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icon for 《2026年纲要》是否会在EWC开始之前发布

《2026年纲要》是否会在EWC开始之前发布

icon for 《2026年纲要》是否会在EWC开始之前发布

《2026年纲要》是否会在EWC开始之前发布

0% 概率
Polymarket
最新
0% 概率
Polymarket
最新
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Dota 2 Compendium is made available to the general public by July 7, 2026, 11:59 pm ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Valve as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled with the company's official website. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Valve, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Recent data-mined files point to a Compendium 2026 launch window opening around July 17, shortly after the Esports World Cup Dota 2 bracket begins on July 7 in Paris, creating a narrow timing gap that keeps the market near even. Valve has not issued an official release date, leaving traders reliant on placeholder dates and historical patterns of last-minute adjustments near The International group stage. EWC scheduling overlaps with qualifiers and regional events that could accelerate or delay the battle pass rollout, while any confirmed July 10–15 announcement or further file updates would quickly shift implied probabilities. The slim 51.5% lean toward “No” reflects this balance between expected mid-July timing and the risk of earlier deployment or slippage.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Dota 2 Compendium is made available to the general public by July 7, 2026, 11:59 pm ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Valve as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled with the company's official website.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Valve, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$3
市场开放时间
Jun 23, 2026, 10:44 AM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Dota 2 Compendium is made available to the general public by July 7, 2026, 11:59 pm ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Valve as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled with the company's official website. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Valve, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Dota 2 Compendium is made available to the general public by July 7, 2026, 11:59 pm ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Valve as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled with the company's official website. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Valve, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Recent data-mined files point to a Compendium 2026 launch window opening around July 17, shortly after the Esports World Cup Dota 2 bracket begins on July 7 in Paris, creating a narrow timing gap that keeps the market near even. Valve has not issued an official release date, leaving traders reliant on placeholder dates and historical patterns of last-minute adjustments near The International group stage. EWC scheduling overlaps with qualifiers and regional events that could accelerate or delay the battle pass rollout, while any confirmed July 10–15 announcement or further file updates would quickly shift implied probabilities. The slim 51.5% lean toward “No” reflects this balance between expected mid-July timing and the risk of earlier deployment or slippage.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Dota 2 Compendium is made available to the general public by July 7, 2026, 11:59 pm ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Valve as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled with the company's official website.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Valve, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$3
市场开放时间
Jun 23, 2026, 10:44 AM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Dota 2 Compendium is made available to the general public by July 7, 2026, 11:59 pm ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Valve as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled with the company's official website. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Valve, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"《2026年纲要》是否会在EWC开始之前发布"是 Polymarket 上的一个预测市场,交易者根据自己对事件是否会发生的判断买卖"是"或"否"的份额。当前社区预测的概率为 46%("Yes")。例如,如果"是"的价格为 46¢,则市场集体认为该事件发生的概率为 46%。这些赔率会随着交易者对新动态和信息的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

"《2026年纲要》是否会在EWC开始之前发布"是 Polymarket 上新创建的市场,于Jun 23, 2026上线。作为一个新市场,这是你率先设定赔率并建立初始价格信号的机会。你也可以将本页加入书签,以便跟踪交易量和活动。

要在"《2026年纲要》是否会在EWC开始之前发布"上交易,只需选择你认为答案是"是"还是"否"。每一方都有一个反映市场隐含概率的当前价格。输入你的金额并点击"交易"。如果你买入"是"的份额且结果为"是",每份支付 $1。如果结果为"否",你的"是"份额支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额以锁定利润或止损。

"《2026年纲要》是否会在EWC开始之前发布"的当前概率为 46%("Yes")。这意味着 Polymarket 社区目前认为该事件发生的概率为 46%。这些赔率基于实际交易实时更新,持续提供市场预期信号。

"《2026年纲要》是否会在EWC开始之前发布"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。