Ongoing military tensions from the 2026 Iran conflict, which erupted in late February with US-Iran exchanges and subsequent strikes, continue to preclude any restoration of formal diplomatic relations. A fragile ceasefire remains under pressure after recent rejections of Iranian proposals on the Strait of Hormuz blockade, sanctions relief, and nuclear limits, with indirect talks through Pakistani mediators focused solely on de-escalation. The United States maintains maximum-pressure sanctions on Iranian oil exports and relies on Switzerland as its protecting power in Tehran, without any announced steps toward embassy reopening. These structural barriers, rooted in the absence of ties since 1979, underpin the strong trader consensus against normalization occurring this year.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于是
$80,059 交易量
$80,059 交易量
2026-12-31
是
$80,059 交易量
$80,059 交易量
2026-12-31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces the reopening/opening of any embassy or consulate in Iran, or if such a reopening/opening is otherwise confirmed, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An official announcement made within this market’s timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual embassy or consulate opening subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Any opening of a U.S. embassy or consulate in Iran will qualify regardless of its exact location.
Announcements that do not clearly commit to opening an embassy or consulate, such as general diplomatic statements, exploratory comments, or partial/conditional steps, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the Governments of the U.S.; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Ongoing military tensions from the 2026 Iran conflict, which erupted in late February with US-Iran exchanges and subsequent strikes, continue to preclude any restoration of formal diplomatic relations. A fragile ceasefire remains under pressure after recent rejections of Iranian proposals on the Strait of Hormuz blockade, sanctions relief, and nuclear limits, with indirect talks through Pakistani mediators focused solely on de-escalation. The United States maintains maximum-pressure sanctions on Iranian oil exports and relies on Switzerland as its protecting power in Tehran, without any announced steps toward embassy reopening. These structural barriers, rooted in the absence of ties since 1979, underpin the strong trader consensus against normalization occurring this year.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces the reopening/opening of any embassy or consulate in Iran, or if such a reopening/opening is otherwise confirmed, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An official announcement made within this market’s timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual embassy or consulate opening subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Any opening of a U.S. embassy or consulate in Iran will qualify regardless of its exact location.
Announcements that do not clearly commit to opening an embassy or consulate, such as general diplomatic statements, exploratory comments, or partial/conditional steps, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the Governments of the U.S.; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
An official announcement made within this market’s timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual embassy or consulate opening subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Any opening of a U.S. embassy or consulate in Iran will qualify regardless of its exact location.
Announcements that do not clearly commit to opening an embassy or consulate, such as general diplomatic statements, exploratory comments, or partial/conditional steps, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the Governments of the U.S.; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
市场开放时间： Mar 1, 2026, 3:07 PM ET
交易量
$80,059结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Mar 1, 2026, 3:07 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces the reopening/opening of any embassy or consulate in Iran, or if such a reopening/opening is otherwise confirmed, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An official announcement made within this market’s timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual embassy or consulate opening subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Any opening of a U.S. embassy or consulate in Iran will qualify regardless of its exact location.
Announcements that do not clearly commit to opening an embassy or consulate, such as general diplomatic statements, exploratory comments, or partial/conditional steps, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the Governments of the U.S.; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Ongoing military tensions from the 2026 Iran conflict, which erupted in late February with US-Iran exchanges and subsequent strikes, continue to preclude any restoration of formal diplomatic relations. A fragile ceasefire remains under pressure after recent rejections of Iranian proposals on the Strait of Hormuz blockade, sanctions relief, and nuclear limits, with indirect talks through Pakistani mediators focused solely on de-escalation. The United States maintains maximum-pressure sanctions on Iranian oil exports and relies on Switzerland as its protecting power in Tehran, without any announced steps toward embassy reopening. These structural barriers, rooted in the absence of ties since 1979, underpin the strong trader consensus against normalization occurring this year.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces the reopening/opening of any embassy or consulate in Iran, or if such a reopening/opening is otherwise confirmed, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An official announcement made within this market’s timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual embassy or consulate opening subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Any opening of a U.S. embassy or consulate in Iran will qualify regardless of its exact location.
Announcements that do not clearly commit to opening an embassy or consulate, such as general diplomatic statements, exploratory comments, or partial/conditional steps, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the Governments of the U.S.; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
An official announcement made within this market’s timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual embassy or consulate opening subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Any opening of a U.S. embassy or consulate in Iran will qualify regardless of its exact location.
Announcements that do not clearly commit to opening an embassy or consulate, such as general diplomatic statements, exploratory comments, or partial/conditional steps, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the Governments of the U.S.; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$80,059结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Mar 1, 2026, 3:07 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Ongoing military tensions from the 2026 Iran conflict, which erupted in late February with US-Iran exchanges and subsequent strikes, continue to preclude any restoration of formal diplomatic relations. A fragile ceasefire remains under pressure after recent rejections of Iranian proposals on the Strait of Hormuz blockade, sanctions relief, and nuclear limits, with indirect talks through Pakistani mediators focused solely on de-escalation. The United States maintains maximum-pressure sanctions on Iranian oil exports and relies on Switzerland as its protecting power in Tehran, without any announced steps toward embassy reopening. These structural barriers, rooted in the absence of ties since 1979, underpin the strong trader consensus against normalization occurring this year.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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