Senate Republicans hold a majority but have shown limited appetite for fully eliminating the legislative filibuster through the nuclear option, a rules change requiring only a simple majority vote. President Trump repeatedly urged this step in late 2025 amid a government shutdown standoff, while Senate GOP leaders including Majority Leader John Thune prioritized narrower adjustments, such as the September 2025 precedent allowing en bloc confirmation of executive nominees. Discussions resurfaced in early 2026 around passing voter legislation and following a high-profile incident, yet institutional resistance persists given historical precedent and concerns over future minority-party leverage. Upcoming Senate floor activity on appropriations or confirmation backlogs could test whether momentum builds for broader reform before the end of the session.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$559,704 交易量
2026-03-31
2026年12月31日
28%
$559,704 交易量
2026年12月31日
$4,743 交易量
28%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Senate passes a motion to invoke cloture and end debate on any part of the legislative process, with such a cloture motion receiving Yea votes from fewer than three-fifths of the Senators by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No".
Confirmations are considered part of the Senate’s “advice and consent” function, not part of the Senate’s “legislative process,” and will therefore not count towards this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. government.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Senate passes a motion to invoke cloture and end debate on any part of the legislative process, with such a cloture motion receiving Yea votes from fewer than three-fifths of the Senators by October 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No".
Confirmations are considered part of the Senate’s “advice and consent” function, not part of the Senate’s “legislative process,” and will therefore not count towards this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. government.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Senate passes a motion to invoke cloture and end debate on any part of the legislative process, with such a cloture motion receiving Yea votes from fewer than three-fifths of the Senators by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No".
Confirmations are considered part of the Senate’s “advice and consent” function, not part of the Senate’s “legislative process,” and will therefore not count towards this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. government.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Senate passes a motion to invoke cloture and end debate on any part of the legislative process, with such a cloture motion receiving Yea votes from fewer than three-fifths of the Senators by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No".
Confirmations are considered part of the Senate’s “advice and consent” function, not part of the Senate’s “legislative process,” and will therefore not count towards this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. government.Senate Republicans hold a majority but have shown limited appetite for fully eliminating the legislative filibuster through the nuclear option, a rules change requiring only a simple majority vote. President Trump repeatedly urged this step in late 2025 amid a government shutdown standoff, while Senate GOP leaders including Majority Leader John Thune prioritized narrower adjustments, such as the September 2025 precedent allowing en bloc confirmation of executive nominees. Discussions resurfaced in early 2026 around passing voter legislation and following a high-profile incident, yet institutional resistance persists given historical precedent and concerns over future minority-party leverage. Upcoming Senate floor activity on appropriations or confirmation backlogs could test whether momentum builds for broader reform before the end of the session.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Senate passes a motion to invoke cloture and end debate on any part of the legislative process, with such a cloture motion receiving Yea votes from fewer than three-fifths of the Senators by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No".
Confirmations are considered part of the Senate’s “advice and consent” function, not part of the Senate’s “legislative process,” and will therefore not count towards this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. government.
Confirmations are considered part of the Senate’s “advice and consent” function, not part of the Senate’s “legislative process,” and will therefore not count towards this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. government.
市场开放时间： Jan 2, 2026, 5:35 PM ET
交易量
$559,704结束日期
2026-03-31市场开放时间
Jan 2, 2026, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Senate passes a motion to invoke cloture and end debate on any part of the legislative process, with such a cloture motion receiving Yea votes from fewer than three-fifths of the Senators by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No".
Confirmations are considered part of the Senate’s “advice and consent” function, not part of the Senate’s “legislative process,” and will therefore not count towards this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. government.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Senate passes a motion to invoke cloture and end debate on any part of the legislative process, with such a cloture motion receiving Yea votes from fewer than three-fifths of the Senators by October 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No".
Confirmations are considered part of the Senate’s “advice and consent” function, not part of the Senate’s “legislative process,” and will therefore not count towards this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. government.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Senate passes a motion to invoke cloture and end debate on any part of the legislative process, with such a cloture motion receiving Yea votes from fewer than three-fifths of the Senators by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No".
Confirmations are considered part of the Senate’s “advice and consent” function, not part of the Senate’s “legislative process,” and will therefore not count towards this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. government.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Senate passes a motion to invoke cloture and end debate on any part of the legislative process, with such a cloture motion receiving Yea votes from fewer than three-fifths of the Senators by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No".
Confirmations are considered part of the Senate’s “advice and consent” function, not part of the Senate’s “legislative process,” and will therefore not count towards this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. government.Senate Republicans hold a majority but have shown limited appetite for fully eliminating the legislative filibuster through the nuclear option, a rules change requiring only a simple majority vote. President Trump repeatedly urged this step in late 2025 amid a government shutdown standoff, while Senate GOP leaders including Majority Leader John Thune prioritized narrower adjustments, such as the September 2025 precedent allowing en bloc confirmation of executive nominees. Discussions resurfaced in early 2026 around passing voter legislation and following a high-profile incident, yet institutional resistance persists given historical precedent and concerns over future minority-party leverage. Upcoming Senate floor activity on appropriations or confirmation backlogs could test whether momentum builds for broader reform before the end of the session.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Senate passes a motion to invoke cloture and end debate on any part of the legislative process, with such a cloture motion receiving Yea votes from fewer than three-fifths of the Senators by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No".
Confirmations are considered part of the Senate’s “advice and consent” function, not part of the Senate’s “legislative process,” and will therefore not count towards this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. government.
Confirmations are considered part of the Senate’s “advice and consent” function, not part of the Senate’s “legislative process,” and will therefore not count towards this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. government.
交易量
$559,704结束日期
2026-03-31市场开放时间
Jan 2, 2026, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Senate Republicans hold a majority but have shown limited appetite for fully eliminating the legislative filibuster through the nuclear option, a rules change requiring only a simple majority vote. President Trump repeatedly urged this step in late 2025 amid a government shutdown standoff, while Senate GOP leaders including Majority Leader John Thune prioritized narrower adjustments, such as the September 2025 precedent allowing en bloc confirmation of executive nominees. Discussions resurfaced in early 2026 around passing voter legislation and following a high-profile incident, yet institutional resistance persists given historical precedent and concerns over future minority-party leverage. Upcoming Senate floor activity on appropriations or confirmation backlogs could test whether momentum builds for broader reform before the end of the session.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题