Spain and France lead the 2026 World Cup winner market as slight favorites due to superior squad depth, recent international success including Spain’s Euro 2024 title, and elite talent such as Lamine Yamal and Kylian Mbappé, while Portugal, England, Argentina, and Brazil remain tightly grouped behind them on the strength of star power, FIFA rankings proximity, and proven knockout experience. With all qualifiers complete and the expanded 48-team field underway, the bunched pricing reflects comparable paths for these sides through group stages and brackets, where injuries, form peaks, and tactical matchups can rapidly shift outcomes among teams with balanced attacking options and defensive organization.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于西班牙 17.0%
法国 16.1%
葡萄牙 10.9%
英格兰 10.8%
$1,951,733,648 交易量
$1,951,733,648 交易量
2026-07-20
西班牙
17%
法国
16%
葡萄牙
11%
英格兰
11%
阿根廷
9%
巴西
8%
德国
5%
荷兰
4%
挪威
2%
比利时
2%
小组项标题：哥伦比亚
2%
日本
2%
摩洛哥
2%
墨西哥
1%
瑞士
1%
土耳其
1%
美国
1%
乌拉圭
1%
克罗地亚
1%
厄瓜多尔
1%
塞内加尔
1%
科特迪瓦
<1%
Austria
<1%
分组项标题：加拿大
<1%
瑞典
<1%
South Korea
<1%
苏格兰
<1%
埃及
<1%
伊朗
<1%
加纳
<1%
阿尔及利亚
<1%
波黑
<1%
Paraguay
<1%
刚果（金）
<1%
捷克
<1%
澳大利亚
<1%
新西兰
<1%
海地
<1%
约旦
<1%
库拉索
<1%
突尼斯
<1%
Uzbekistan
<1%
巴拿马
<1%
伊拉克
<1%
南非
<1%
佛得角
<1%
分组项标题：卡塔尔
<1%
沙特阿拉伯
<1%
西班牙 17.0%
法国 16.1%
葡萄牙 10.9%
英格兰 10.8%
$1,951,733,648 交易量
$1,951,733,648 交易量
2026-07-20
西班牙
$37,367,944 交易量
17%
法国
$43,894,401 交易量
16%
葡萄牙
$39,086,586 交易量
11%
英格兰
$32,371,386 交易量
11%
阿根廷
$34,690,906 交易量
9%
巴西
$33,912,661 交易量
8%
德国
$35,755,935 交易量
5%
荷兰
$38,397,401 交易量
4%
挪威
$37,181,485 交易量
2%
比利时
$40,117,593 交易量
2%
小组项标题：哥伦比亚
$39,617,840 交易量
2%
日本
$40,410,113 交易量
2%
摩洛哥
$43,916,801 交易量
2%
墨西哥
$44,061,349 交易量
1%
瑞士
$38,912,122 交易量
1%
土耳其
$36,755,609 交易量
1%
美国
$56,377,133 交易量
1%
乌拉圭
$39,319,423 交易量
1%
克罗地亚
$44,966,721 交易量
1%
厄瓜多尔
$44,779,786 交易量
1%
塞内加尔
$38,775,566 交易量
1%
科特迪瓦
$52,475,414 交易量
<1%
Austria
$43,016,814 交易量
<1%
分组项标题：加拿大
$43,983,731 交易量
<1%
瑞典
$29,684,154 交易量
<1%
South Korea
$48,260,940 交易量
<1%
苏格兰
$42,207,034 交易量
<1%
埃及
$51,105,284 交易量
<1%
伊朗
$44,440,306 交易量
<1%
加纳
$36,799,006 交易量
<1%
阿尔及利亚
$44,580,097 交易量
<1%
波黑
$27,806,541 交易量
<1%
Paraguay
$41,940,266 交易量
<1%
刚果（金）
$57,639,957 交易量
<1%
捷克
$30,932,955 交易量
<1%
澳大利亚
$46,102,064 交易量
<1%
新西兰
$45,479,807 交易量
<1%
海地
$32,022,191 交易量
<1%
约旦
$31,607,892 交易量
<1%
库拉索
$41,628,754 交易量
<1%
突尼斯
$35,506,384 交易量
<1%
Uzbekistan
$59,656,927 交易量
<1%
巴拿马
$19,349,383 交易量
<1%
伊拉克
$28,864,643 交易量
<1%
南非
$38,236,335 交易量
<1%
佛得角
$40,166,103 交易量
<1%
分组项标题：卡塔尔
$41,894,617 交易量
<1%
沙特阿拉伯
$47,597,315 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Spain and France lead the 2026 World Cup winner market as slight favorites due to superior squad depth, recent international success including Spain’s Euro 2024 title, and elite talent such as Lamine Yamal and Kylian Mbappé, while Portugal, England, Argentina, and Brazil remain tightly grouped behind them on the strength of star power, FIFA rankings proximity, and proven knockout experience. With all qualifiers complete and the expanded 48-team field underway, the bunched pricing reflects comparable paths for these sides through group stages and brackets, where injuries, form peaks, and tactical matchups can rapidly shift outcomes among teams with balanced attacking options and defensive organization.
This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Jul 2, 2025, 6:06 PM ET
交易量
$1,951,733,648结束日期
2026-07-20市场开放时间
Jul 2, 2025, 6:06 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Spain and France lead the 2026 World Cup winner market as slight favorites due to superior squad depth, recent international success including Spain’s Euro 2024 title, and elite talent such as Lamine Yamal and Kylian Mbappé, while Portugal, England, Argentina, and Brazil remain tightly grouped behind them on the strength of star power, FIFA rankings proximity, and proven knockout experience. With all qualifiers complete and the expanded 48-team field underway, the bunched pricing reflects comparable paths for these sides through group stages and brackets, where injuries, form peaks, and tactical matchups can rapidly shift outcomes among teams with balanced attacking options and defensive organization.
This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$1,951,733,648结束日期
2026-07-20市场开放时间
Jul 2, 2025, 6:06 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Spain and France lead the 2026 World Cup winner market as slight favorites due to superior squad depth, recent international success including Spain’s Euro 2024 title, and elite talent such as Lamine Yamal and Kylian Mbappé, while Portugal, England, Argentina, and Brazil remain tightly grouped behind them on the strength of star power, FIFA rankings proximity, and proven knockout experience. With all qualifiers complete and the expanded 48-team field underway, the bunched pricing reflects comparable paths for these sides through group stages and brackets, where injuries, form peaks, and tactical matchups can rapidly shift outcomes among teams with balanced attacking options and defensive organization.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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