Aisha Wahab holds the strongest position in the June 16 special primary for California's 14th congressional district following Eric Swalwell's April resignation amid misconduct allegations. The California Democratic Party's endorsement and her status as a sitting state senator have consolidated support in this heavily Democratic East Bay seat, driving trader consensus toward her as the likely winner of the partial term through January 2027. Other Democratic contenders including Rakhi Israni Singh and Melissa Hernandez remain active in a crowded field, while Republican Wendy Huang and additional candidates such as Matt Ortega and Carin Elam compete for narrower shares. A top-two outcome without an outright majority would advance to the August 18 special general, though current positioning and historical patterns in similar open-seat races favor the endorsed front-runner unless late shifts in turnout or endorsements occur.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডCA-14 Special Election Winner?
CA-14 Special Election Winner?
Aisha Wahab 89%
Rakhi Israni Singh 16.0%
Matt Ortega 4.0%
Melissa Hernandez 3.8%
Aisha Wahab
89%
Melissa Hernandez
4%
Wendy Huang
1%
Carin Elam
4%
Matt Ortega
4%
Rakhi Israni Singh
28%
Victor Aguilar Jr.
4%
Aisha Wahab 89%
Rakhi Israni Singh 16.0%
Matt Ortega 4.0%
Melissa Hernandez 3.8%
Aisha Wahab
89%
Melissa Hernandez
4%
Wendy Huang
1%
Carin Elam
4%
Matt Ortega
4%
Rakhi Israni Singh
28%
Victor Aguilar Jr.
4%
This market will resolve according to the winner of this election.
This market includes any potential runoff election or second round.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including: https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Apr 16, 2026, 1:41 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the winner of this election.
This market includes any potential runoff election or second round.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including: https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Aisha Wahab holds the strongest position in the June 16 special primary for California's 14th congressional district following Eric Swalwell's April resignation amid misconduct allegations. The California Democratic Party's endorsement and her status as a sitting state senator have consolidated support in this heavily Democratic East Bay seat, driving trader consensus toward her as the likely winner of the partial term through January 2027. Other Democratic contenders including Rakhi Israni Singh and Melissa Hernandez remain active in a crowded field, while Republican Wendy Huang and additional candidates such as Matt Ortega and Carin Elam compete for narrower shares. A top-two outcome without an outright majority would advance to the August 18 special general, though current positioning and historical patterns in similar open-seat races favor the endorsed front-runner unless late shifts in turnout or endorsements occur.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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