Wyoming's open U.S. Senate seat, vacated by retiring Republican incumbent Cynthia Lummis, features a heavily favored Republican nominee in Representative Harriet Hageman, who holds endorsements from Lummis, Senator John Barrasso, and President Trump. The state's consistent Republican dominance in federal races since the 1970s, combined with a crowded but establishment-aligned GOP primary field set for August 18, 2026, and minimal Democratic primary competition, underpins the 94.9% Republican consensus reflected in trader pricing. Historical margins exceeding 40 points and the absence of competitive polling or late developments reinforce this positioning. A narrow path for Democrats would require an unforeseen primary outcome producing a damaged Republican nominee or a national political shift large enough to overcome Wyoming's structural partisan baseline.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$14,224 交易量
$14,224 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
95%
民主党
2%
$14,224 交易量
$14,224 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
$8,592 交易量
95%
民主党
$5,632 交易量
2%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Wyoming U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Wyoming's open U.S. Senate seat, vacated by retiring Republican incumbent Cynthia Lummis, features a heavily favored Republican nominee in Representative Harriet Hageman, who holds endorsements from Lummis, Senator John Barrasso, and President Trump. The state's consistent Republican dominance in federal races since the 1970s, combined with a crowded but establishment-aligned GOP primary field set for August 18, 2026, and minimal Democratic primary competition, underpins the 94.9% Republican consensus reflected in trader pricing. Historical margins exceeding 40 points and the absence of competitive polling or late developments reinforce this positioning. A narrow path for Democrats would require an unforeseen primary outcome producing a damaged Republican nominee or a national political shift large enough to overcome Wyoming's structural partisan baseline.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Wyoming U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
市场开放时间： Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ET
交易量
$14,224结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Wyoming U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Wyoming's open U.S. Senate seat, vacated by retiring Republican incumbent Cynthia Lummis, features a heavily favored Republican nominee in Representative Harriet Hageman, who holds endorsements from Lummis, Senator John Barrasso, and President Trump. The state's consistent Republican dominance in federal races since the 1970s, combined with a crowded but establishment-aligned GOP primary field set for August 18, 2026, and minimal Democratic primary competition, underpins the 94.9% Republican consensus reflected in trader pricing. Historical margins exceeding 40 points and the absence of competitive polling or late developments reinforce this positioning. A narrow path for Democrats would require an unforeseen primary outcome producing a damaged Republican nominee or a national political shift large enough to overcome Wyoming's structural partisan baseline.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Wyoming U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
交易量
$14,224结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Wyoming's open U.S. Senate seat, vacated by retiring Republican incumbent Cynthia Lummis, features a heavily favored Republican nominee in Representative Harriet Hageman, who holds endorsements from Lummis, Senator John Barrasso, and President Trump. The state's consistent Republican dominance in federal races since the 1970s, combined with a crowded but establishment-aligned GOP primary field set for August 18, 2026, and minimal Democratic primary competition, underpins the 94.9% Republican consensus reflected in trader pricing. Historical margins exceeding 40 points and the absence of competitive polling or late developments reinforce this positioning. A narrow path for Democrats would require an unforeseen primary outcome producing a damaged Republican nominee or a national political shift large enough to overcome Wyoming's structural partisan baseline.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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