The Bank of Korea’s October 22 decision carries an elevated implied probability of no change, reflecting the central bank’s recent back-to-back 25 basis point hikes in July and August that lifted the policy rate to 3.00 percent. Policymakers have signaled a preference for assessing lagged effects on inflation, household borrowing, and housing prices before further tightening, with the latest Monetary Policy Board minutes underscoring divisions over pace and a preference for gradual adjustment. Robust semiconductor-driven growth, upwardly revised 2026 GDP forecasts to 3.3 percent, and persistent core inflation above target support expectations for one additional hike by year-end, yet the widened Korea-U.S. rate differential following the Fed’s September move has complicated timing. Market-implied odds align with analyst consensus favoring a November move over October, consistent with the board’s dot-plot median of 3.25 percent for end-2026.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডNo Change 79%
25 bps hike 19%
50+ bps hike 2.9%
50+ bps cut <1%
$11,956 Vol.
$11,956 Vol.
Oct 21, 2026
50+ bps cut
1%
25 bps cut
1%
No Change
79%
25 bps hike
19%
50+ bps hike
3%
No Change 79%
25 bps hike 19%
50+ bps hike 2.9%
50+ bps cut <1%
$11,956 Vol.
$11,956 Vol.
Oct 21, 2026
50+ bps cut
$366 Vol.
1%
25 bps cut
$411 Vol.
1%
No Change
$6,479 Vol.
79%
25 bps hike
$4,339 Vol.
19%
50+ bps hike
$361 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the base rate resulting from the October 2026 meeting of the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board, including the statement or release from its October 2026 meeting, scheduled for October 22, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Korea calendar (https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/bbs/E0000627/view.do?nttId=10094301&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400022&depth=400022&pageUnit=10&pageIndex=1&programType=newsDataEng&menuNo=400022&oldMenuNo=400022). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board resulting from its October 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of "Increase" or "Decrease" will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.The Bank of Korea’s October 22 decision carries an elevated implied probability of no change, reflecting the central bank’s recent back-to-back 25 basis point hikes in July and August that lifted the policy rate to 3.00 percent. Policymakers have signaled a preference for assessing lagged effects on inflation, household borrowing, and housing prices before further tightening, with the latest Monetary Policy Board minutes underscoring divisions over pace and a preference for gradual adjustment. Robust semiconductor-driven growth, upwardly revised 2026 GDP forecasts to 3.3 percent, and persistent core inflation above target support expectations for one additional hike by year-end, yet the widened Korea-U.S. rate differential following the Fed’s September move has complicated timing. Market-implied odds align with analyst consensus favoring a November move over October, consistent with the board’s dot-plot median of 3.25 percent for end-2026.
This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the base rate resulting from the October 2026 meeting of the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board, including the statement or release from its October 2026 meeting, scheduled for October 22, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Korea calendar (https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/bbs/E0000627/view.do?nttId=10094301&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400022&depth=400022&pageUnit=10&pageIndex=1&programType=newsDataEng&menuNo=400022&oldMenuNo=400022). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board resulting from its October 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of "Increase" or "Decrease" will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.
The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board, including the statement or release from its October 2026 meeting, scheduled for October 22, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Korea calendar (https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/bbs/E0000627/view.do?nttId=10094301&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400022&depth=400022&pageUnit=10&pageIndex=1&programType=newsDataEng&menuNo=400022&oldMenuNo=400022). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board resulting from its October 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of "Increase" or "Decrease" will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 27, 2026, 7:06 PM ET
ভলিউম
$11,956শেষ তারিখ
Oct 22, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 27, 2026, 7:06 PM ETরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the base rate resulting from the October 2026 meeting of the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board, including the statement or release from its October 2026 meeting, scheduled for October 22, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Korea calendar (https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/bbs/E0000627/view.do?nttId=10094301&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400022&depth=400022&pageUnit=10&pageIndex=1&programType=newsDataEng&menuNo=400022&oldMenuNo=400022). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board resulting from its October 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of "Increase" or "Decrease" will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.The Bank of Korea’s October 22 decision carries an elevated implied probability of no change, reflecting the central bank’s recent back-to-back 25 basis point hikes in July and August that lifted the policy rate to 3.00 percent. Policymakers have signaled a preference for assessing lagged effects on inflation, household borrowing, and housing prices before further tightening, with the latest Monetary Policy Board minutes underscoring divisions over pace and a preference for gradual adjustment. Robust semiconductor-driven growth, upwardly revised 2026 GDP forecasts to 3.3 percent, and persistent core inflation above target support expectations for one additional hike by year-end, yet the widened Korea-U.S. rate differential following the Fed’s September move has complicated timing. Market-implied odds align with analyst consensus favoring a November move over October, consistent with the board’s dot-plot median of 3.25 percent for end-2026.
This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the base rate resulting from the October 2026 meeting of the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board, including the statement or release from its October 2026 meeting, scheduled for October 22, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Korea calendar (https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/bbs/E0000627/view.do?nttId=10094301&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400022&depth=400022&pageUnit=10&pageIndex=1&programType=newsDataEng&menuNo=400022&oldMenuNo=400022). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board resulting from its October 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of "Increase" or "Decrease" will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.
The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board, including the statement or release from its October 2026 meeting, scheduled for October 22, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Korea calendar (https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/bbs/E0000627/view.do?nttId=10094301&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400022&depth=400022&pageUnit=10&pageIndex=1&programType=newsDataEng&menuNo=400022&oldMenuNo=400022). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board resulting from its October 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of "Increase" or "Decrease" will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.
ভলিউম
$11,956শেষ তারিখ
Oct 22, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 27, 2026, 7:06 PM ETরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...The Bank of Korea’s October 22 decision carries an elevated implied probability of no change, reflecting the central bank’s recent back-to-back 25 basis point hikes in July and August that lifted the policy rate to 3.00 percent. Policymakers have signaled a preference for assessing lagged effects on inflation, household borrowing, and housing prices before further tightening, with the latest Monetary Policy Board minutes underscoring divisions over pace and a preference for gradual adjustment. Robust semiconductor-driven growth, upwardly revised 2026 GDP forecasts to 3.3 percent, and persistent core inflation above target support expectations for one additional hike by year-end, yet the widened Korea-U.S. rate differential following the Fed’s September move has complicated timing. Market-implied odds align with analyst consensus favoring a November move over October, consistent with the board’s dot-plot median of 3.25 percent for end-2026.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা