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icon for 弗吉尼亚州堕胎保护修正案是否会通过?

弗吉尼亚州堕胎保护修正案是否会通过?

icon for 弗吉尼亚州堕胎保护修正案是否会通过?

弗吉尼亚州堕胎保护修正案是否会通过?

91% 概率
Polymarket
最新

91% 概率
Polymarket
最新
Virginia voters are scheduled to vote in the November 3, 2026 midterm elections on a constitutional amendment which, if passed, would establish a constitutional right to reproductive freedom in the state. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Virginia Right to Reproductive Freedom constitutional amendment passes according to Virginia election procedure. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” If this constitutional amendment is removed from the November 3, 2026 ballot in Virginia, this market will resolve immediately to “No.” If, for any reason, the results of this vote are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No.” This market will resolve based on the results of the vote according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results reported by the Commonwealth of Virginia, specifically the Virginia Department of Elections (https://www.elections.virginia.gov/results/).**Virginia’s Right to Reproductive Freedom Amendment** cleared the required two-session legislative process in January 2026 after Democrats retained majorities in the 2025 House elections, followed by enabling legislation signed in February. It now appears as Question 1 on the November 3, 2026 ballot, guaranteeing a constitutional right to reproductive decisions including abortion, contraception, and fertility care while permitting third-trimester regulation when the fetus is viable or the patient’s life or health is not at risk. Multiple lawsuits challenging procedural steps or ballot language were filed in early 2026, but a July trial-court dismissal removed one key obstacle and the measure remains certified with early voting set to begin in September. These developments, combined with Virginia’s recent electoral patterns and the absence of further successful legal blocks, underpin trader assessments that passage is the more probable outcome.

Virginia voters are scheduled to vote in the November 3, 2026 midterm elections on a constitutional amendment which, if passed, would establish a constitutional right to reproductive freedom in the state.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Virginia Right to Reproductive Freedom constitutional amendment passes according to Virginia election procedure. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

If this constitutional amendment is removed from the November 3, 2026 ballot in Virginia, this market will resolve immediately to “No.”

If, for any reason, the results of this vote are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No.”

This market will resolve based on the results of the vote according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results reported by the Commonwealth of Virginia, specifically the Virginia Department of Elections (https://www.elections.virginia.gov/results/).
交易量
$1,539
结束日期
2026-11-03
市场开放时间
Mar 2, 2026, 6:14 PM ET
Virginia voters are scheduled to vote in the November 3, 2026 midterm elections on a constitutional amendment which, if passed, would establish a constitutional right to reproductive freedom in the state. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Virginia Right to Reproductive Freedom constitutional amendment passes according to Virginia election procedure. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” If this constitutional amendment is removed from the November 3, 2026 ballot in Virginia, this market will resolve immediately to “No.” If, for any reason, the results of this vote are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No.” This market will resolve based on the results of the vote according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results reported by the Commonwealth of Virginia, specifically the Virginia Department of Elections (https://www.elections.virginia.gov/results/).
Virginia voters are scheduled to vote in the November 3, 2026 midterm elections on a constitutional amendment which, if passed, would establish a constitutional right to reproductive freedom in the state. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Virginia Right to Reproductive Freedom constitutional amendment passes according to Virginia election procedure. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” If this constitutional amendment is removed from the November 3, 2026 ballot in Virginia, this market will resolve immediately to “No.” If, for any reason, the results of this vote are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No.” This market will resolve based on the results of the vote according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results reported by the Commonwealth of Virginia, specifically the Virginia Department of Elections (https://www.elections.virginia.gov/results/).**Virginia’s Right to Reproductive Freedom Amendment** cleared the required two-session legislative process in January 2026 after Democrats retained majorities in the 2025 House elections, followed by enabling legislation signed in February. It now appears as Question 1 on the November 3, 2026 ballot, guaranteeing a constitutional right to reproductive decisions including abortion, contraception, and fertility care while permitting third-trimester regulation when the fetus is viable or the patient’s life or health is not at risk. Multiple lawsuits challenging procedural steps or ballot language were filed in early 2026, but a July trial-court dismissal removed one key obstacle and the measure remains certified with early voting set to begin in September. These developments, combined with Virginia’s recent electoral patterns and the absence of further successful legal blocks, underpin trader assessments that passage is the more probable outcome.

Virginia voters are scheduled to vote in the November 3, 2026 midterm elections on a constitutional amendment which, if passed, would establish a constitutional right to reproductive freedom in the state.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Virginia Right to Reproductive Freedom constitutional amendment passes according to Virginia election procedure. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

If this constitutional amendment is removed from the November 3, 2026 ballot in Virginia, this market will resolve immediately to “No.”

If, for any reason, the results of this vote are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No.”

This market will resolve based on the results of the vote according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results reported by the Commonwealth of Virginia, specifically the Virginia Department of Elections (https://www.elections.virginia.gov/results/).
交易量
$1,539
结束日期
2026-11-03
市场开放时间
Mar 2, 2026, 6:14 PM ET
Virginia voters are scheduled to vote in the November 3, 2026 midterm elections on a constitutional amendment which, if passed, would establish a constitutional right to reproductive freedom in the state. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Virginia Right to Reproductive Freedom constitutional amendment passes according to Virginia election procedure. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” If this constitutional amendment is removed from the November 3, 2026 ballot in Virginia, this market will resolve immediately to “No.” If, for any reason, the results of this vote are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No.” This market will resolve based on the results of the vote according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results reported by the Commonwealth of Virginia, specifically the Virginia Department of Elections (https://www.elections.virginia.gov/results/).

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"弗吉尼亚州堕胎保护修正案是否会通过?"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 2 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"弗吉尼亚堕胎保护修正案会通过吗?",概率为 91%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 91¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 91%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

"弗吉尼亚州堕胎保护修正案是否会通过?"是 Polymarket 上新创建的市场,于Mar 2, 2026上线。作为一个新市场,这是你率先设定赔率并建立初始价格信号的机会。你也可以将本页加入书签,以便跟踪交易量和活动。

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"弗吉尼亚州堕胎保护修正案是否会通过?"的当前领先者是"弗吉尼亚堕胎保护修正案会通过吗?",概率为 91%,意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 91%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

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