**No** holds a 94.2% implied probability because, despite repeated rhetorical statements from President Trump favoring acquisition of Greenland, control over the Strait of Hormuz, or other expansions, no formal annexation has occurred or appears imminent by year-end. A January 2026 House bill authorizing Greenland negotiations remains stalled in committee, while Denmark, Greenlandic officials, and NATO allies have rejected any transfer. Recent September 2026 social media maps and comments on additional areas have drawn diplomatic protests but produced no legislative, executive, or military steps toward sovereignty changes. Constitutional requirements for congressional approval, international legal norms against forcible acquisition, and domestic political constraints continue to limit prospects for completing any annexation within the remaining months of 2026.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于是
6% 概率
$156,973 交易量
$156,973 交易量
2026-12-31
是
6% 概率
$156,973 交易量
$156,973 交易量
2026-12-31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States officially annexes any territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the US government claiming sovereignty over territory they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation.
Qualifying examples of annexation include the Louisiana Purchase, however instances where settlers claim administrative control over land without a formal annexation will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**No** holds a 94.2% implied probability because, despite repeated rhetorical statements from President Trump favoring acquisition of Greenland, control over the Strait of Hormuz, or other expansions, no formal annexation has occurred or appears imminent by year-end. A January 2026 House bill authorizing Greenland negotiations remains stalled in committee, while Denmark, Greenlandic officials, and NATO allies have rejected any transfer. Recent September 2026 social media maps and comments on additional areas have drawn diplomatic protests but produced no legislative, executive, or military steps toward sovereignty changes. Constitutional requirements for congressional approval, international legal norms against forcible acquisition, and domestic political constraints continue to limit prospects for completing any annexation within the remaining months of 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States officially annexes any territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the US government claiming sovereignty over territory they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation.
Qualifying examples of annexation include the Louisiana Purchase, however instances where settlers claim administrative control over land without a formal annexation will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the US government claiming sovereignty over territory they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation.
Qualifying examples of annexation include the Louisiana Purchase, however instances where settlers claim administrative control over land without a formal annexation will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Jan 6, 2026, 1:41 PM ET
交易量
$156,973结束日期
2027-01-01市场开放时间
Jan 6, 2026, 1:41 PM ETThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States officially annexes any territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the US government claiming sovereignty over territory they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation.
Qualifying examples of annexation include the Louisiana Purchase, however instances where settlers claim administrative control over land without a formal annexation will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**No** holds a 94.2% implied probability because, despite repeated rhetorical statements from President Trump favoring acquisition of Greenland, control over the Strait of Hormuz, or other expansions, no formal annexation has occurred or appears imminent by year-end. A January 2026 House bill authorizing Greenland negotiations remains stalled in committee, while Denmark, Greenlandic officials, and NATO allies have rejected any transfer. Recent September 2026 social media maps and comments on additional areas have drawn diplomatic protests but produced no legislative, executive, or military steps toward sovereignty changes. Constitutional requirements for congressional approval, international legal norms against forcible acquisition, and domestic political constraints continue to limit prospects for completing any annexation within the remaining months of 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States officially annexes any territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the US government claiming sovereignty over territory they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation.
Qualifying examples of annexation include the Louisiana Purchase, however instances where settlers claim administrative control over land without a formal annexation will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the US government claiming sovereignty over territory they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation.
Qualifying examples of annexation include the Louisiana Purchase, however instances where settlers claim administrative control over land without a formal annexation will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$156,973结束日期
2027-01-01市场开放时间
Jan 6, 2026, 1:41 PM ET**No** holds a 94.2% implied probability because, despite repeated rhetorical statements from President Trump favoring acquisition of Greenland, control over the Strait of Hormuz, or other expansions, no formal annexation has occurred or appears imminent by year-end. A January 2026 House bill authorizing Greenland negotiations remains stalled in committee, while Denmark, Greenlandic officials, and NATO allies have rejected any transfer. Recent September 2026 social media maps and comments on additional areas have drawn diplomatic protests but produced no legislative, executive, or military steps toward sovereignty changes. Constitutional requirements for congressional approval, international legal norms against forcible acquisition, and domestic political constraints continue to limit prospects for completing any annexation within the remaining months of 2026.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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