Spain and France sit atop the World Cup winner market due to their elite FIFA rankings, recent major-tournament pedigree, and talent depth heading into the expanded 48-team event kicking off June 11 across North America. Spain enters as European champions with standout midfield control and young attackers like Lamine Yamal, while France counters with world-class forwards and defensive organization despite minor ranking fluctuations. England, Portugal, defending champions Argentina, and Brazil follow closely, bolstered by consistent qualifying results, strong domestic leagues, and proven knockout experience. The bunched probabilities reflect genuine parity among these sides, where minor injuries, form dips, or matchup luck in the group stage could shift momentum in a wide-open field.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于西班牙 17.0%
法国 16.1%
英格兰 10.8%
葡萄牙 10.8%
$1,963,869,160 交易量
$1,963,869,160 交易量
西班牙
17%
法国
16%
英格兰
11%
葡萄牙
11%
阿根廷
9%
巴西
8%
德国
5%
荷兰
4%
挪威
2%
比利时
2%
小组项标题：哥伦比亚
2%
日本
2%
摩洛哥
2%
墨西哥
1%
瑞士
1%
美国
1%
土耳其
1%
乌拉圭
1%
厄瓜多尔
1%
克罗地亚
1%
塞内加尔
1%
科特迪瓦
<1%
Austria
<1%
分组项标题：加拿大
<1%
瑞典
<1%
South Korea
<1%
苏格兰
<1%
埃及
<1%
伊朗
<1%
加纳
<1%
阿尔及利亚
<1%
波黑
<1%
Paraguay
<1%
刚果（金）
<1%
捷克
<1%
澳大利亚
<1%
新西兰
<1%
海地
<1%
约旦
<1%
库拉索
<1%
突尼斯
<1%
Uzbekistan
<1%
巴拿马
<1%
伊拉克
<1%
南非
<1%
佛得角
<1%
分组项标题：卡塔尔
<1%
沙特阿拉伯
<1%
西班牙 17.0%
法国 16.1%
英格兰 10.8%
葡萄牙 10.8%
$1,963,869,160 交易量
$1,963,869,160 交易量
西班牙
17%
法国
16%
英格兰
11%
葡萄牙
11%
阿根廷
9%
巴西
8%
德国
5%
荷兰
4%
挪威
2%
比利时
2%
小组项标题：哥伦比亚
2%
日本
2%
摩洛哥
2%
墨西哥
1%
瑞士
1%
美国
1%
土耳其
1%
乌拉圭
1%
厄瓜多尔
1%
克罗地亚
1%
塞内加尔
1%
科特迪瓦
<1%
Austria
<1%
分组项标题：加拿大
<1%
瑞典
<1%
South Korea
<1%
苏格兰
<1%
埃及
<1%
伊朗
<1%
加纳
<1%
阿尔及利亚
<1%
波黑
<1%
Paraguay
<1%
刚果（金）
<1%
捷克
<1%
澳大利亚
<1%
新西兰
<1%
海地
<1%
约旦
<1%
库拉索
<1%
突尼斯
<1%
Uzbekistan
<1%
巴拿马
<1%
伊拉克
<1%
南非
<1%
佛得角
<1%
分组项标题：卡塔尔
<1%
沙特阿拉伯
<1%
If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Jul 2, 2025, 6:06 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Spain and France sit atop the World Cup winner market due to their elite FIFA rankings, recent major-tournament pedigree, and talent depth heading into the expanded 48-team event kicking off June 11 across North America. Spain enters as European champions with standout midfield control and young attackers like Lamine Yamal, while France counters with world-class forwards and defensive organization despite minor ranking fluctuations. England, Portugal, defending champions Argentina, and Brazil follow closely, bolstered by consistent qualifying results, strong domestic leagues, and proven knockout experience. The bunched probabilities reflect genuine parity among these sides, where minor injuries, form dips, or matchup luck in the group stage could shift momentum in a wide-open field.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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