Rising component costs, particularly for RAM and high-capacity storage amid ongoing global chip shortages, have driven Polymarket traders to price a 72% implied probability that Valve's Steam Machine will launch at $700 or more for the base 512GB model. Valve's February delay announcement explicitly tied pricing uncertainty to these supply chain pressures, pushing estimates from sub-$700 toward $799 or higher, as echoed in recent Czech retailer leaks listing it near $950—though some analysts question those figures based on import data suggesting $600–$650. Late April reports from IGN and Insider Gaming indicate an imminent price reveal alongside the first-half 2026 release window, with traders watching for official confirmation that could swing odds amid competitive positioning against premium gaming handhelds like the Steam Deck OLED.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于是
$159,936 交易量
$159,936 交易量
2025-12-31
是
$159,936 交易量
$159,936 交易量
2025-12-31
Valve has announced the release of the new Steam Machine gaming console in early 2026. (see: https://store.steampowered.com/sale/steammachine)
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the price of Valve's Steam Machine 512GB edition is $700 or greater upon release. In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient. This market is specifically about the Steam Machine with 512GB of storage. The product must be named "Steam Machine" to qualify.
If the Steam Machine 512GB edition gaming console is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Valve. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Rising component costs, particularly for RAM and high-capacity storage amid ongoing global chip shortages, have driven Polymarket traders to price a 72% implied probability that Valve's Steam Machine will launch at $700 or more for the base 512GB model. Valve's February delay announcement explicitly tied pricing uncertainty to these supply chain pressures, pushing estimates from sub-$700 toward $799 or higher, as echoed in recent Czech retailer leaks listing it near $950—though some analysts question those figures based on import data suggesting $600–$650. Late April reports from IGN and Insider Gaming indicate an imminent price reveal alongside the first-half 2026 release window, with traders watching for official confirmation that could swing odds amid competitive positioning against premium gaming handhelds like the Steam Deck OLED.
Valve has announced the release of the new Steam Machine gaming console in early 2026. (see: https://store.steampowered.com/sale/steammachine)
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the price of Valve's Steam Machine 512GB edition is $700 or greater upon release. In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient. This market is specifically about the Steam Machine with 512GB of storage. The product must be named "Steam Machine" to qualify.
If the Steam Machine 512GB edition gaming console is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Valve. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the price of Valve's Steam Machine 512GB edition is $700 or greater upon release. In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient. This market is specifically about the Steam Machine with 512GB of storage. The product must be named "Steam Machine" to qualify.
If the Steam Machine 512GB edition gaming console is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Valve. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Nov 14, 2025, 7:16 PM ET
交易量
$159,936结束日期
2025-12-31市场开放时间
Nov 14, 2025, 7:16 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Valve has announced the release of the new Steam Machine gaming console in early 2026. (see: https://store.steampowered.com/sale/steammachine)
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the price of Valve's Steam Machine 512GB edition is $700 or greater upon release. In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient. This market is specifically about the Steam Machine with 512GB of storage. The product must be named "Steam Machine" to qualify.
If the Steam Machine 512GB edition gaming console is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Valve. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Rising component costs, particularly for RAM and high-capacity storage amid ongoing global chip shortages, have driven Polymarket traders to price a 72% implied probability that Valve's Steam Machine will launch at $700 or more for the base 512GB model. Valve's February delay announcement explicitly tied pricing uncertainty to these supply chain pressures, pushing estimates from sub-$700 toward $799 or higher, as echoed in recent Czech retailer leaks listing it near $950—though some analysts question those figures based on import data suggesting $600–$650. Late April reports from IGN and Insider Gaming indicate an imminent price reveal alongside the first-half 2026 release window, with traders watching for official confirmation that could swing odds amid competitive positioning against premium gaming handhelds like the Steam Deck OLED.
Valve has announced the release of the new Steam Machine gaming console in early 2026. (see: https://store.steampowered.com/sale/steammachine)
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the price of Valve's Steam Machine 512GB edition is $700 or greater upon release. In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient. This market is specifically about the Steam Machine with 512GB of storage. The product must be named "Steam Machine" to qualify.
If the Steam Machine 512GB edition gaming console is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Valve. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the price of Valve's Steam Machine 512GB edition is $700 or greater upon release. In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient. This market is specifically about the Steam Machine with 512GB of storage. The product must be named "Steam Machine" to qualify.
If the Steam Machine 512GB edition gaming console is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Valve. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$159,936结束日期
2025-12-31市场开放时间
Nov 14, 2025, 7:16 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Rising component costs, particularly for RAM and high-capacity storage amid ongoing global chip shortages, have driven Polymarket traders to price a 72% implied probability that Valve's Steam Machine will launch at $700 or more for the base 512GB model. Valve's February delay announcement explicitly tied pricing uncertainty to these supply chain pressures, pushing estimates from sub-$700 toward $799 or higher, as echoed in recent Czech retailer leaks listing it near $950—though some analysts question those figures based on import data suggesting $600–$650. Late April reports from IGN and Insider Gaming indicate an imminent price reveal alongside the first-half 2026 release window, with traders watching for official confirmation that could swing odds amid competitive positioning against premium gaming handhelds like the Steam Deck OLED.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题