Other leads market pricing at 50% as France, Spain, England, and Germany enter with broader attacking depth, stronger recent qualifying results, and fewer age-related concerns than the three South American or Iberian sides. Argentina’s defending-champion status and Messi’s sixth World Cup appearance keep his share at 41%, though a recent hamstring issue and an aging supporting cast temper expectations for a repeat. Portugal’s 39% reflects Ronaldo’s continued centrality at age 41 alongside a talented core including Bruno Fernandes, yet questions persist about squad balance and knockout-stage execution. Neymar’s 23% accounts for his recent inclusion after long-term ACL recovery, which adds creativity to Brazil but leaves fitness and form as open variables heading into the expanded 48-team field.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于梅西、罗纳尔多或内马尔在世界杯上晋级最远吗?
Lionel Messi 41%
Cristiano Ronaldo 39%
Neymar Jr. 23%
Lionel Messi
41%
Cristiano Ronaldo
39%
Neymar Jr.
23%
Lionel Messi 41%
Cristiano Ronaldo 39%
Neymar Jr. 23%
Lionel Messi
41%
Cristiano Ronaldo
39%
Neymar Jr.
23%
If multiple players' nations are tied for the furthest stage reached in the tournament, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose nation won the most total games during the main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who recorded the most goal contributions during the main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who received fewer total disciplinary cards during the main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup (each card counts as a singular event, double yellows resulting in red still count as two cards). If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed player’s nation to be the furthest to advance in the 2026 FIFA World Cup (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No".
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or it cannot be determined which player’s nation advanced the furthest at the 2026 FIFA World Cup within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间: Jun 3, 2026, 4:22 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If multiple players' nations are tied for the furthest stage reached in the tournament, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose nation won the most total games during the main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who recorded the most goal contributions during the main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who received fewer total disciplinary cards during the main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup (each card counts as a singular event, double yellows resulting in red still count as two cards). If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed player’s nation to be the furthest to advance in the 2026 FIFA World Cup (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No".
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or it cannot be determined which player’s nation advanced the furthest at the 2026 FIFA World Cup within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Other leads market pricing at 50% as France, Spain, England, and Germany enter with broader attacking depth, stronger recent qualifying results, and fewer age-related concerns than the three South American or Iberian sides. Argentina’s defending-champion status and Messi’s sixth World Cup appearance keep his share at 41%, though a recent hamstring issue and an aging supporting cast temper expectations for a repeat. Portugal’s 39% reflects Ronaldo’s continued centrality at age 41 alongside a talented core including Bruno Fernandes, yet questions persist about squad balance and knockout-stage execution. Neymar’s 23% accounts for his recent inclusion after long-term ACL recovery, which adds creativity to Brazil but leaves fitness and form as open variables heading into the expanded 48-team field.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题