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icon for 世界杯决赛:美国观众

世界杯决赛:美国观众

icon for 世界杯决赛:美国观众

世界杯决赛:美国观众

<30m 50%

30m-34m 50%

34m-38m 50%

38m-42m 50%

Polymarket
最新

<30m 50%

30m-34m 50%

34m-38m 50%

38m-42m 50%

Polymarket
最新

<30m

$0 交易量

50%

30m-34m

$0 交易量

50%

34m-38m

$0 交易量

50%

38m-42m

$0 交易量

50%

42m-46m

$0 交易量

50%

46m-50m

$0 交易量

50%

50m-54m

$0 交易量

50%

54m-58m

$0 交易量

50%

58m+

$0 交易量

50%

This market will resolve according to the number of U.S. viewers (Persons 2+, average total viewers) Nielsen reports the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final between Spain and Argentina as having. If this event is cancelled or otherwise does not occur by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market will resolve based on the first official estimate reported by Nielsen. Any later revisions or retractions will have no bearing on resolution. If the reported number of viewers falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be information from Nielsen, specifically their Persons 2+ statistic. A consensus of credible reporting on Nielsen's Persons 2+ statistic for the FIFA World Cup Final may also be used. If the FIFA World Cup Final takes place, and Nielsen does not provide viewership information for the broadcast of the game within 10 calendar days, another credible source for the FIFA World Cup Final viewership may be chosen.Record U.S. viewership across the 2026 FIFA World Cup has kept the final audience range wide open, with group-stage and knockout matches routinely topping prior benchmarks on Fox, Telemundo, and streaming platforms. USMNT exits in the round of 16 produced combined audiences near 30-50 million for marquee games, while quarterfinals maintained strong numbers in the mid-teens to low-20s million despite no host teams remaining. Favorable North American scheduling, expanded tournament format, and sustained soccer interest have supported momentum, yet the absence of the U.S. team in the July 19 final introduces uncertainty about whether championship appeal and primetime windows can match or exceed recent peaks. Trader pricing across multiple mid-range bins reflects this balance between proven tournament-wide gains and the specific lift (or lack thereof) expected for a non-U.S. final.

This market will resolve according to the number of U.S. viewers (Persons 2+, average total viewers) Nielsen reports the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final between Spain and Argentina as having.

If this event is cancelled or otherwise does not occur by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

This market will resolve based on the first official estimate reported by Nielsen. Any later revisions or retractions will have no bearing on resolution.

If the reported number of viewers falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The resolution source will be information from Nielsen, specifically their Persons 2+ statistic. A consensus of credible reporting on Nielsen's Persons 2+ statistic for the FIFA World Cup Final may also be used. If the FIFA World Cup Final takes place, and Nielsen does not provide viewership information for the broadcast of the game within 10 calendar days, another credible source for the FIFA World Cup Final viewership may be chosen.
交易量
$0
结束日期
2026-07-19
市场开放时间
Jul 16, 2026, 8:53 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the number of U.S. viewers (Persons 2+, average total viewers) Nielsen reports the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final between Spain and Argentina as having. If this event is cancelled or otherwise does not occur by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market will resolve based on the first official estimate reported by Nielsen. Any later revisions or retractions will have no bearing on resolution. If the reported number of viewers falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be information from Nielsen, specifically their Persons 2+ statistic. A consensus of credible reporting on Nielsen's Persons 2+ statistic for the FIFA World Cup Final may also be used. If the FIFA World Cup Final takes place, and Nielsen does not provide viewership information for the broadcast of the game within 10 calendar days, another credible source for the FIFA World Cup Final viewership may be chosen.
This market will resolve according to the number of U.S. viewers (Persons 2+, average total viewers) Nielsen reports the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final between Spain and Argentina as having. If this event is cancelled or otherwise does not occur by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market will resolve based on the first official estimate reported by Nielsen. Any later revisions or retractions will have no bearing on resolution. If the reported number of viewers falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be information from Nielsen, specifically their Persons 2+ statistic. A consensus of credible reporting on Nielsen's Persons 2+ statistic for the FIFA World Cup Final may also be used. If the FIFA World Cup Final takes place, and Nielsen does not provide viewership information for the broadcast of the game within 10 calendar days, another credible source for the FIFA World Cup Final viewership may be chosen.Record U.S. viewership across the 2026 FIFA World Cup has kept the final audience range wide open, with group-stage and knockout matches routinely topping prior benchmarks on Fox, Telemundo, and streaming platforms. USMNT exits in the round of 16 produced combined audiences near 30-50 million for marquee games, while quarterfinals maintained strong numbers in the mid-teens to low-20s million despite no host teams remaining. Favorable North American scheduling, expanded tournament format, and sustained soccer interest have supported momentum, yet the absence of the U.S. team in the July 19 final introduces uncertainty about whether championship appeal and primetime windows can match or exceed recent peaks. Trader pricing across multiple mid-range bins reflects this balance between proven tournament-wide gains and the specific lift (or lack thereof) expected for a non-U.S. final.

This market will resolve according to the number of U.S. viewers (Persons 2+, average total viewers) Nielsen reports the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final between Spain and Argentina as having.

If this event is cancelled or otherwise does not occur by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

This market will resolve based on the first official estimate reported by Nielsen. Any later revisions or retractions will have no bearing on resolution.

If the reported number of viewers falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The resolution source will be information from Nielsen, specifically their Persons 2+ statistic. A consensus of credible reporting on Nielsen's Persons 2+ statistic for the FIFA World Cup Final may also be used. If the FIFA World Cup Final takes place, and Nielsen does not provide viewership information for the broadcast of the game within 10 calendar days, another credible source for the FIFA World Cup Final viewership may be chosen.
交易量
$0
结束日期
2026-07-19
市场开放时间
Jul 16, 2026, 8:53 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the number of U.S. viewers (Persons 2+, average total viewers) Nielsen reports the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final between Spain and Argentina as having. If this event is cancelled or otherwise does not occur by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market will resolve based on the first official estimate reported by Nielsen. Any later revisions or retractions will have no bearing on resolution. If the reported number of viewers falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be information from Nielsen, specifically their Persons 2+ statistic. A consensus of credible reporting on Nielsen's Persons 2+ statistic for the FIFA World Cup Final may also be used. If the FIFA World Cup Final takes place, and Nielsen does not provide viewership information for the broadcast of the game within 10 calendar days, another credible source for the FIFA World Cup Final viewership may be chosen.

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"世界杯决赛:美国观众"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 9 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"<30m",概率为 50%,其次是"30m-34m",概率为 50%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 50¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 50%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

"世界杯决赛:美国观众"是 Polymarket 上新创建的市场,于Jul 16, 2026上线。作为一个新市场,这是你率先设定赔率并建立初始价格信号的机会。你也可以将本页加入书签,以便跟踪交易量和活动。

要在"世界杯决赛:美国观众"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 9 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"世界杯决赛:美国观众"的当前领先者是"<30m",概率为 50%,意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 50%。紧随其后的结果是"30m-34m",概率为 50%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"世界杯决赛:美国观众"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。