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icon for 赞比亚总统选举第一轮:投票率

赞比亚总统选举第一轮:投票率

icon for 赞比亚总统选举第一轮:投票率

赞比亚总统选举第一轮:投票率

50-60% 40%

60-70% 29%

70-80% 17%

低于50% 13%

Polymarket

$15,145 交易量

50-60% 40%

60-70% 29%

70-80% 17%

低于50% 13%

Polymarket

$15,145 交易量

低于50%

$3,215 交易量

13%

50-60%

$2,573 交易量

40%

60-70%

$5,491 交易量

22%

70-80%

$1,185 交易量

17%

80%+

$2,681 交易量

9%

The first round of the 2026 Zambian presidential elections is currently scheduled to be held on August 13, 2026, with a potential second round within 37 days thereafter. This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the first round of the 2026 Zambian presidential election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of registered voters. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. If the results of this election are not known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Zambian government, including the Electoral Commission of Zambia (https://www.elections.org.zm/).Zambia's August 13, 2026, general election features incumbent President Hakainde Hichilema seeking re-election amid roughly 8.7 million registered voters following an extended registration period. Historical presidential turnout has averaged near 57 percent, with recent surveys highlighting polarized economic views and pockets of opposition skepticism over electoral fairness that could dampen participation. Strong UPND support in core areas and high overall confidence in the process among backers support expectations of steady but not exceptional mobilization, while voter apathy and limited opposition momentum remain countervailing pressures. These dynamics align with trader emphasis on the 50-60 percent range as the most probable outcome.

The first round of the 2026 Zambian presidential elections is currently scheduled to be held on August 13, 2026, with a potential second round within 37 days thereafter.

This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the first round of the 2026 Zambian presidential election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of registered voters.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.

If the results of this election are not known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Zambian government, including the Electoral Commission of Zambia (https://www.elections.org.zm/).
交易量
$15,145
结束日期
2026-08-14
市场开放时间
Jun 5, 2026, 4:09 PM ET
The first round of the 2026 Zambian presidential elections is currently scheduled to be held on August 13, 2026, with a potential second round within 37 days thereafter. This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the first round of the 2026 Zambian presidential election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of registered voters. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. If the results of this election are not known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Zambian government, including the Electoral Commission of Zambia (https://www.elections.org.zm/).
The first round of the 2026 Zambian presidential elections is currently scheduled to be held on August 13, 2026, with a potential second round within 37 days thereafter. This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the first round of the 2026 Zambian presidential election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of registered voters. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. If the results of this election are not known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Zambian government, including the Electoral Commission of Zambia (https://www.elections.org.zm/).Zambia's August 13, 2026, general election features incumbent President Hakainde Hichilema seeking re-election amid roughly 8.7 million registered voters following an extended registration period. Historical presidential turnout has averaged near 57 percent, with recent surveys highlighting polarized economic views and pockets of opposition skepticism over electoral fairness that could dampen participation. Strong UPND support in core areas and high overall confidence in the process among backers support expectations of steady but not exceptional mobilization, while voter apathy and limited opposition momentum remain countervailing pressures. These dynamics align with trader emphasis on the 50-60 percent range as the most probable outcome.

The first round of the 2026 Zambian presidential elections is currently scheduled to be held on August 13, 2026, with a potential second round within 37 days thereafter.

This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the first round of the 2026 Zambian presidential election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of registered voters.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.

If the results of this election are not known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Zambian government, including the Electoral Commission of Zambia (https://www.elections.org.zm/).
交易量
$15,145
结束日期
2026-08-14
市场开放时间
Jun 5, 2026, 4:09 PM ET
The first round of the 2026 Zambian presidential elections is currently scheduled to be held on August 13, 2026, with a potential second round within 37 days thereafter. This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the first round of the 2026 Zambian presidential election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of registered voters. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. If the results of this election are not known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Zambian government, including the Electoral Commission of Zambia (https://www.elections.org.zm/).

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常见问题

"赞比亚总统选举第一轮:投票率"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 5 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"50-60%",概率为 40%,其次是"60-70%",概率为 22%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 40¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 40%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前,"赞比亚总统选举第一轮:投票率"已产生 $15.1K 的总交易量(自Jun 5, 2026市场上线以来)。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与,并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"赞比亚总统选举第一轮:投票率"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 5 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"赞比亚总统选举第一轮:投票率"的当前领先者是"50-60%",概率为 40%,意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 40%。紧随其后的结果是"60-70%",概率为 22%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"赞比亚总统选举第一轮:投票率"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。