Skip to main content
icon for 世界杯：金靴奖
体育·FIFA世界杯

世界杯：金靴奖

icon for 世界杯：金靴奖
体育·FIFA世界杯

世界杯：金靴奖

Kylian Mbappe 24%

Harry Kane 22%

Lionel Messi 20.1%

Erling Haaland 9%

Polymarket

$19,567,259 交易量

Kylian Mbappe 24%

Harry Kane 22%

Lionel Messi 20.1%

Erling Haaland 9%

Polymarket

$19,567,259 交易量

Kylian Mbappe

$701,304 交易量

24%

Harry Kane

$546,698 交易量

22%

Lionel Messi

$507,813 交易量

20%

Erling Haaland

$492,813 交易量

9%

凯·哈弗茨

$292,784 交易量

5%

Vinicius Junior

$286,952 交易量

3%

Lamine Yamal

$382,236 交易量

2%

福拉林·巴洛贡

$136,995 交易量

2%

Cristiano Ronaldo

$411,449 交易量

1%

Mikel Oyarzabal

$308,563 交易量

1%

Michael Olise

$404,941 交易量

1%

Luis Diaz

$272,259 交易量

1%

Julian Alvarez

$297,320 交易量

1%

Jude Bellingham

$252,851 交易量

<1%

Raphinha

$222,265 交易量

<1%

Viktor Gyökeres

$292,225 交易量

<1%

Lautaro Martinez

$260,258 交易量

<1%

Ferran Torres

$427,537 交易量

<1%

Ousmane Dembele

$286,351 交易量

<1%

Igor Thiago

$1,061,165 交易量

<1%

Deniz Undav

$261,129 交易量

<1%

Cody Gakpo

$1,207,590 交易量

<1%

Mohamed Salah

$223,080 交易量

<1%

Bukayo Saka

$1,377,971 交易量

<1%

Bruno Fernandes

$323,976 交易量

<1%

多尼尔·马伦

$576,588 交易量

<1%

恩德里克

$509,455 交易量

<1%

Scott McTominay

$213,837 交易量

<1%

Depay Memphis

$294,714 交易量

<1%

Heung-Min Son

$219,790 交易量

<1%

Edin Džeko

$210,190 交易量

<1%

Ivan Perišić

$176,588 交易量

<1%

Andrej Kramarić

$156,322 交易量

<1%

Dani Olmo

$306,937 交易量

<1%

Desire Doue

$199,133 交易量

<1%

Bradley Barcola

$120,538 交易量

<1%

Sadio Mane

$233,340 交易量

<1%

Rafael Leao

$763,939 交易量

<1%

Pedri

$428,952 交易量

<1%

Luis Javier Suárez

$235,314 交易量

<1%

罗梅卢·卢卡库

$274,395 交易量

<1%

Antoine Semenyo

$391,509 交易量

<1%

Federico Valverde

$1,022,416 交易量

<1%

弗洛里安·维尔茨

$271,565 交易量

<1%

孟菲斯·德佩

$168,095 交易量

<1%

Noah Okafor

$290,988 交易量

<1%

Rodrygo

$211,519 交易量

<1%

Amad Diallo

$629,776 交易量

<1%

Serge Gnabry

$176,161 交易量

<1%

Marcus Thuram

$129,700 交易量

<1%

蒂姆·佩恩

$3,198 交易量

<1%

Dion Beljo

$114,188 交易量

<1%

This market will resolve to the player who scores the most goals through all main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup competition. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by FIFA rules. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player who scored fewer goals from penalty kicks. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no leader declared within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Kylian Mbappé leads the Golden Boot market at 25.5% implied probability after opening his 2026 account with goals for France in the group stage, building on his 2022 triumph and strong club output at Real Madrid. Lionel Messi sits close behind at 21.1% on the strength of Argentina’s attacking depth and his prior tournament pedigree, while Harry Kane holds 19.5% following a record 61-goal club season at Bayern Munich that reinforces his proven international finishing. Erling Haaland and emerging options like Kai Havertz trail further back, reflecting their teams’ paths and variable early returns. With the expanded 48-team format extending run-ins and several elite forwards still in contention, the tight spread among the top three underscores how group-stage results, knockout progression, and minor scoring swings can rapidly shift consensus on who claims the most goals.

This market will resolve to the player who scores the most goals through all main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup competition.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by FIFA rules. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player who scored fewer goals from penalty kicks. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no leader declared within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$19,567,259
结束日期
2026-07-20
市场开放时间
Apr 24, 2026, 1:07 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the player who scores the most goals through all main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup competition. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by FIFA rules. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player who scored fewer goals from penalty kicks. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no leader declared within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to the player who scores the most goals through all main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup competition. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by FIFA rules. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player who scored fewer goals from penalty kicks. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no leader declared within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Kylian Mbappé leads the Golden Boot market at 25.5% implied probability after opening his 2026 account with goals for France in the group stage, building on his 2022 triumph and strong club output at Real Madrid. Lionel Messi sits close behind at 21.1% on the strength of Argentina’s attacking depth and his prior tournament pedigree, while Harry Kane holds 19.5% following a record 61-goal club season at Bayern Munich that reinforces his proven international finishing. Erling Haaland and emerging options like Kai Havertz trail further back, reflecting their teams’ paths and variable early returns. With the expanded 48-team format extending run-ins and several elite forwards still in contention, the tight spread among the top three underscores how group-stage results, knockout progression, and minor scoring swings can rapidly shift consensus on who claims the most goals.

This market will resolve to the player who scores the most goals through all main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup competition.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by FIFA rules. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player who scored fewer goals from penalty kicks. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no leader declared within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$19,567,259
结束日期
2026-07-20
市场开放时间
Apr 24, 2026, 1:07 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the player who scores the most goals through all main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup competition. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by FIFA rules. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player who scored fewer goals from penalty kicks. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no leader declared within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"世界杯：金靴奖"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 52+ 个可能结果的预测市场，交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"Kylian Mbappe"，概率为 24%，其次是"Harry Kane"，概率为 22%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如，价格为 24¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 24%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前，"世界杯：金靴奖"已产生 $19.6 million 的总交易量（自Apr 24, 2026市场上线以来）。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与，并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"世界杯：金靴奖"上交易，浏览本页上列出的 52+ 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓，选择你认为最可能的结果，选择"是"支持或"否"反对，输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确，你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确，支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"世界杯：金靴奖"的当前领先者是"Kylian Mbappe"，概率为 24%，意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 24%。紧随其后的结果是"Harry Kane"，概率为 22%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"世界杯：金靴奖"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则，因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。