Zambia's August 13, 2026, general election features incumbent President Hakainde Hichilema seeking re-election amid roughly 8.7 million registered voters following an extended registration period. Historical presidential turnout has averaged near 57 percent, with recent surveys highlighting polarized economic views and pockets of opposition skepticism over electoral fairness that could dampen participation. Strong UPND support in core areas and high overall confidence in the process among backers support expectations of steady but not exceptional mobilization, while voter apathy and limited opposition momentum remain countervailing pressures. These dynamics align with trader emphasis on the 50-60 percent range as the most probable outcome.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于50-60% 40%
60-70% 29%
70-80% 17%
低于50% 13%
$15,145 交易量
$15,145 交易量
低于50%
13%
50-60%
40%
60-70%
22%
70-80%
17%
80%+
9%
50-60% 40%
60-70% 29%
70-80% 17%
低于50% 13%
$15,145 交易量
$15,145 交易量
低于50%
13%
50-60%
40%
60-70%
22%
70-80%
17%
80%+
9%
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the first round of the 2026 Zambian presidential election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of registered voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Zambian government, including the Electoral Commission of Zambia (https://www.elections.org.zm/).
市场开放时间: Jun 5, 2026, 4:09 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the first round of the 2026 Zambian presidential election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of registered voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Zambian government, including the Electoral Commission of Zambia (https://www.elections.org.zm/).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Zambia's August 13, 2026, general election features incumbent President Hakainde Hichilema seeking re-election amid roughly 8.7 million registered voters following an extended registration period. Historical presidential turnout has averaged near 57 percent, with recent surveys highlighting polarized economic views and pockets of opposition skepticism over electoral fairness that could dampen participation. Strong UPND support in core areas and high overall confidence in the process among backers support expectations of steady but not exceptional mobilization, while voter apathy and limited opposition momentum remain countervailing pressures. These dynamics align with trader emphasis on the 50-60 percent range as the most probable outcome.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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