Amid heightened US-Iran tensions following US-Israel strikes that killed Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei in early March 2026, his son Mojtaba was swiftly appointed as successor, prompting President Trump's public skepticism about his health, leadership, and even personal rumors from intelligence briefings. Trump has teased peace negotiations via mediators like Pakistan, halting a Strait of Hormuz operation on May 6 and describing talks with "reasonable" Iranian figures excluding the supreme leader, with no credible reports of direct contact. Ongoing military escalations, including sunk warships and threats, reinforce trader consensus that a Trump-Mojtaba conversation remains improbable before June deadlines, barring a major diplomatic breakthrough or ceasefire.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$432,477 交易量
5月31日
1%
6月30日
2%
$432,477 交易量
5月31日
1%
6月30日
2%
A talk is defined as any interaction between Mojtaba Khamenei and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
市场开放时间: Apr 27, 2026, 2:15 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...A talk is defined as any interaction between Mojtaba Khamenei and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Amid heightened US-Iran tensions following US-Israel strikes that killed Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei in early March 2026, his son Mojtaba was swiftly appointed as successor, prompting President Trump's public skepticism about his health, leadership, and even personal rumors from intelligence briefings. Trump has teased peace negotiations via mediators like Pakistan, halting a Strait of Hormuz operation on May 6 and describing talks with "reasonable" Iranian figures excluding the supreme leader, with no credible reports of direct contact. Ongoing military escalations, including sunk warships and threats, reinforce trader consensus that a Trump-Mojtaba conversation remains improbable before June deadlines, barring a major diplomatic breakthrough or ceasefire.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题