Recent moderate posting activity anchors trader consensus around the 40-64 range for Elon Musk’s X activity from August 3–5. Trackers show Musk averaging roughly 30–35 posts per day in late July and early August, a pace that aligns with the market’s top outcome at 50.5% implied probability after typical weekend adjustments and strict resolution criteria that count original posts, quotes, and reposts while excluding replies. Lower-volume buckets below 40 capture 25.1% amid the possibility of quieter days, while higher ranges remain discounted absent company news, political developments, or viral threads that historically drive spikes. No major catalysts have emerged in the past week to shift the current trajectory.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডElon Musk # tweets August 3 - August 5, 2026?
Elon Musk # tweets August 3 - August 5, 2026?
40-64 50%
<40 25.8%
65-89 21%
90-114 4.0%
$143,280 Vol.
$143,280 Vol.
Aug 5, 2026
<40
26%
40-64
50%
65-89
21%
90-114
4%
115-139
1%
140-164
<1%
165-189
<1%
190-214
<1%
215-239
<1%
240+
<1%
40-64 50%
<40 25.8%
65-89 21%
90-114 4.0%
$143,280 Vol.
$143,280 Vol.
Aug 5, 2026
<40
$27,898 Vol.
26%
40-64
$22,675 Vol.
50%
65-89
$18,132 Vol.
21%
90-114
$15,607 Vol.
4%
115-139
$20,031 Vol.
1%
140-164
$14,580 Vol.
<1%
165-189
$8,185 Vol.
<1%
190-214
$6,641 Vol.
<1%
215-239
$5,865 Vol.
<1%
240+
$3,668 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 3 12:00 PM ET to August 5, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Recent moderate posting activity anchors trader consensus around the 40-64 range for Elon Musk’s X activity from August 3–5. Trackers show Musk averaging roughly 30–35 posts per day in late July and early August, a pace that aligns with the market’s top outcome at 50.5% implied probability after typical weekend adjustments and strict resolution criteria that count original posts, quotes, and reposts while excluding replies. Lower-volume buckets below 40 capture 25.1% amid the possibility of quieter days, while higher ranges remain discounted absent company news, political developments, or viral threads that historically drive spikes. No major catalysts have emerged in the past week to shift the current trajectory.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 3 12:00 PM ET to August 5, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 1, 2026, 12:07 PM ET
ভলিউম
$143,280শেষ তারিখ
Aug 5, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 1, 2026, 12:07 PM ETরেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 3 12:00 PM ET to August 5, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Recent moderate posting activity anchors trader consensus around the 40-64 range for Elon Musk’s X activity from August 3–5. Trackers show Musk averaging roughly 30–35 posts per day in late July and early August, a pace that aligns with the market’s top outcome at 50.5% implied probability after typical weekend adjustments and strict resolution criteria that count original posts, quotes, and reposts while excluding replies. Lower-volume buckets below 40 capture 25.1% amid the possibility of quieter days, while higher ranges remain discounted absent company news, political developments, or viral threads that historically drive spikes. No major catalysts have emerged in the past week to shift the current trajectory.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 3 12:00 PM ET to August 5, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
ভলিউম
$143,280শেষ তারিখ
Aug 5, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 1, 2026, 12:07 PM ETরেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent moderate posting activity anchors trader consensus around the 40-64 range for Elon Musk’s X activity from August 3–5. Trackers show Musk averaging roughly 30–35 posts per day in late July and early August, a pace that aligns with the market’s top outcome at 50.5% implied probability after typical weekend adjustments and strict resolution criteria that count original posts, quotes, and reposts while excluding replies. Lower-volume buckets below 40 capture 25.1% amid the possibility of quieter days, while higher ranges remain discounted absent company news, political developments, or viral threads that historically drive spikes. No major catalysts have emerged in the past week to shift the current trajectory.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা