Recent reports indicate Stripe and Advent International submitted a $53 billion joint bid for PayPal in mid-July 2026, backed by substantial bank financing, yet PayPal’s board rejected the $60.50-per-share proposal and sought a higher valuation. PayPal’s independent status persists amid ongoing negotiations, with limited time remaining before year-end resolution and notable antitrust scrutiny likely for combining two major payments platforms. Stripe’s own $159 billion valuation and strong organic growth in merchant processing reduce urgency for a full acquisition, while PayPal’s board prioritizes shareholder value. These dynamics underpin the 73.5% market-implied probability that no deal closes in 2026, though further bid revisions or accelerated talks could still shift consensus before December.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于是
27% 概率
$81,898 交易量
$81,898 交易量
2026-12-30
是
27% 概率
$81,898 交易量
$81,898 交易量
2026-12-30
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that Paypal will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with Stripe by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying acquisition or acquisition announcement must include the acquisition of a controlling interest in Paypal by Stripe. A "controlling interest" is defined as an ownership stake sufficient to control the company's strategic decisions, typically more than 50% of equity, or equivalent control via voting rights, governance rights, board control, or other mechanisms. Transactions or investments that do not result in a transfer of controlling interest, such as minority stake purchases, will not count.
An announcement of a qualifying acquisition or merger by Paypal or Paypal and Stripe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Paypal and Stripe, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent reports indicate Stripe and Advent International submitted a $53 billion joint bid for PayPal in mid-July 2026, backed by substantial bank financing, yet PayPal’s board rejected the $60.50-per-share proposal and sought a higher valuation. PayPal’s independent status persists amid ongoing negotiations, with limited time remaining before year-end resolution and notable antitrust scrutiny likely for combining two major payments platforms. Stripe’s own $159 billion valuation and strong organic growth in merchant processing reduce urgency for a full acquisition, while PayPal’s board prioritizes shareholder value. These dynamics underpin the 73.5% market-implied probability that no deal closes in 2026, though further bid revisions or accelerated talks could still shift consensus before December.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that Paypal will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with Stripe by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying acquisition or acquisition announcement must include the acquisition of a controlling interest in Paypal by Stripe. A "controlling interest" is defined as an ownership stake sufficient to control the company's strategic decisions, typically more than 50% of equity, or equivalent control via voting rights, governance rights, board control, or other mechanisms. Transactions or investments that do not result in a transfer of controlling interest, such as minority stake purchases, will not count.
An announcement of a qualifying acquisition or merger by Paypal or Paypal and Stripe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Paypal and Stripe, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying acquisition or acquisition announcement must include the acquisition of a controlling interest in Paypal by Stripe. A "controlling interest" is defined as an ownership stake sufficient to control the company's strategic decisions, typically more than 50% of equity, or equivalent control via voting rights, governance rights, board control, or other mechanisms. Transactions or investments that do not result in a transfer of controlling interest, such as minority stake purchases, will not count.
An announcement of a qualifying acquisition or merger by Paypal or Paypal and Stripe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Paypal and Stripe, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Feb 24, 2026, 5:35 PM ET
交易量
$81,898结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Feb 24, 2026, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that Paypal will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with Stripe by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying acquisition or acquisition announcement must include the acquisition of a controlling interest in Paypal by Stripe. A "controlling interest" is defined as an ownership stake sufficient to control the company's strategic decisions, typically more than 50% of equity, or equivalent control via voting rights, governance rights, board control, or other mechanisms. Transactions or investments that do not result in a transfer of controlling interest, such as minority stake purchases, will not count.
An announcement of a qualifying acquisition or merger by Paypal or Paypal and Stripe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Paypal and Stripe, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent reports indicate Stripe and Advent International submitted a $53 billion joint bid for PayPal in mid-July 2026, backed by substantial bank financing, yet PayPal’s board rejected the $60.50-per-share proposal and sought a higher valuation. PayPal’s independent status persists amid ongoing negotiations, with limited time remaining before year-end resolution and notable antitrust scrutiny likely for combining two major payments platforms. Stripe’s own $159 billion valuation and strong organic growth in merchant processing reduce urgency for a full acquisition, while PayPal’s board prioritizes shareholder value. These dynamics underpin the 73.5% market-implied probability that no deal closes in 2026, though further bid revisions or accelerated talks could still shift consensus before December.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that Paypal will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with Stripe by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying acquisition or acquisition announcement must include the acquisition of a controlling interest in Paypal by Stripe. A "controlling interest" is defined as an ownership stake sufficient to control the company's strategic decisions, typically more than 50% of equity, or equivalent control via voting rights, governance rights, board control, or other mechanisms. Transactions or investments that do not result in a transfer of controlling interest, such as minority stake purchases, will not count.
An announcement of a qualifying acquisition or merger by Paypal or Paypal and Stripe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Paypal and Stripe, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying acquisition or acquisition announcement must include the acquisition of a controlling interest in Paypal by Stripe. A "controlling interest" is defined as an ownership stake sufficient to control the company's strategic decisions, typically more than 50% of equity, or equivalent control via voting rights, governance rights, board control, or other mechanisms. Transactions or investments that do not result in a transfer of controlling interest, such as minority stake purchases, will not count.
An announcement of a qualifying acquisition or merger by Paypal or Paypal and Stripe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Paypal and Stripe, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$81,898结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Feb 24, 2026, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent reports indicate Stripe and Advent International submitted a $53 billion joint bid for PayPal in mid-July 2026, backed by substantial bank financing, yet PayPal’s board rejected the $60.50-per-share proposal and sought a higher valuation. PayPal’s independent status persists amid ongoing negotiations, with limited time remaining before year-end resolution and notable antitrust scrutiny likely for combining two major payments platforms. Stripe’s own $159 billion valuation and strong organic growth in merchant processing reduce urgency for a full acquisition, while PayPal’s board prioritizes shareholder value. These dynamics underpin the 73.5% market-implied probability that no deal closes in 2026, though further bid revisions or accelerated talks could still shift consensus before December.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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