Traders assign a 98.9% probability against Xi Jinping divorcing before 2027 primarily because his marriage to Peng Liyuan has remained stable and private since 1987, with no verified public signals of strain amid China's tightly controlled information environment around senior leaders. Peng continues to fulfill official roles in diplomatic settings, consistent with patterns of spousal visibility that show no disruption. The compressed timeline to the end of 2026 further reduces scope for any sudden change. While internal political pressures, leadership health developments, or rare information leaks could theoretically alter trajectories, such events have not materialized in recent reporting and would face significant institutional barriers to public confirmation within the resolution window.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于是
1% 概率
$106,722 交易量
$106,722 交易量
2026-12-31
是
1% 概率
$106,722 交易量
$106,722 交易量
2026-12-31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Xi Jinping and/or Peng Liyuan announce their intention to divorce between the date of market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An announcement by the specified date of their intention to divorce will be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the divorce later actually occurs, or whether the actual divorce occurs outside of the timeframe of this market.
The resolution source will be statements from Xi Jinping and/or Peng Liyuan, and their representatives, however a definitive consensus of credible media reporting may be considered.Traders assign a 98.9% probability against Xi Jinping divorcing before 2027 primarily because his marriage to Peng Liyuan has remained stable and private since 1987, with no verified public signals of strain amid China's tightly controlled information environment around senior leaders. Peng continues to fulfill official roles in diplomatic settings, consistent with patterns of spousal visibility that show no disruption. The compressed timeline to the end of 2026 further reduces scope for any sudden change. While internal political pressures, leadership health developments, or rare information leaks could theoretically alter trajectories, such events have not materialized in recent reporting and would face significant institutional barriers to public confirmation within the resolution window.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Xi Jinping and/or Peng Liyuan announce their intention to divorce between the date of market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An announcement by the specified date of their intention to divorce will be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the divorce later actually occurs, or whether the actual divorce occurs outside of the timeframe of this market.
The resolution source will be statements from Xi Jinping and/or Peng Liyuan, and their representatives, however a definitive consensus of credible media reporting may be considered.
An announcement by the specified date of their intention to divorce will be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the divorce later actually occurs, or whether the actual divorce occurs outside of the timeframe of this market.
The resolution source will be statements from Xi Jinping and/or Peng Liyuan, and their representatives, however a definitive consensus of credible media reporting may be considered.
市场开放时间： Dec 30, 2025, 1:11 PM ET
交易量
$106,722结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Dec 30, 2025, 1:11 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Xi Jinping and/or Peng Liyuan announce their intention to divorce between the date of market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An announcement by the specified date of their intention to divorce will be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the divorce later actually occurs, or whether the actual divorce occurs outside of the timeframe of this market.
The resolution source will be statements from Xi Jinping and/or Peng Liyuan, and their representatives, however a definitive consensus of credible media reporting may be considered.Traders assign a 98.9% probability against Xi Jinping divorcing before 2027 primarily because his marriage to Peng Liyuan has remained stable and private since 1987, with no verified public signals of strain amid China's tightly controlled information environment around senior leaders. Peng continues to fulfill official roles in diplomatic settings, consistent with patterns of spousal visibility that show no disruption. The compressed timeline to the end of 2026 further reduces scope for any sudden change. While internal political pressures, leadership health developments, or rare information leaks could theoretically alter trajectories, such events have not materialized in recent reporting and would face significant institutional barriers to public confirmation within the resolution window.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Xi Jinping and/or Peng Liyuan announce their intention to divorce between the date of market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An announcement by the specified date of their intention to divorce will be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the divorce later actually occurs, or whether the actual divorce occurs outside of the timeframe of this market.
The resolution source will be statements from Xi Jinping and/or Peng Liyuan, and their representatives, however a definitive consensus of credible media reporting may be considered.
An announcement by the specified date of their intention to divorce will be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the divorce later actually occurs, or whether the actual divorce occurs outside of the timeframe of this market.
The resolution source will be statements from Xi Jinping and/or Peng Liyuan, and their representatives, however a definitive consensus of credible media reporting may be considered.
交易量
$106,722结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Dec 30, 2025, 1:11 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Traders assign a 98.9% probability against Xi Jinping divorcing before 2027 primarily because his marriage to Peng Liyuan has remained stable and private since 1987, with no verified public signals of strain amid China's tightly controlled information environment around senior leaders. Peng continues to fulfill official roles in diplomatic settings, consistent with patterns of spousal visibility that show no disruption. The compressed timeline to the end of 2026 further reduces scope for any sudden change. While internal political pressures, leadership health developments, or rare information leaks could theoretically alter trajectories, such events have not materialized in recent reporting and would face significant institutional barriers to public confirmation within the resolution window.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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