Recent Grok 4.7 rollout momentum and Musk’s established baseline of 20–30 daily posts on X are anchoring trader sentiment for the September 22–29 window, with the closely matched 180–199 and 200–219 brackets each at 22.5% implied probability. Historical weekly totals have repeatedly settled in the low-to-mid 200s during non-crisis stretches, driven by routine replies, quotes, and promotions rather than major external catalysts. The current partial count sits lower, yet AI-related engagement clusters and the upcoming Starship orbital attempt introduce swing potential that could push volume higher or keep it steady. Traders view these mid-range outcomes as the consensus sweet spot reflecting X’s platform dynamics, while lower or extreme brackets price in the low probability of sustained spikes or quiet periods.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড200-219 23%
180-199 22%
220-239 17%
160-179 15%
$175,460 Vol.
$175,460 Vol.
<20
<1%
20-39
<1%
40-59
<1%
60-79
<1%
80-99
<1%
100-119
1%
120-139
2%
140-159
5%
160-179
15%
180-199
22%
200-219
23%
220-239
17%
240-259
10%
260-279
6%
280-299
3%
300-319
2%
320-339
1%
340-359
1%
360-379
1%
380-399
1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500+
<1%
200-219 23%
180-199 22%
220-239 17%
160-179 15%
$175,460 Vol.
$175,460 Vol.
<20
<1%
20-39
<1%
40-59
<1%
60-79
<1%
80-99
<1%
100-119
1%
120-139
2%
140-159
5%
160-179
15%
180-199
22%
200-219
23%
220-239
17%
240-259
10%
260-279
6%
280-299
3%
300-319
2%
320-339
1%
340-359
1%
360-379
1%
380-399
1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500+
<1%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Sep 19, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://x.com/elonmuskরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://x.com/elonmuskরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...Recent Grok 4.7 rollout momentum and Musk’s established baseline of 20–30 daily posts on X are anchoring trader sentiment for the September 22–29 window, with the closely matched 180–199 and 200–219 brackets each at 22.5% implied probability. Historical weekly totals have repeatedly settled in the low-to-mid 200s during non-crisis stretches, driven by routine replies, quotes, and promotions rather than major external catalysts. The current partial count sits lower, yet AI-related engagement clusters and the upcoming Starship orbital attempt introduce swing potential that could push volume higher or keep it steady. Traders view these mid-range outcomes as the consensus sweet spot reflecting X’s platform dynamics, while lower or extreme brackets price in the low probability of sustained spikes or quiet periods.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা