Mary Peltola's entry into the race against incumbent Dan Sullivan has produced consistently narrow polling margins, with recent surveys showing the candidates within a few points or statistically tied. Peltola's substantial fundraising advantage and strong name recognition among Alaska voters have offset Sullivan's incumbency edge in a state that leans Republican on federal races. The August 18 top-four primary under ranked-choice voting, combined with a same-name Republican challenger creating potential ballot confusion, keeps trader consensus tight ahead of the November general election. Separation will likely hinge on primary vote shares, turnout among key demographics, and any shifts in polling aggregates during the final months of the campaign.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডAlaska Senate Election Winner
Alaska Senate Election Winner
Mary Peltola 51%
Dan Sullivan 49%
Dustin Darden <1%
Ann Diener <1%
$393,235 Vol.
$393,235 Vol.
Mary Peltola
51%
Dan Sullivan
49%
Dustin Darden
<1%
Ann Diener
<1%
Richard Grayson
<1%
Mary Peltola 51%
Dan Sullivan 49%
Dustin Darden <1%
Ann Diener <1%
$393,235 Vol.
$393,235 Vol.
Mary Peltola
51%
Dan Sullivan
49%
Dustin Darden
<1%
Ann Diener
<1%
Richard Grayson
<1%
If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Oct 13, 2025, 4:41 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Mary Peltola's entry into the race against incumbent Dan Sullivan has produced consistently narrow polling margins, with recent surveys showing the candidates within a few points or statistically tied. Peltola's substantial fundraising advantage and strong name recognition among Alaska voters have offset Sullivan's incumbency edge in a state that leans Republican on federal races. The August 18 top-four primary under ranked-choice voting, combined with a same-name Republican challenger creating potential ballot confusion, keeps trader consensus tight ahead of the November general election. Separation will likely hinge on primary vote shares, turnout among key demographics, and any shifts in polling aggregates during the final months of the campaign.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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