Zhang Youxia’s ongoing investigation for serious discipline violations, announced in January 2026, and his formal removal from Central Military Commission vice-chairman and National People’s Congress deputy roles on August 28–29 have consolidated trader consensus against a prison sentence before 2027. These steps align with Xi Jinping’s extended military anti-corruption drive, which has produced removals and suspended death sentences for other senior officers, yet no court verdict or incarceration has been reported for Zhang despite his advanced age and prior Politburo standing. With only months remaining in 2026 and China’s high-level disciplinary processes typically involving extended reviews before formal sentencing, the 90.5% implied probability for “No” reflects the absence of any public conviction timeline that would meet the market’s cutoff.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于是
10% 概率
$159,884 交易量
$159,884 交易量
2026-12-30
是
10% 概率
$159,884 交易量
$159,884 交易量
2026-12-30
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Chinese General Zhang Youxia is sentenced to any time in jail/prison for any charges by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Zhang Youxia is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Chinese government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Zhang Youxia’s ongoing investigation for serious discipline violations, announced in January 2026, and his formal removal from Central Military Commission vice-chairman and National People’s Congress deputy roles on August 28–29 have consolidated trader consensus against a prison sentence before 2027. These steps align with Xi Jinping’s extended military anti-corruption drive, which has produced removals and suspended death sentences for other senior officers, yet no court verdict or incarceration has been reported for Zhang despite his advanced age and prior Politburo standing. With only months remaining in 2026 and China’s high-level disciplinary processes typically involving extended reviews before formal sentencing, the 90.5% implied probability for “No” reflects the absence of any public conviction timeline that would meet the market’s cutoff.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Chinese General Zhang Youxia is sentenced to any time in jail/prison for any charges by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Zhang Youxia is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Chinese government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Zhang Youxia is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Chinese government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 10:22 PM ET
交易量
$159,884结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 10:22 PM ETThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Chinese General Zhang Youxia is sentenced to any time in jail/prison for any charges by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Zhang Youxia is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Chinese government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Zhang Youxia’s ongoing investigation for serious discipline violations, announced in January 2026, and his formal removal from Central Military Commission vice-chairman and National People’s Congress deputy roles on August 28–29 have consolidated trader consensus against a prison sentence before 2027. These steps align with Xi Jinping’s extended military anti-corruption drive, which has produced removals and suspended death sentences for other senior officers, yet no court verdict or incarceration has been reported for Zhang despite his advanced age and prior Politburo standing. With only months remaining in 2026 and China’s high-level disciplinary processes typically involving extended reviews before formal sentencing, the 90.5% implied probability for “No” reflects the absence of any public conviction timeline that would meet the market’s cutoff.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Chinese General Zhang Youxia is sentenced to any time in jail/prison for any charges by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Zhang Youxia is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Chinese government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Zhang Youxia is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Chinese government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$159,884结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 10:22 PM ETZhang Youxia’s ongoing investigation for serious discipline violations, announced in January 2026, and his formal removal from Central Military Commission vice-chairman and National People’s Congress deputy roles on August 28–29 have consolidated trader consensus against a prison sentence before 2027. These steps align with Xi Jinping’s extended military anti-corruption drive, which has produced removals and suspended death sentences for other senior officers, yet no court verdict or incarceration has been reported for Zhang despite his advanced age and prior Politburo standing. With only months remaining in 2026 and China’s high-level disciplinary processes typically involving extended reviews before formal sentencing, the 90.5% implied probability for “No” reflects the absence of any public conviction timeline that would meet the market’s cutoff.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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