US military strikes on Caracas on January 3, 2026, captured Nicolás Maduro via special operations forces with CIA support but stopped short of ground occupation or regime replacement by US troops, as officials explicitly distinguished the action from an invasion. The operation followed months of Caribbean naval buildup and boat interdictions framed as counter-narcotics efforts. Delcy Rodríguez assumed the interim presidency amid a declared state of emergency, with Venezuela remaining under US pressure including reported blockades and influence over appointments and resources. June 2026 earthquakes near Caracas worsened the humanitarian situation, while August 2026 bipartisan Senate calls for elections highlight ongoing diplomatic and institutional pressures rather than further kinetic escalation. These developments shape trader views on whether additional direct military intervention meets typical invasion criteria before any market resolution date.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$14,194,773 交易量
2026-03-31
12月31日
5%
$14,194,773 交易量
12月31日
$238,765 交易量
5%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Venezuela between November 3, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Venezuela or the United States as of September 6, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Venezuela between September 6 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Venezuela or the United States as of September 6, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Venezuela between November 3, 2025, and January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Venezuela or the United States as of September 6, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Venezuela between November 3, 2025 and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Venezuela or the United States as of September 6, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.US military strikes on Caracas on January 3, 2026, captured Nicolás Maduro via special operations forces with CIA support but stopped short of ground occupation or regime replacement by US troops, as officials explicitly distinguished the action from an invasion. The operation followed months of Caribbean naval buildup and boat interdictions framed as counter-narcotics efforts. Delcy Rodríguez assumed the interim presidency amid a declared state of emergency, with Venezuela remaining under US pressure including reported blockades and influence over appointments and resources. June 2026 earthquakes near Caracas worsened the humanitarian situation, while August 2026 bipartisan Senate calls for elections highlight ongoing diplomatic and institutional pressures rather than further kinetic escalation. These developments shape trader views on whether additional direct military intervention meets typical invasion criteria before any market resolution date.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Venezuela between November 3, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Venezuela or the United States as of September 6, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Venezuela or the United States as of September 6, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
市场开放时间： Jan 4, 2026, 3:18 PM ET
交易量
$14,194,773结束日期
2026-03-31市场开放时间
Jan 4, 2026, 3:18 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Venezuela between November 3, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Venezuela or the United States as of September 6, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Venezuela between September 6 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Venezuela or the United States as of September 6, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Venezuela between November 3, 2025, and January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Venezuela or the United States as of September 6, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Venezuela between November 3, 2025 and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Venezuela or the United States as of September 6, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.US military strikes on Caracas on January 3, 2026, captured Nicolás Maduro via special operations forces with CIA support but stopped short of ground occupation or regime replacement by US troops, as officials explicitly distinguished the action from an invasion. The operation followed months of Caribbean naval buildup and boat interdictions framed as counter-narcotics efforts. Delcy Rodríguez assumed the interim presidency amid a declared state of emergency, with Venezuela remaining under US pressure including reported blockades and influence over appointments and resources. June 2026 earthquakes near Caracas worsened the humanitarian situation, while August 2026 bipartisan Senate calls for elections highlight ongoing diplomatic and institutional pressures rather than further kinetic escalation. These developments shape trader views on whether additional direct military intervention meets typical invasion criteria before any market resolution date.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Venezuela between November 3, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Venezuela or the United States as of September 6, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Venezuela or the United States as of September 6, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
交易量
$14,194,773结束日期
2026-03-31市场开放时间
Jan 4, 2026, 3:18 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...US military strikes on Caracas on January 3, 2026, captured Nicolás Maduro via special operations forces with CIA support but stopped short of ground occupation or regime replacement by US troops, as officials explicitly distinguished the action from an invasion. The operation followed months of Caribbean naval buildup and boat interdictions framed as counter-narcotics efforts. Delcy Rodríguez assumed the interim presidency amid a declared state of emergency, with Venezuela remaining under US pressure including reported blockades and influence over appointments and resources. June 2026 earthquakes near Caracas worsened the humanitarian situation, while August 2026 bipartisan Senate calls for elections highlight ongoing diplomatic and institutional pressures rather than further kinetic escalation. These developments shape trader views on whether additional direct military intervention meets typical invasion criteria before any market resolution date.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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