**Sneako, the American-born streamer whose real name is Nicolas Kenn De Balinthazy, faces essentially zero realistic risk of U.S. deportation in 2026 because natural-born citizens cannot be removed under immigration law.** Trader consensus at 96% on “No” reflects this core legal barrier: U.S. citizenship by birth is not subject to revocation or third-country transfer in ordinary circumstances, distinguishing it sharply from the high-profile visa cancellation and lifetime ban Australia imposed on him in May 2026 over controversial content. Recent online chatter, including July exchanges with Elon Musk about “African migrant” remarks, has fueled memes and calls for deportation, yet these remain rhetorical rather than tied to any active ICE proceedings, criminal convictions that trigger removal, or citizenship challenges. No credible reports indicate pending federal action or policy shifts that could affect a native-born citizen by year’s end. The market’s near-certainty stems from the structural impossibility rather than polling or public sentiment. A realistic upset would require an unprecedented legal maneuver—such as a successful denaturalization claim (impossible here) or a novel interpretation of the resolution criteria—both of which sit well outside historical precedent and current enforcement patterns.