Elon Musk’s established X posting rhythm drives the current trader consensus, with the 40-64 tweet bracket holding the highest implied probability at 49.5 percent for the August 3-5 window. Historical daily averages of roughly 10-20 main posts, quote tweets, and reposts—absent major breaking news or company milestones—support moderate volume over the three-day span, consistent with recent tracker data showing steady rather than spike activity. The 27.6 percent chance on under 40 tweets and 20.5 percent on 65-89 reflect expectations of typical engagement without catalysts like product launches or political events that could accelerate output. Market-implied odds remain anchored by his predictable cadence, though any unexpected X-related developments could quickly shift sentiment before the period closes.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডElon Musk # tweets August 3 - August 5, 2026?
Elon Musk # tweets August 3 - August 5, 2026?
40-64 50%
<40 27.2%
65-89 21%
90-114 3.4%
$143,280 Vol.
$143,280 Vol.
Aug 5, 2026
<40
27%
40-64
50%
65-89
21%
90-114
3%
115-139
<1%
140-164
<1%
165-189
<1%
190-214
<1%
215-239
<1%
240+
<1%
40-64 50%
<40 27.2%
65-89 21%
90-114 3.4%
$143,280 Vol.
$143,280 Vol.
Aug 5, 2026
<40
$27,898 Vol.
27%
40-64
$22,675 Vol.
50%
65-89
$18,132 Vol.
21%
90-114
$15,607 Vol.
3%
115-139
$20,031 Vol.
<1%
140-164
$14,580 Vol.
<1%
165-189
$8,185 Vol.
<1%
190-214
$6,641 Vol.
<1%
215-239
$5,865 Vol.
<1%
240+
$3,668 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 3 12:00 PM ET to August 5, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk’s established X posting rhythm drives the current trader consensus, with the 40-64 tweet bracket holding the highest implied probability at 49.5 percent for the August 3-5 window. Historical daily averages of roughly 10-20 main posts, quote tweets, and reposts—absent major breaking news or company milestones—support moderate volume over the three-day span, consistent with recent tracker data showing steady rather than spike activity. The 27.6 percent chance on under 40 tweets and 20.5 percent on 65-89 reflect expectations of typical engagement without catalysts like product launches or political events that could accelerate output. Market-implied odds remain anchored by his predictable cadence, though any unexpected X-related developments could quickly shift sentiment before the period closes.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 3 12:00 PM ET to August 5, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 1, 2026, 12:07 PM ET
ভলিউম
$143,280শেষ তারিখ
Aug 5, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 1, 2026, 12:07 PM ETরেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 3 12:00 PM ET to August 5, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk’s established X posting rhythm drives the current trader consensus, with the 40-64 tweet bracket holding the highest implied probability at 49.5 percent for the August 3-5 window. Historical daily averages of roughly 10-20 main posts, quote tweets, and reposts—absent major breaking news or company milestones—support moderate volume over the three-day span, consistent with recent tracker data showing steady rather than spike activity. The 27.6 percent chance on under 40 tweets and 20.5 percent on 65-89 reflect expectations of typical engagement without catalysts like product launches or political events that could accelerate output. Market-implied odds remain anchored by his predictable cadence, though any unexpected X-related developments could quickly shift sentiment before the period closes.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 3 12:00 PM ET to August 5, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
ভলিউম
$143,280শেষ তারিখ
Aug 5, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 1, 2026, 12:07 PM ETরেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Elon Musk’s established X posting rhythm drives the current trader consensus, with the 40-64 tweet bracket holding the highest implied probability at 49.5 percent for the August 3-5 window. Historical daily averages of roughly 10-20 main posts, quote tweets, and reposts—absent major breaking news or company milestones—support moderate volume over the three-day span, consistent with recent tracker data showing steady rather than spike activity. The 27.6 percent chance on under 40 tweets and 20.5 percent on 65-89 reflect expectations of typical engagement without catalysts like product launches or political events that could accelerate output. Market-implied odds remain anchored by his predictable cadence, though any unexpected X-related developments could quickly shift sentiment before the period closes.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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