The steep procedural barriers of the constitutional amendment process represent the dominant factor behind trader consensus against repeal of presidential term limits during 2026. Any change would require two-thirds majorities in both chambers of Congress followed by ratification by three-quarters of the states, a threshold that has succeeded only rarely in U.S. history and faces entrenched partisan divisions. Recent developments, including limited congressional resolutions proposing adjustments to term rules and public comments from administration figures, have generated discussion but produced no measurable legislative momentum or broad bipartisan backing. While scheduled votes or sudden shifts in Senate or House composition could theoretically open pathways, such developments remain distant given the current balance of power and historical precedent for amendment passage.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于是
5% 概率
$12,999 交易量
$12,999 交易量
2026-12-31
是
5% 概率
$12,999 交易量
$12,999 交易量
2026-12-31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump signs any bill into law that aims to repeal or alter presidential term limits as defined by the 22nd Amendment to the U.S. Constitution, such a bill is otherwise passed into law, or if the U.S. Supreme Court rules in a way that would permit a president to serve more than two terms by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Any law signed meeting these criteria will count, even if its implementation is immediately halted or delayed by judicial or other actions.
This market's resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration and U.S. Supreme Court decisions.The steep procedural barriers of the constitutional amendment process represent the dominant factor behind trader consensus against repeal of presidential term limits during 2026. Any change would require two-thirds majorities in both chambers of Congress followed by ratification by three-quarters of the states, a threshold that has succeeded only rarely in U.S. history and faces entrenched partisan divisions. Recent developments, including limited congressional resolutions proposing adjustments to term rules and public comments from administration figures, have generated discussion but produced no measurable legislative momentum or broad bipartisan backing. While scheduled votes or sudden shifts in Senate or House composition could theoretically open pathways, such developments remain distant given the current balance of power and historical precedent for amendment passage.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump signs any bill into law that aims to repeal or alter presidential term limits as defined by the 22nd Amendment to the U.S. Constitution, such a bill is otherwise passed into law, or if the U.S. Supreme Court rules in a way that would permit a president to serve more than two terms by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Any law signed meeting these criteria will count, even if its implementation is immediately halted or delayed by judicial or other actions.
This market's resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration and U.S. Supreme Court decisions.
Any law signed meeting these criteria will count, even if its implementation is immediately halted or delayed by judicial or other actions.
This market's resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration and U.S. Supreme Court decisions.
市场开放时间： Feb 2, 2026, 5:18 PM ET
交易量
$12,999结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Feb 2, 2026, 5:18 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump signs any bill into law that aims to repeal or alter presidential term limits as defined by the 22nd Amendment to the U.S. Constitution, such a bill is otherwise passed into law, or if the U.S. Supreme Court rules in a way that would permit a president to serve more than two terms by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Any law signed meeting these criteria will count, even if its implementation is immediately halted or delayed by judicial or other actions.
This market's resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration and U.S. Supreme Court decisions.The steep procedural barriers of the constitutional amendment process represent the dominant factor behind trader consensus against repeal of presidential term limits during 2026. Any change would require two-thirds majorities in both chambers of Congress followed by ratification by three-quarters of the states, a threshold that has succeeded only rarely in U.S. history and faces entrenched partisan divisions. Recent developments, including limited congressional resolutions proposing adjustments to term rules and public comments from administration figures, have generated discussion but produced no measurable legislative momentum or broad bipartisan backing. While scheduled votes or sudden shifts in Senate or House composition could theoretically open pathways, such developments remain distant given the current balance of power and historical precedent for amendment passage.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump signs any bill into law that aims to repeal or alter presidential term limits as defined by the 22nd Amendment to the U.S. Constitution, such a bill is otherwise passed into law, or if the U.S. Supreme Court rules in a way that would permit a president to serve more than two terms by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Any law signed meeting these criteria will count, even if its implementation is immediately halted or delayed by judicial or other actions.
This market's resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration and U.S. Supreme Court decisions.
Any law signed meeting these criteria will count, even if its implementation is immediately halted or delayed by judicial or other actions.
This market's resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration and U.S. Supreme Court decisions.
交易量
$12,999结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Feb 2, 2026, 5:18 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The steep procedural barriers of the constitutional amendment process represent the dominant factor behind trader consensus against repeal of presidential term limits during 2026. Any change would require two-thirds majorities in both chambers of Congress followed by ratification by three-quarters of the states, a threshold that has succeeded only rarely in U.S. history and faces entrenched partisan divisions. Recent developments, including limited congressional resolutions proposing adjustments to term rules and public comments from administration figures, have generated discussion but produced no measurable legislative momentum or broad bipartisan backing. While scheduled votes or sudden shifts in Senate or House composition could theoretically open pathways, such developments remain distant given the current balance of power and historical precedent for amendment passage.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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