Traders assign a 98% probability against Xi Jinping divorcing before 2027 due to the tightly controlled information environment around Chinese leadership, where personal matters receive no independent verification and state media maintain strict narratives. Xi has remained publicly married to Peng Liyuan since 1987 with no recent official statements, health disclosures, or credible reporting indicating strain. Broader political stability priorities, including economic management and international positioning, further reduce incentives for any publicized change. Even in hypothetical scenarios involving private circumstances or health events, resolution timing and public acknowledgment would likely face significant procedural and institutional barriers before the end of 2026.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$102,876 交易量
$102,876 交易量
2026-12-31
$102,876 交易量
$102,876 交易量
2026-12-31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Xi Jinping and/or Peng Liyuan announce their intention to divorce between the date of market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An announcement by the specified date of their intention to divorce will be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the divorce later actually occurs, or whether the actual divorce occurs outside of the timeframe of this market.
The resolution source will be statements from Xi Jinping and/or Peng Liyuan, and their representatives, however a definitive consensus of credible media reporting may be considered.Traders assign a 98% probability against Xi Jinping divorcing before 2027 due to the tightly controlled information environment around Chinese leadership, where personal matters receive no independent verification and state media maintain strict narratives. Xi has remained publicly married to Peng Liyuan since 1987 with no recent official statements, health disclosures, or credible reporting indicating strain. Broader political stability priorities, including economic management and international positioning, further reduce incentives for any publicized change. Even in hypothetical scenarios involving private circumstances or health events, resolution timing and public acknowledgment would likely face significant procedural and institutional barriers before the end of 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Xi Jinping and/or Peng Liyuan announce their intention to divorce between the date of market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An announcement by the specified date of their intention to divorce will be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the divorce later actually occurs, or whether the actual divorce occurs outside of the timeframe of this market.
The resolution source will be statements from Xi Jinping and/or Peng Liyuan, and their representatives, however a definitive consensus of credible media reporting may be considered.
An announcement by the specified date of their intention to divorce will be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the divorce later actually occurs, or whether the actual divorce occurs outside of the timeframe of this market.
The resolution source will be statements from Xi Jinping and/or Peng Liyuan, and their representatives, however a definitive consensus of credible media reporting may be considered.
市场开放时间： Dec 30, 2025, 1:11 PM ET
交易量
$102,876结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Dec 30, 2025, 1:11 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Xi Jinping and/or Peng Liyuan announce their intention to divorce between the date of market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An announcement by the specified date of their intention to divorce will be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the divorce later actually occurs, or whether the actual divorce occurs outside of the timeframe of this market.
The resolution source will be statements from Xi Jinping and/or Peng Liyuan, and their representatives, however a definitive consensus of credible media reporting may be considered.Traders assign a 98% probability against Xi Jinping divorcing before 2027 due to the tightly controlled information environment around Chinese leadership, where personal matters receive no independent verification and state media maintain strict narratives. Xi has remained publicly married to Peng Liyuan since 1987 with no recent official statements, health disclosures, or credible reporting indicating strain. Broader political stability priorities, including economic management and international positioning, further reduce incentives for any publicized change. Even in hypothetical scenarios involving private circumstances or health events, resolution timing and public acknowledgment would likely face significant procedural and institutional barriers before the end of 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Xi Jinping and/or Peng Liyuan announce their intention to divorce between the date of market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An announcement by the specified date of their intention to divorce will be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the divorce later actually occurs, or whether the actual divorce occurs outside of the timeframe of this market.
The resolution source will be statements from Xi Jinping and/or Peng Liyuan, and their representatives, however a definitive consensus of credible media reporting may be considered.
An announcement by the specified date of their intention to divorce will be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the divorce later actually occurs, or whether the actual divorce occurs outside of the timeframe of this market.
The resolution source will be statements from Xi Jinping and/or Peng Liyuan, and their representatives, however a definitive consensus of credible media reporting may be considered.
交易量
$102,876结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Dec 30, 2025, 1:11 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Traders assign a 98% probability against Xi Jinping divorcing before 2027 due to the tightly controlled information environment around Chinese leadership, where personal matters receive no independent verification and state media maintain strict narratives. Xi has remained publicly married to Peng Liyuan since 1987 with no recent official statements, health disclosures, or credible reporting indicating strain. Broader political stability priorities, including economic management and international positioning, further reduce incentives for any publicized change. Even in hypothetical scenarios involving private circumstances or health events, resolution timing and public acknowledgment would likely face significant procedural and institutional barriers before the end of 2026.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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