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体育·FIFA世界杯

世界杯：金靴奖

icon for 世界杯：金靴奖
体育·FIFA世界杯

世界杯：金靴奖

Kylian Mbappe 17%

Harry Kane 14%

Mikel Oyarzabal 9%

Erling Haaland 6%

Polymarket

$4,953,009 交易量

Kylian Mbappe 17%

Harry Kane 14%

Mikel Oyarzabal 9%

Erling Haaland 6%

Polymarket

$4,953,009 交易量

Kylian Mbappe

$323,369 交易量

17%

Harry Kane

$204,147 交易量

14%

Mikel Oyarzabal

$109,862 交易量

9%

Erling Haaland

$173,388 交易量

6%

Cristiano Ronaldo

$161,053 交易量

5%

Michael Olise

$228,579 交易量

5%

Julian Alvarez

$126,858 交易量

5%

Lionel Messi

$169,123 交易量

4%

Raphinha

$60,570 交易量

4%

Lamine Yamal

$175,105 交易量

3%

Vinicius Junior

$93,648 交易量

3%

Ferran Torres

$200,734 交易量

3%

Ousmane Dembele

$115,430 交易量

2%

Lautaro Martinez

$107,447 交易量

2%

Cody Gakpo

$29,592 交易量

2%

Igor Thiago

$94,366 交易量

2%

Luis Diaz

$129,590 交易量

1%

Bruno Fernandes

$114,336 交易量

1%

Deniz Undav

$120,147 交易量

1%

Luis Javier Suárez

$78,908 交易量

1%

Depay Memphis

$32,979 交易量

1%

Viktor Gyökeres

$68,218 交易量

1%

Desire Doue

$109,968 交易量

1%

Mohamed Salah

$77,479 交易量

1%

Edin Džeko

$67,916 交易量

1%

Dani Olmo

$154,159 交易量

1%

Bukayo Saka

$77,529 交易量

1%

Heung-Min Son

$30,166 交易量

<1%

Jude Bellingham

$88,161 交易量

<1%

Sadio Mane

$53,449 交易量

<1%

Rafael Leao

$73,012 交易量

<1%

Pedri

$130,980 交易量

<1%

Amad Diallo

$100,096 交易量

<1%

Ivan Perišić

$75,983 交易量

<1%

Andrej Kramarić

$76,811 交易量

<1%

Bradley Barcola

$59,567 交易量

<1%

Antoine Semenyo

$94,784 交易量

<1%

Scott McTominay

$110,177 交易量

<1%

Marcus Thuram

$95,647 交易量

<1%

Noah Okafor

$101,089 交易量

<1%

Rodrygo

$164,447 交易量

<1%

Federico Valverde

$82,021 交易量

<1%

Serge Gnabry

$141,021 交易量

<1%

Dion Beljo

$75,167 交易量

<1%

This market will resolve to the player who scores the most goals through all main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup competition. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by FIFA rules. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player who scored fewer goals from penalty kicks. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no leader declared within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The 2026 World Cup Golden Boot market reflects a tightly contested field driven by pre-tournament assessments of team strength, individual scoring pedigrees, and path to opportunities. Kylian Mbappé and Harry Kane lead as consensus frontrunners on the strength of their proven World Cup output, consistent club form, and roles as primary penalty takers for deep-running sides in France and England. Spain’s favored status and attacking depth elevate Mikel Oyarzabal, while Erling Haaland’s elite finishing keeps him competitive despite Norway’s tougher draw. Veterans like Cristiano Ronaldo and Lionel Messi retain value through experience and leadership, but younger contributors such as Lamine Yamal and Michael Olise add volatility. The bunched probabilities underscore how group-stage matchups, knockout progression, and minor fitness updates can rapidly shift implied probabilities among these forwards.

This market will resolve to the player who scores the most goals through all main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup competition.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by FIFA rules. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player who scored fewer goals from penalty kicks. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no leader declared within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$4,953,009
结束日期
2026-07-20
市场开放时间
Apr 24, 2026, 1:07 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the player who scores the most goals through all main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup competition. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by FIFA rules. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player who scored fewer goals from penalty kicks. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no leader declared within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to the player who scores the most goals through all main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup competition. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by FIFA rules. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player who scored fewer goals from penalty kicks. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no leader declared within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The 2026 World Cup Golden Boot market reflects a tightly contested field driven by pre-tournament assessments of team strength, individual scoring pedigrees, and path to opportunities. Kylian Mbappé and Harry Kane lead as consensus frontrunners on the strength of their proven World Cup output, consistent club form, and roles as primary penalty takers for deep-running sides in France and England. Spain’s favored status and attacking depth elevate Mikel Oyarzabal, while Erling Haaland’s elite finishing keeps him competitive despite Norway’s tougher draw. Veterans like Cristiano Ronaldo and Lionel Messi retain value through experience and leadership, but younger contributors such as Lamine Yamal and Michael Olise add volatility. The bunched probabilities underscore how group-stage matchups, knockout progression, and minor fitness updates can rapidly shift implied probabilities among these forwards.

This market will resolve to the player who scores the most goals through all main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup competition.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by FIFA rules. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player who scored fewer goals from penalty kicks. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no leader declared within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$4,953,009
结束日期
2026-07-20
市场开放时间
Apr 24, 2026, 1:07 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the player who scores the most goals through all main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup competition. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by FIFA rules. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player who scored fewer goals from penalty kicks. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no leader declared within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"世界杯：金靴奖"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 44+ 个可能结果的预测市场，交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"Kylian Mbappe"，概率为 17%，其次是"Harry Kane"，概率为 14%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如，价格为 17¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 17%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前，"世界杯：金靴奖"已产生 $5 million 的总交易量（自Apr 24, 2026市场上线以来）。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与，并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"世界杯：金靴奖"上交易，浏览本页上列出的 44+ 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓，选择你认为最可能的结果，选择"是"支持或"否"反对，输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确，你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确，支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"世界杯：金靴奖"的当前领先者是"Kylian Mbappe"，概率为 17%，意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 17%。紧随其后的结果是"Harry Kane"，概率为 14%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"世界杯：金靴奖"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则，因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。