Spain and France sit atop the 2026 World Cup winner market as co-favorites because both enter with recent major-tournament pedigree and exceptional squad depth. Spain’s Euro 2024 triumph showcased balanced attacking play and defensive organization under Luis de la Fuente, while France’s talent pool—anchored by experienced leaders and versatile options—supports consistent knockout progression. England, Portugal, and defending champion Argentina follow closely, each bolstered by proven match-winners and favorable group draws. The expanded 48-team format and spread of elite European and South American sides create multiple realistic paths to the final at MetLife Stadium, keeping implied probabilities tightly clustered among the top contenders.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于西班牙 16.4%
法国 16.1%
英格兰 10.8%
葡萄牙 10.8%
$1,938,467,713 交易量
$1,938,467,713 交易量
西班牙
16%
法国
16%
英格兰
11%
葡萄牙
11%
阿根廷
9%
巴西
8%
德国
5%
荷兰
4%
挪威
2%
比利时
2%
小组项标题：哥伦比亚
2%
日本
2%
摩洛哥
2%
墨西哥
1%
瑞士
1%
美国
1%
土耳其
1%
乌拉圭
1%
克罗地亚
1%
厄瓜多尔
1%
塞内加尔
1%
科特迪瓦
<1%
Austria
<1%
分组项标题：加拿大
<1%
瑞典
<1%
South Korea
<1%
苏格兰
<1%
埃及
<1%
伊朗
<1%
加纳
<1%
阿尔及利亚
<1%
波黑
<1%
Paraguay
<1%
刚果（金）
<1%
捷克
<1%
澳大利亚
<1%
新西兰
<1%
海地
<1%
约旦
<1%
库拉索
<1%
突尼斯
<1%
Uzbekistan
<1%
巴拿马
<1%
伊拉克
<1%
南非
<1%
佛得角
<1%
分组项标题：卡塔尔
<1%
沙特阿拉伯
<1%
西班牙 16.4%
法国 16.1%
英格兰 10.8%
葡萄牙 10.8%
$1,938,467,713 交易量
$1,938,467,713 交易量
西班牙
16%
法国
16%
英格兰
11%
葡萄牙
11%
阿根廷
9%
巴西
8%
德国
5%
荷兰
4%
挪威
2%
比利时
2%
小组项标题：哥伦比亚
2%
日本
2%
摩洛哥
2%
墨西哥
1%
瑞士
1%
美国
1%
土耳其
1%
乌拉圭
1%
克罗地亚
1%
厄瓜多尔
1%
塞内加尔
1%
科特迪瓦
<1%
Austria
<1%
分组项标题：加拿大
<1%
瑞典
<1%
South Korea
<1%
苏格兰
<1%
埃及
<1%
伊朗
<1%
加纳
<1%
阿尔及利亚
<1%
波黑
<1%
Paraguay
<1%
刚果（金）
<1%
捷克
<1%
澳大利亚
<1%
新西兰
<1%
海地
<1%
约旦
<1%
库拉索
<1%
突尼斯
<1%
Uzbekistan
<1%
巴拿马
<1%
伊拉克
<1%
南非
<1%
佛得角
<1%
分组项标题：卡塔尔
<1%
沙特阿拉伯
<1%
If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Jul 2, 2025, 6:06 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Spain and France sit atop the 2026 World Cup winner market as co-favorites because both enter with recent major-tournament pedigree and exceptional squad depth. Spain’s Euro 2024 triumph showcased balanced attacking play and defensive organization under Luis de la Fuente, while France’s talent pool—anchored by experienced leaders and versatile options—supports consistent knockout progression. England, Portugal, and defending champion Argentina follow closely, each bolstered by proven match-winners and favorable group draws. The expanded 48-team format and spread of elite European and South American sides create multiple realistic paths to the final at MetLife Stadium, keeping implied probabilities tightly clustered among the top contenders.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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