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icon for Will the Senate pass another reconciliation bill by...?

Will the Senate pass another reconciliation bill by...?

icon for Will the Senate pass another reconciliation bill by...?

Will the Senate pass another reconciliation bill by...?

最新
2026-09-30
Polymarket

$3,890 交易量

Polymarket

September 30

$514 交易量

5%

December 31

$2,211 交易量

31%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Senate passes a reconciliation bill between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Government. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Republicans hold unified control of Congress and the White House in 2026, enabling use of the budget reconciliation process to advance fiscal legislation with a simple Senate majority rather than the 60-vote cloture threshold. Two prior packages cleared earlier in the Congress—one focused on tax policy and another providing mandatory funding for immigration enforcement agencies through fiscal 2029. Senate leadership has delayed action on a fiscal 2027 budget resolution needed to authorize a third package, prioritizing passage of a short-term continuing resolution through December instead. Internal Republican divisions over defense increases, offsets, and policy riders, combined with midterm election pressures, have slowed momentum for another bill before November.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Senate passes a reconciliation bill between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Government. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Senate passes a reconciliation bill between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Government. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$3,890
结束日期
2027-01-01
市场开放时间
Jun 26, 2026, 3:30 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Senate passes a reconciliation bill between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Government. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Republicans hold unified control of Congress and the White House in 2026, enabling use of the budget reconciliation process to advance fiscal legislation with a simple Senate majority rather than the 60-vote cloture threshold. Two prior packages cleared earlier in the Congress—one focused on tax policy and another providing mandatory funding for immigration enforcement agencies through fiscal 2029. Senate leadership has delayed action on a fiscal 2027 budget resolution needed to authorize a third package, prioritizing passage of a short-term continuing resolution through December instead. Internal Republican divisions over defense increases, offsets, and policy riders, combined with midterm election pressures, have slowed momentum for another bill before November.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Senate passes a reconciliation bill between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Government. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Senate passes a reconciliation bill between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Government. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$3,890
结束日期
2027-01-01
市场开放时间
Jun 26, 2026, 3:30 PM ET

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常见问题

"Will the Senate pass another reconciliation bill by...?"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 3 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"December 31",概率为 31%,其次是"September 30",概率为 5%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 31¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 31%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

"Will the Senate pass another reconciliation bill by...?"是 Polymarket 上新创建的市场,于Jun 26, 2026上线。作为一个新市场,这是你率先设定赔率并建立初始价格信号的机会。你也可以将本页加入书签,以便跟踪交易量和活动。

要在"Will the Senate pass another reconciliation bill by...?"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 3 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"Will the Senate pass another reconciliation bill by...?"的当前领先者是"December 31",概率为 31%,意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 31%。紧随其后的结果是"September 30",概率为 5%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"Will the Senate pass another reconciliation bill by...?"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。