcement is made, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official announcement states that New York City public schools (NYC Public Schools / Department of Education) will be fully or partially closed, canceled, or postponed for students on Thursday, June 18, 2026. To qualify as "Yes", the announced closure, cancellation, or postponement must apply to at least all public schools in Manhattan south of 14th Street. An announcement covering that area or a larger area (including district-wide, borough-wide, or citywide closures) qualifies. An announcement affecting fewer schools than the full Manhattan south of 14th Street area, a single-school closure, or a remote-learning day does not by itself qualify as "Yes". Resolution will be based solely on the official announcement, regardless of whether the announced closure, cancellation, or postponement ultimately goes into effect or is later modified. This market will resolve according to official New York City government or NYC Public Schools announcements, including the Office of the Mayor, the NYC Public Schools Chancellor, or official NYC Public Schools communication channels. If no qualifying announcement is made, this market will resolve to "No".Mayor Zohran Mamdani’s enthusiastic support for the Knicks’ first NBA title since 1973, including his rapid announcement of the Thursday ticker-tape parade and City Hall ceremony plus prior moves like repealing student bedtimes during the Finals, creates strong trader expectations that he will push for school closures or schedule adjustments to accommodate the Canyon of Heroes event. Counterbalancing factors include the mayor’s limited direct authority over the Department of Education and Regents exams, which typically require coordination with the governor and state officials, plus the precedent of maintaining classes throughout the Finals despite fan excitement. Recent public statements about canceling school and Regents exams reflect his preference for maximizing participation, yet logistical hurdles around a weekday parade and competing educational priorities keep the implied probability evenly split at 50 percent. Fresh updates on official school announcements or state-level approvals could quickly shift sentiment in either direction.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official announcement states that New York City public schools (NYC Public Schools / Department of Education) will be fully or partially closed, canceled, or postponed for students on Thursday, June 18, 2026.

To qualify as "Yes", the announced closure, cancellation, or postponement must apply to at least all public schools in Manhattan south of 14th Street. An announcement covering that area or a larger area (including district-wide, borough-wide, or citywide closures) qualifies. An announcement affecting fewer schools than the full Manhattan south of 14th Street area, a single-school closure, or a remote-learning day does not by itself qualify as "Yes".

Resolution will be based solely on the official announcement, regardless of whether the announced closure, cancellation, or postponement ultimately goes into effect or is later modified.

This market will resolve according to official New York City government or NYC Public Schools announcements, including the Office of the Mayor, the NYC Public Schools Chancellor, or official NYC Public Schools communication channels.

If no qualifying announcement is made, this market will resolve to "No".
交易量
$0
结束日期
2026-06-19
市场开放时间
Jun 15, 2026, 12:55 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official announcement states that New York City public schools (NYC Public Schools / Department of Education) will be fully or partially closed, canceled, or postponed for students on Thursday, June 18, 2026. To qualify as "Yes", the announced closure, cancellation, or postponement must apply to at least all public schools in Manhattan south of 14th Street. An announcement covering that area or a larger area (including district-wide, borough-wide, or citywide closures) qualifies. An announcement affecting fewer schools than the full Manhattan south of 14th Street area, a single-school closure, or a remote-learning day does not by itself qualify as "Yes". Resolution will be based solely on the official announcement, regardless of whether the announced closure, cancellation, or postponement ultimately goes into effect or is later modified. This market will resolve according to official New York City government or NYC Public Schools announcements, including the Office of the Mayor, the NYC Public Schools Chancellor, or official NYC Public Schools communication channels. If no qualifying announcement is made, this market will resolve to "No".

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"Mamdani周四会取消尼克斯队游行的课程吗?"是 Polymarket 上的一个预测市场,交易者根据自己对事件是否会发生的判断买卖"是"或"否"的份额。当前社区预测的概率为 50%("Yes")。例如,如果"是"的价格为 50¢,则市场集体认为该事件发生的概率为 50%。这些赔率会随着交易者对新动态和信息的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

"Mamdani周四会取消尼克斯队游行的课程吗?"是 Polymarket 上新创建的市场,于Jun 15, 2026上线。作为一个新市场,这是你率先设定赔率并建立初始价格信号的机会。你也可以将本页加入书签,以便跟踪交易量和活动。

要在"Mamdani周四会取消尼克斯队游行的课程吗?"上交易,只需选择你认为答案是"是"还是"否"。每一方都有一个反映市场隐含概率的当前价格。输入你的金额并点击"交易"。如果你买入"是"的份额且结果为"是",每份支付 $1。如果结果为"否",你的"是"份额支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额以锁定利润或止损。

"Mamdani周四会取消尼克斯队游行的课程吗?"的当前概率为 50%("Yes")。这意味着 Polymarket 社区目前认为该事件发生的概率为 50%。这些赔率基于实际交易实时更新,持续提供市场预期信号。

"Mamdani周四会取消尼克斯队游行的课程吗?"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。