Recent polls, including an Alaska Survey Research survey from mid-April showing Mary Peltola leading incumbent Dan Sullivan 50%-43% among likely voters under ranked-choice voting, have driven trader consensus favoring the Democratic challenger at 57.5% implied probability. This marks the sixth straight poll with Peltola ahead since late 2025, bolstered by her strong Q1 fundraising of nearly $9 million and announcement of 4,500 volunteers in early May. Sullivan, Trump-endorsed and victorious in 2020 with 54%, trails amid shared support for Arctic oil drilling announced this week. Alaska's top-four primary on August 18 and RCV general election November 3 remain pivotal, with minor candidates like Dustin Darden posing negligible threats.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডAlaska Senate Election Winner
Alaska Senate Election Winner
Mary Peltola 57%
Dan Sullivan 36%
Dustin Darden <1%
Ann Diener <1%
$319,148 Vol.
$319,148 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Mary Peltola
57%
Dan Sullivan
36%
Dustin Darden
<1%
Ann Diener
<1%
Richard Grayson
<1%
Mary Peltola 57%
Dan Sullivan 36%
Dustin Darden <1%
Ann Diener <1%
$319,148 Vol.
$319,148 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Mary Peltola
$157,830 Vol.
57%
Dan Sullivan
$88,125 Vol.
36%
Dustin Darden
$20,566 Vol.
<1%
Ann Diener
$32,987 Vol.
<1%
Richard Grayson
$19,639 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Alaska U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs, currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.Recent polls, including an Alaska Survey Research survey from mid-April showing Mary Peltola leading incumbent Dan Sullivan 50%-43% among likely voters under ranked-choice voting, have driven trader consensus favoring the Democratic challenger at 57.5% implied probability. This marks the sixth straight poll with Peltola ahead since late 2025, bolstered by her strong Q1 fundraising of nearly $9 million and announcement of 4,500 volunteers in early May. Sullivan, Trump-endorsed and victorious in 2020 with 54%, trails amid shared support for Arctic oil drilling announced this week. Alaska's top-four primary on August 18 and RCV general election November 3 remain pivotal, with minor candidates like Dustin Darden posing negligible threats.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Alaska U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs, currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Oct 13, 2025, 4:41 PM ET
ভলিউম
$319,148শেষ তারিখ
Nov 3, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Oct 13, 2025, 4:41 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Alaska U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs, currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.Recent polls, including an Alaska Survey Research survey from mid-April showing Mary Peltola leading incumbent Dan Sullivan 50%-43% among likely voters under ranked-choice voting, have driven trader consensus favoring the Democratic challenger at 57.5% implied probability. This marks the sixth straight poll with Peltola ahead since late 2025, bolstered by her strong Q1 fundraising of nearly $9 million and announcement of 4,500 volunteers in early May. Sullivan, Trump-endorsed and victorious in 2020 with 54%, trails amid shared support for Arctic oil drilling announced this week. Alaska's top-four primary on August 18 and RCV general election November 3 remain pivotal, with minor candidates like Dustin Darden posing negligible threats.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Alaska U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs, currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
ভলিউম
$319,148শেষ তারিখ
Nov 3, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Oct 13, 2025, 4:41 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent polls, including an Alaska Survey Research survey from mid-April showing Mary Peltola leading incumbent Dan Sullivan 50%-43% among likely voters under ranked-choice voting, have driven trader consensus favoring the Democratic challenger at 57.5% implied probability. This marks the sixth straight poll with Peltola ahead since late 2025, bolstered by her strong Q1 fundraising of nearly $9 million and announcement of 4,500 volunteers in early May. Sullivan, Trump-endorsed and victorious in 2020 with 54%, trails amid shared support for Arctic oil drilling announced this week. Alaska's top-four primary on August 18 and RCV general election November 3 remain pivotal, with minor candidates like Dustin Darden posing negligible threats.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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