Switzerland and Canada sit atop Group B after opening 1-1 draws, with the former edging the market lead due to its higher FIFA ranking, consistent major-tournament experience, and depth in midfield featuring veterans like Granit Xhaka. Canada benefits from co-host status, home crowds in Toronto and Vancouver, and attacking threats including Alphonso Davies, keeping its implied probability close. Bosnia and Herzegovina, back at the finals for the first time since 2014, showed resilience in its draw and retains upset potential in remaining fixtures. Qatar trails significantly after its stalemate. The bunched probabilities reflect a balanced schedule, limited separation in recent form, and the expanded 48-team format’s emphasis on securing one of the top-two spots to advance.