Anthropic’s latest Claude variants, particularly Fable 5.1, currently lead Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboards with scores of 59–65% as of mid-September 2026, driven by iterative advances in adaptive reasoning, extended thinking modes, and tool integration on the 2,500-question benchmark. These releases have clustered Anthropic models at the top, outpacing OpenAI’s GPT-5.4 Pro and other frontier systems by several points while the benchmark approaches partial saturation for leading labs. Trader sentiment reflects confidence in Anthropic’s release cadence and reasoning-focused training through year-end, tempered by the possibility of further gains from competitors or refinements in evaluation methods before December 31. Key upcoming catalysts include additional Claude iterations and any major benchmark updates from Scale AI or Artificial Analysis.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড$106,129 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
55%+
81%
60%+
43%
65%+
19%
70%+
13%
75%+
9%
$106,129 Vol.
55%+
$26,759 Vol.
81%
60%+
$45,258 Vol.
43%
65%+
$28,311 Vol.
19%
70%+
$4,458 Vol.
13%
75%+
$1,344 Vol.
9%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Anthropic Claude model achieves at least the specified accuracy on Humanity’s Last Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".Anthropic’s latest Claude variants, particularly Fable 5.1, currently lead Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboards with scores of 59–65% as of mid-September 2026, driven by iterative advances in adaptive reasoning, extended thinking modes, and tool integration on the 2,500-question benchmark. These releases have clustered Anthropic models at the top, outpacing OpenAI’s GPT-5.4 Pro and other frontier systems by several points while the benchmark approaches partial saturation for leading labs. Trader sentiment reflects confidence in Anthropic’s release cadence and reasoning-focused training through year-end, tempered by the possibility of further gains from competitors or refinements in evaluation methods before December 31. Key upcoming catalysts include additional Claude iterations and any major benchmark updates from Scale AI or Artificial Analysis.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Anthropic Claude model achieves at least the specified accuracy on Humanity’s Last Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Jul 23, 2026, 6:42 PM ET
ভলিউম
$106,129শেষ তারিখ
Jan 1, 2027মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jul 23, 2026, 6:42 PM ETরেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://agi.safe.ai/রেজলভার
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Anthropic Claude model achieves at least the specified accuracy on Humanity’s Last Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".Anthropic’s latest Claude variants, particularly Fable 5.1, currently lead Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboards with scores of 59–65% as of mid-September 2026, driven by iterative advances in adaptive reasoning, extended thinking modes, and tool integration on the 2,500-question benchmark. These releases have clustered Anthropic models at the top, outpacing OpenAI’s GPT-5.4 Pro and other frontier systems by several points while the benchmark approaches partial saturation for leading labs. Trader sentiment reflects confidence in Anthropic’s release cadence and reasoning-focused training through year-end, tempered by the possibility of further gains from competitors or refinements in evaluation methods before December 31. Key upcoming catalysts include additional Claude iterations and any major benchmark updates from Scale AI or Artificial Analysis.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Anthropic Claude model achieves at least the specified accuracy on Humanity’s Last Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".
ভলিউম
$106,129শেষ তারিখ
Jan 1, 2027মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jul 23, 2026, 6:42 PM ETরেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://agi.safe.ai/রেজলভার
0x65070BE91...Anthropic’s latest Claude variants, particularly Fable 5.1, currently lead Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboards with scores of 59–65% as of mid-September 2026, driven by iterative advances in adaptive reasoning, extended thinking modes, and tool integration on the 2,500-question benchmark. These releases have clustered Anthropic models at the top, outpacing OpenAI’s GPT-5.4 Pro and other frontier systems by several points while the benchmark approaches partial saturation for leading labs. Trader sentiment reflects confidence in Anthropic’s release cadence and reasoning-focused training through year-end, tempered by the possibility of further gains from competitors or refinements in evaluation methods before December 31. Key upcoming catalysts include additional Claude iterations and any major benchmark updates from Scale AI or Artificial Analysis.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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