Ongoing tensions following the June 2026 U.S.-Iran memorandum of understanding have strained prospects for a final agreement. Renewed exchanges of strikes, the U.S. revocation of an oil sanctions waiver, and reported violations of the interim ceasefire have interrupted technical talks on nuclear issues, sanctions relief, and navigation in the Strait of Hormuz. UN Security Council briefings have highlighted gaps in oversight of Iran's nuclear program amid recent military actions. These developments, combined with the need for unanimous permanent-member support on any endorsing resolution, underpin trader expectations that a comprehensive deal will not reach the required UNSC endorsement by the December 31 deadline.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于是
22% 概率
$156,635 交易量
$156,635 交易量
2026-12-31
是
22% 概率
$156,635 交易量
$156,635 交易量
2026-12-31
On June 14, 2026, the United States and Iran announced a written diplomatic agreement, which stated in Clause 14 that it would culminate in a “final deal” to be endorsed by a binding United Nations Security Council resolution.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United Nations Security Council formally adopts a resolution that endorses, approves, implements, gives legal effect to, or incorporates such a “final deal” by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The “final U.S.-Iran deal” refers to a diplomatic agreement identified as the final deal contemplated by the June 14, 2026, memorandum of understanding, either in the text of the resolution, official United States or Iranian communications, or by a consensus of credible reporting.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Ongoing tensions following the June 2026 U.S.-Iran memorandum of understanding have strained prospects for a final agreement. Renewed exchanges of strikes, the U.S. revocation of an oil sanctions waiver, and reported violations of the interim ceasefire have interrupted technical talks on nuclear issues, sanctions relief, and navigation in the Strait of Hormuz. UN Security Council briefings have highlighted gaps in oversight of Iran's nuclear program amid recent military actions. These developments, combined with the need for unanimous permanent-member support on any endorsing resolution, underpin trader expectations that a comprehensive deal will not reach the required UNSC endorsement by the December 31 deadline.
On June 14, 2026, the United States and Iran announced a written diplomatic agreement, which stated in Clause 14 that it would culminate in a “final deal” to be endorsed by a binding United Nations Security Council resolution.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United Nations Security Council formally adopts a resolution that endorses, approves, implements, gives legal effect to, or incorporates such a “final deal” by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The “final U.S.-Iran deal” refers to a diplomatic agreement identified as the final deal contemplated by the June 14, 2026, memorandum of understanding, either in the text of the resolution, official United States or Iranian communications, or by a consensus of credible reporting.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United Nations Security Council formally adopts a resolution that endorses, approves, implements, gives legal effect to, or incorporates such a “final deal” by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The “final U.S.-Iran deal” refers to a diplomatic agreement identified as the final deal contemplated by the June 14, 2026, memorandum of understanding, either in the text of the resolution, official United States or Iranian communications, or by a consensus of credible reporting.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
市场开放时间： Jun 23, 2026, 12:51 AM ET
交易量
$156,635结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Jun 23, 2026, 12:51 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...On June 14, 2026, the United States and Iran announced a written diplomatic agreement, which stated in Clause 14 that it would culminate in a “final deal” to be endorsed by a binding United Nations Security Council resolution.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United Nations Security Council formally adopts a resolution that endorses, approves, implements, gives legal effect to, or incorporates such a “final deal” by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The “final U.S.-Iran deal” refers to a diplomatic agreement identified as the final deal contemplated by the June 14, 2026, memorandum of understanding, either in the text of the resolution, official United States or Iranian communications, or by a consensus of credible reporting.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Ongoing tensions following the June 2026 U.S.-Iran memorandum of understanding have strained prospects for a final agreement. Renewed exchanges of strikes, the U.S. revocation of an oil sanctions waiver, and reported violations of the interim ceasefire have interrupted technical talks on nuclear issues, sanctions relief, and navigation in the Strait of Hormuz. UN Security Council briefings have highlighted gaps in oversight of Iran's nuclear program amid recent military actions. These developments, combined with the need for unanimous permanent-member support on any endorsing resolution, underpin trader expectations that a comprehensive deal will not reach the required UNSC endorsement by the December 31 deadline.
On June 14, 2026, the United States and Iran announced a written diplomatic agreement, which stated in Clause 14 that it would culminate in a “final deal” to be endorsed by a binding United Nations Security Council resolution.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United Nations Security Council formally adopts a resolution that endorses, approves, implements, gives legal effect to, or incorporates such a “final deal” by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The “final U.S.-Iran deal” refers to a diplomatic agreement identified as the final deal contemplated by the June 14, 2026, memorandum of understanding, either in the text of the resolution, official United States or Iranian communications, or by a consensus of credible reporting.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United Nations Security Council formally adopts a resolution that endorses, approves, implements, gives legal effect to, or incorporates such a “final deal” by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The “final U.S.-Iran deal” refers to a diplomatic agreement identified as the final deal contemplated by the June 14, 2026, memorandum of understanding, either in the text of the resolution, official United States or Iranian communications, or by a consensus of credible reporting.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$156,635结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Jun 23, 2026, 12:51 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Ongoing tensions following the June 2026 U.S.-Iran memorandum of understanding have strained prospects for a final agreement. Renewed exchanges of strikes, the U.S. revocation of an oil sanctions waiver, and reported violations of the interim ceasefire have interrupted technical talks on nuclear issues, sanctions relief, and navigation in the Strait of Hormuz. UN Security Council briefings have highlighted gaps in oversight of Iran's nuclear program amid recent military actions. These developments, combined with the need for unanimous permanent-member support on any endorsing resolution, underpin trader expectations that a comprehensive deal will not reach the required UNSC endorsement by the December 31 deadline.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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