Ongoing negotiations between Stripe, Advent International, and PayPal are the primary driver behind the 61.5% market-implied probability of a partial or full acquisition in 2026. Stripe and the private-equity firm submitted a $60.50-per-share offer in July valuing PayPal at roughly $53 billion, which PayPal initially deemed insufficient; talks have since advanced with discussions of a higher price, according to recent Wall Street Journal reporting. These developments follow February indications of Stripe’s interest in acquiring all or parts of PayPal amid the target’s earnings pressure, CEO transition, and strategic review. Trader consensus, reflected in real-capital-backed odds, prices in a reasonable chance of resolution by year-end while acknowledging execution risks around valuation, financing, and regulatory review.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于是
62% 概率
$71,675 交易量
$71,675 交易量
2026-12-31
是
62% 概率
$71,675 交易量
$71,675 交易量
2026-12-31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that any part of PayPal will be, has been, or is being acquired by Stripe, or that PayPal is being merged with Stripe, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Acquiring a part of PayPal refers to any material acquisition of a subset of PayPal by Stripe, including but not limited to a PayPal subsidiary, business unit, or equity interest. A total acquisition of PayPal by Stripe will count. Business partnerships between PayPal and Stripe will not count.
An announcement of a qualifying acquisition or merger by PayPal or PayPal and Stripe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from PayPal and Stripe, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Ongoing negotiations between Stripe, Advent International, and PayPal are the primary driver behind the 61.5% market-implied probability of a partial or full acquisition in 2026. Stripe and the private-equity firm submitted a $60.50-per-share offer in July valuing PayPal at roughly $53 billion, which PayPal initially deemed insufficient; talks have since advanced with discussions of a higher price, according to recent Wall Street Journal reporting. These developments follow February indications of Stripe’s interest in acquiring all or parts of PayPal amid the target’s earnings pressure, CEO transition, and strategic review. Trader consensus, reflected in real-capital-backed odds, prices in a reasonable chance of resolution by year-end while acknowledging execution risks around valuation, financing, and regulatory review.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that any part of PayPal will be, has been, or is being acquired by Stripe, or that PayPal is being merged with Stripe, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Acquiring a part of PayPal refers to any material acquisition of a subset of PayPal by Stripe, including but not limited to a PayPal subsidiary, business unit, or equity interest. A total acquisition of PayPal by Stripe will count. Business partnerships between PayPal and Stripe will not count.
An announcement of a qualifying acquisition or merger by PayPal or PayPal and Stripe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from PayPal and Stripe, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Acquiring a part of PayPal refers to any material acquisition of a subset of PayPal by Stripe, including but not limited to a PayPal subsidiary, business unit, or equity interest. A total acquisition of PayPal by Stripe will count. Business partnerships between PayPal and Stripe will not count.
An announcement of a qualifying acquisition or merger by PayPal or PayPal and Stripe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from PayPal and Stripe, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Feb 24, 2026, 5:36 PM ET
交易量
$71,675结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Feb 24, 2026, 5:36 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that any part of PayPal will be, has been, or is being acquired by Stripe, or that PayPal is being merged with Stripe, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Acquiring a part of PayPal refers to any material acquisition of a subset of PayPal by Stripe, including but not limited to a PayPal subsidiary, business unit, or equity interest. A total acquisition of PayPal by Stripe will count. Business partnerships between PayPal and Stripe will not count.
An announcement of a qualifying acquisition or merger by PayPal or PayPal and Stripe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from PayPal and Stripe, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Ongoing negotiations between Stripe, Advent International, and PayPal are the primary driver behind the 61.5% market-implied probability of a partial or full acquisition in 2026. Stripe and the private-equity firm submitted a $60.50-per-share offer in July valuing PayPal at roughly $53 billion, which PayPal initially deemed insufficient; talks have since advanced with discussions of a higher price, according to recent Wall Street Journal reporting. These developments follow February indications of Stripe’s interest in acquiring all or parts of PayPal amid the target’s earnings pressure, CEO transition, and strategic review. Trader consensus, reflected in real-capital-backed odds, prices in a reasonable chance of resolution by year-end while acknowledging execution risks around valuation, financing, and regulatory review.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that any part of PayPal will be, has been, or is being acquired by Stripe, or that PayPal is being merged with Stripe, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Acquiring a part of PayPal refers to any material acquisition of a subset of PayPal by Stripe, including but not limited to a PayPal subsidiary, business unit, or equity interest. A total acquisition of PayPal by Stripe will count. Business partnerships between PayPal and Stripe will not count.
An announcement of a qualifying acquisition or merger by PayPal or PayPal and Stripe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from PayPal and Stripe, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Acquiring a part of PayPal refers to any material acquisition of a subset of PayPal by Stripe, including but not limited to a PayPal subsidiary, business unit, or equity interest. A total acquisition of PayPal by Stripe will count. Business partnerships between PayPal and Stripe will not count.
An announcement of a qualifying acquisition or merger by PayPal or PayPal and Stripe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from PayPal and Stripe, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$71,675结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Feb 24, 2026, 5:36 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Ongoing negotiations between Stripe, Advent International, and PayPal are the primary driver behind the 61.5% market-implied probability of a partial or full acquisition in 2026. Stripe and the private-equity firm submitted a $60.50-per-share offer in July valuing PayPal at roughly $53 billion, which PayPal initially deemed insufficient; talks have since advanced with discussions of a higher price, according to recent Wall Street Journal reporting. These developments follow February indications of Stripe’s interest in acquiring all or parts of PayPal amid the target’s earnings pressure, CEO transition, and strategic review. Trader consensus, reflected in real-capital-backed odds, prices in a reasonable chance of resolution by year-end while acknowledging execution risks around valuation, financing, and regulatory review.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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