Ukrainian forces have intensified operations in the Zaporizhzhia sector as part of a broader counteroffensive launched earlier this year, with units advancing toward Uspenivka to threaten Russian logistics routes and command nodes near Huliaipole. Russian troops captured the village in recent weeks after concentrating significant forces and artillery to breach Ukrainian lines north of the area, establishing it as a forward base for the 36th Combined Arms Army. Ongoing Ukrainian drone and missile strikes have targeted Russian positions and depots around Uspenivka, while both sides continue limited ground actions amid a brief May ceasefire that allowed rotations and resupply. The outcome hinges on whether Ukrainian assault groups can sustain momentum to re-enter the settlement before Russian reinforcements stabilize the front.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$122,798 交易量
5月31日
16%
$122,798 交易量
5月31日
16%
Territory will be considered captured if any part of the specified territory is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Ukrainian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either "Reported Ukrainian Territorial Gains in the Past 24 Hours", or “Claimed Ukrainian Counteroffensives” will qualify.
Once a qualifying condition is met, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
If Ukraine comes into control of the specified territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded blue in the ISW map. However, an announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Ukraine de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Apr 21, 2026, 6:19 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Territory will be considered captured if any part of the specified territory is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Ukrainian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either "Reported Ukrainian Territorial Gains in the Past 24 Hours", or “Claimed Ukrainian Counteroffensives” will qualify.
Once a qualifying condition is met, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
If Ukraine comes into control of the specified territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded blue in the ISW map. However, an announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Ukraine de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Ukrainian forces have intensified operations in the Zaporizhzhia sector as part of a broader counteroffensive launched earlier this year, with units advancing toward Uspenivka to threaten Russian logistics routes and command nodes near Huliaipole. Russian troops captured the village in recent weeks after concentrating significant forces and artillery to breach Ukrainian lines north of the area, establishing it as a forward base for the 36th Combined Arms Army. Ongoing Ukrainian drone and missile strikes have targeted Russian positions and depots around Uspenivka, while both sides continue limited ground actions amid a brief May ceasefire that allowed rotations and resupply. The outcome hinges on whether Ukrainian assault groups can sustain momentum to re-enter the settlement before Russian reinforcements stabilize the front.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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