US-Iran diplomatic relations remain severed since 1979, with the former US embassy compound in Tehran under Iranian control and interests represented solely through Switzerland as protecting power. Recent 2026 developments, including direct hostilities, airstrikes near the compound, and multiple rounds of negotiations culminating in a June memorandum of understanding on ceasefires, the Strait of Hormuz, sanctions relief, and nuclear issues, have not produced full normalization or any announced steps toward embassy reopening. Ongoing security alerts for US citizens, unresolved disputes over enrichment, regional proxies, and implementation of the framework agreement sustain trader expectations that bilateral ties will stay limited through the end of the year. A complete restoration of diplomatic facilities would require verifiable progress on core sticking points well beyond current technical talks, a threshold not crossed in prior similar efforts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于是
5% 概率
$158,294 交易量
$158,294 交易量
2026-12-31
是
5% 概率
$158,294 交易量
$158,294 交易量
2026-12-31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces the reopening/opening of any embassy or consulate in Iran, or if such a reopening/opening is otherwise confirmed, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An official announcement made within this market’s timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual embassy or consulate opening subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Any opening of a U.S. embassy or consulate in Iran will qualify regardless of its exact location.
Announcements that do not clearly commit to opening an embassy or consulate, such as general diplomatic statements, exploratory comments, or partial/conditional steps, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the Governments of the U.S.; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.US-Iran diplomatic relations remain severed since 1979, with the former US embassy compound in Tehran under Iranian control and interests represented solely through Switzerland as protecting power. Recent 2026 developments, including direct hostilities, airstrikes near the compound, and multiple rounds of negotiations culminating in a June memorandum of understanding on ceasefires, the Strait of Hormuz, sanctions relief, and nuclear issues, have not produced full normalization or any announced steps toward embassy reopening. Ongoing security alerts for US citizens, unresolved disputes over enrichment, regional proxies, and implementation of the framework agreement sustain trader expectations that bilateral ties will stay limited through the end of the year. A complete restoration of diplomatic facilities would require verifiable progress on core sticking points well beyond current technical talks, a threshold not crossed in prior similar efforts.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces the reopening/opening of any embassy or consulate in Iran, or if such a reopening/opening is otherwise confirmed, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An official announcement made within this market’s timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual embassy or consulate opening subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Any opening of a U.S. embassy or consulate in Iran will qualify regardless of its exact location.
Announcements that do not clearly commit to opening an embassy or consulate, such as general diplomatic statements, exploratory comments, or partial/conditional steps, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the Governments of the U.S.; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
An official announcement made within this market’s timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual embassy or consulate opening subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Any opening of a U.S. embassy or consulate in Iran will qualify regardless of its exact location.
Announcements that do not clearly commit to opening an embassy or consulate, such as general diplomatic statements, exploratory comments, or partial/conditional steps, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the Governments of the U.S.; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
市场开放时间： Mar 1, 2026, 3:07 PM ET
交易量
$158,294结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Mar 1, 2026, 3:07 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces the reopening/opening of any embassy or consulate in Iran, or if such a reopening/opening is otherwise confirmed, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An official announcement made within this market’s timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual embassy or consulate opening subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Any opening of a U.S. embassy or consulate in Iran will qualify regardless of its exact location.
Announcements that do not clearly commit to opening an embassy or consulate, such as general diplomatic statements, exploratory comments, or partial/conditional steps, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the Governments of the U.S.; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.US-Iran diplomatic relations remain severed since 1979, with the former US embassy compound in Tehran under Iranian control and interests represented solely through Switzerland as protecting power. Recent 2026 developments, including direct hostilities, airstrikes near the compound, and multiple rounds of negotiations culminating in a June memorandum of understanding on ceasefires, the Strait of Hormuz, sanctions relief, and nuclear issues, have not produced full normalization or any announced steps toward embassy reopening. Ongoing security alerts for US citizens, unresolved disputes over enrichment, regional proxies, and implementation of the framework agreement sustain trader expectations that bilateral ties will stay limited through the end of the year. A complete restoration of diplomatic facilities would require verifiable progress on core sticking points well beyond current technical talks, a threshold not crossed in prior similar efforts.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces the reopening/opening of any embassy or consulate in Iran, or if such a reopening/opening is otherwise confirmed, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An official announcement made within this market’s timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual embassy or consulate opening subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Any opening of a U.S. embassy or consulate in Iran will qualify regardless of its exact location.
Announcements that do not clearly commit to opening an embassy or consulate, such as general diplomatic statements, exploratory comments, or partial/conditional steps, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the Governments of the U.S.; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
An official announcement made within this market’s timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual embassy or consulate opening subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Any opening of a U.S. embassy or consulate in Iran will qualify regardless of its exact location.
Announcements that do not clearly commit to opening an embassy or consulate, such as general diplomatic statements, exploratory comments, or partial/conditional steps, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the Governments of the U.S.; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$158,294结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Mar 1, 2026, 3:07 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...US-Iran diplomatic relations remain severed since 1979, with the former US embassy compound in Tehran under Iranian control and interests represented solely through Switzerland as protecting power. Recent 2026 developments, including direct hostilities, airstrikes near the compound, and multiple rounds of negotiations culminating in a June memorandum of understanding on ceasefires, the Strait of Hormuz, sanctions relief, and nuclear issues, have not produced full normalization or any announced steps toward embassy reopening. Ongoing security alerts for US citizens, unresolved disputes over enrichment, regional proxies, and implementation of the framework agreement sustain trader expectations that bilateral ties will stay limited through the end of the year. A complete restoration of diplomatic facilities would require verifiable progress on core sticking points well beyond current technical talks, a threshold not crossed in prior similar efforts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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