Recent primary results in the Wyoming U.S. Senate race, with Harriet Hageman securing the Republican nomination and James Byrd advancing for Democrats, have not shifted turnout expectations significantly ahead of the November 3 general election. As a solidly Republican contest in a low-population state, the market reflects balanced trader assessments across mid-range totals because historical midterm participation rates hover near 50 percent of eligible voters, with limited national attention or competitive dynamics to boost mobilization. Factors such as local campaign efforts, early and absentee voting access, and potential weather conditions on Election Day could influence final figures, while the absence of major policy flashpoints or high-profile endorsements keeps probabilities clustered without clear separation. Historical Senate election data in Wyoming supports the current equilibrium between moderate and elevated turnout scenarios.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于25万+ 45%
15万-17万 44%
190,000-210,000 44%
210K-230K 44%
少于15万
43%
15万-17万
44%
17万-19万
43%
190,000-210,000
44%
210K-230K
44%
230K-250K
44%
25万+
45%
25万+ 45%
15万-17万 44%
190,000-210,000 44%
210K-230K 44%
少于15万
43%
15万-17万
44%
17万-19万
43%
190,000-210,000
44%
210K-230K
44%
230K-250K
44%
25万+
45%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Wyoming, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间: Aug 18, 2026, 10:27 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Wyoming, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent primary results in the Wyoming U.S. Senate race, with Harriet Hageman securing the Republican nomination and James Byrd advancing for Democrats, have not shifted turnout expectations significantly ahead of the November 3 general election. As a solidly Republican contest in a low-population state, the market reflects balanced trader assessments across mid-range totals because historical midterm participation rates hover near 50 percent of eligible voters, with limited national attention or competitive dynamics to boost mobilization. Factors such as local campaign efforts, early and absentee voting access, and potential weather conditions on Election Day could influence final figures, while the absence of major policy flashpoints or high-profile endorsements keeps probabilities clustered without clear separation. Historical Senate election data in Wyoming supports the current equilibrium between moderate and elevated turnout scenarios.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于



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