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体育·FIFA世界杯

世界杯：金靴奖

icon for 世界杯：金靴奖
体育·FIFA世界杯

世界杯：金靴奖

莱昂内尔·梅西 38.6%

姆巴佩 26%

哈里·凯恩 9%

埃尔林·哈兰德 8%

Polymarket

$35,380,952 交易量

莱昂内尔·梅西 38.6%

姆巴佩 26%

哈里·凯恩 9%

埃尔林·哈兰德 8%

Polymarket

$35,380,952 交易量

莱昂内尔·梅西

$1,097,414 交易量

39%

姆巴佩

$1,290,103 交易量

26%

哈里·凯恩

$847,084 交易量

9%

埃尔林·哈兰德

$871,654 交易量

8%

奥斯曼·登贝莱

$1,224,826 交易量

7%

维尼修斯·儒尼奥尔

$674,557 交易量

5%

克里斯蒂亚诺·罗纳尔多

$1,245,048 交易量

3%

米克尔·奥亚萨瓦尔

$963,591 交易量

1%

拉明·亚马尔

$864,996 交易量

1%

德尼兹·云达夫

$659,404 交易量

1%

朱利安·阿尔瓦雷斯

$560,717 交易量

<1%

迈克尔·奥利塞

$2,112,841 交易量

<1%

凯·哈弗茨

$591,028 交易量

<1%

路易斯·迪亚斯

$440,184 交易量

<1%

劳塔罗·马丁内斯

$450,976 交易量

<1%

福拉林·巴洛贡

$370,826 交易量

<1%

裘德·贝林厄姆

$512,216 交易量

<1%

科迪·加克波

$1,741,420 交易量

<1%

拉菲尼亚

$356,226 交易量

<1%

诺阿·奥卡福

$326,408 交易量

<1%

斯科特·麦克托米奈

$292,882 交易量

<1%

罗德里戈

$262,789 交易量

<1%

阿马德·迪亚洛

$674,529 交易量

<1%

孙兴慜

$324,299 交易量

<1%

埃丁·哲科

$286,543 交易量

<1%

伊戈尔·蒂亚戈

$1,627,557 交易量

<1%

塞尔吉·格纳布里

$212,871 交易量

<1%

维克托尔·乔克雷斯

$416,936 交易量

<1%

费兰·托雷斯

$538,100 交易量

<1%

马库斯·图拉姆

$178,559 交易量

<1%

伊万·佩里希奇

$260,525 交易量

<1%

安德烈·克拉马里奇

$247,767 交易量

<1%

穆罕默德·萨拉赫

$443,963 交易量

<1%

丹尼·奥尔莫

$436,403 交易量

<1%

德西雷·杜埃

$656,327 交易量

<1%

布拉德利·巴尔科拉

$925,002 交易量

<1%

萨迪奥·马内

$299,173 交易量

<1%

拉斐尔·莱奥

$835,635 交易量

<1%

布卡约·萨卡

$1,552,245 交易量

<1%

布鲁诺·费尔南德斯

$427,260 交易量

<1%

佩德里

$490,005 交易量

<1%

路易斯·哈维尔·苏亚雷斯

$582,090 交易量

<1%

罗梅卢·卢卡库

$1,426,954 交易量

<1%

多尼尔·马伦

$720,499 交易量

<1%

安托万·塞梅尼奥

$484,118 交易量

<1%

迪昂·贝尔约

$154,558 交易量

<1%

恩德里克

$692,744 交易量

<1%

弗洛里安·维尔茨

$474,381 交易量

<1%

孟菲斯·德佩

$332,879 交易量

<1%

This market will resolve to the player who scores the most goals through all main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup competition. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by FIFA rules. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player who scored fewer goals from penalty kicks. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no leader declared within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Kylian Mbappé leads the Golden Boot market at 25.5% implied probability after opening his 2026 account with goals for France in the group stage, building on his 2022 triumph and strong club output at Real Madrid. Lionel Messi sits close behind at 21.1% on the strength of Argentina’s attacking depth and his prior tournament pedigree, while Harry Kane holds 19.5% following a record 61-goal club season at Bayern Munich that reinforces his proven international finishing. Erling Haaland and emerging options like Kai Havertz trail further back, reflecting their teams’ paths and variable early returns. With the expanded 48-team format extending run-ins and several elite forwards still in contention, the tight spread among the top three underscores how group-stage results, knockout progression, and minor scoring swings can rapidly shift consensus on who claims the most goals.

This market will resolve to the player who scores the most goals through all main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup competition.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by FIFA rules. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player who scored fewer goals from penalty kicks. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no leader declared within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$35,380,952
结束日期
2026-07-20
市场开放时间
Apr 24, 2026, 1:07 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the player who scores the most goals through all main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup competition. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by FIFA rules. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player who scored fewer goals from penalty kicks. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no leader declared within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to the player who scores the most goals through all main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup competition. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by FIFA rules. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player who scored fewer goals from penalty kicks. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no leader declared within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Kylian Mbappé leads the Golden Boot market at 25.5% implied probability after opening his 2026 account with goals for France in the group stage, building on his 2022 triumph and strong club output at Real Madrid. Lionel Messi sits close behind at 21.1% on the strength of Argentina’s attacking depth and his prior tournament pedigree, while Harry Kane holds 19.5% following a record 61-goal club season at Bayern Munich that reinforces his proven international finishing. Erling Haaland and emerging options like Kai Havertz trail further back, reflecting their teams’ paths and variable early returns. With the expanded 48-team format extending run-ins and several elite forwards still in contention, the tight spread among the top three underscores how group-stage results, knockout progression, and minor scoring swings can rapidly shift consensus on who claims the most goals.

This market will resolve to the player who scores the most goals through all main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup competition.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by FIFA rules. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player who scored fewer goals from penalty kicks. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no leader declared within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$35,380,952
结束日期
2026-07-20
市场开放时间
Apr 24, 2026, 1:07 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the player who scores the most goals through all main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup competition. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by FIFA rules. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player who scored fewer goals from penalty kicks. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no leader declared within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"世界杯：金靴奖"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 52+ 个可能结果的预测市场，交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"莱昂内尔·梅西"，概率为 39%，其次是"姆巴佩"，概率为 26%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如，价格为 39¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 39%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前，"世界杯：金靴奖"已产生 $35.4 million 的总交易量（自Apr 24, 2026市场上线以来）。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与，并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"世界杯：金靴奖"上交易，浏览本页上列出的 52+ 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓，选择你认为最可能的结果，选择"是"支持或"否"反对，输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确，你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确，支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"世界杯：金靴奖"的当前领先者是"莱昂内尔·梅西"，概率为 39%，意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 39%。紧随其后的结果是"姆巴佩"，概率为 26%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"世界杯：金靴奖"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则，因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。