Stella Lefty’s “Boston” commands overwhelming trader consensus at 97.5% implied probability for the Billboard Hot 100’s No. 2 spot the week of August 29 because of its proven momentum and perfectly timed album catalyst. The track has already logged multiple weeks in the top five, driven by strong streaming, radio airplay gains, and sales that pushed it as high as No. 3 earlier in 2026. Its parent debut album Long Way Home drops August 21, positioning the single for an immediate post-release surge in consumption metrics that typically lift recent hits into the upper chart ranks. While major competitors from Taylor Swift, Morgan Wallen, Ariana Grande, Ella Langley, and Olivia Rodrigo sit at single-digit odds, an upset would require one of those artists to deliver an unexpectedly dominant new release or re-entry that outpaces “Boston’s” established baseline in the final tracking days.