Anthropic's recent $65 billion Series H round at a $965 billion post-money valuation in May 2026, paired with its June confidential SEC filing targeting a fall 2026 IPO window as early as September or October, drives the 64.5% market-implied probability for a closing market cap above $1.8 trillion. Traders cite the company's run-rate revenue exceeding $47 billion, projected operating profit, and competitive positioning in large language models as factors supporting a substantial first-day premium over the private valuation, similar to recent SpaceX momentum. With only a 4.9% chance assigned to no IPO by December 2027, the consensus reflects high confidence in the timeline amid favorable AI sector dynamics, though execution risks around regulatory review and market conditions remain.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডAnthropic IPO Closing Market Cap (Middle Brackets)
1.8T+ 65%
1.5–1.8T 16.5%
1.2–1.5T 12.0%
No IPO by December 31, 2027 4.9%
$308,927 Vol.
$308,927 Vol.
<0.6T
2%
0.6–0.9T
2%
0.9–1.2T
4%
1.2–1.5T
9%
1.5–1.8T
17%
1.8T+
65%
No IPO by December 31, 2027
5%
1.8T+ 65%
1.5–1.8T 16.5%
1.2–1.5T 12.0%
No IPO by December 31, 2027 4.9%
$308,927 Vol.
$308,927 Vol.
<0.6T
2%
0.6–0.9T
2%
0.9–1.2T
4%
1.2–1.5T
9%
1.5–1.8T
17%
1.8T+
65%
No IPO by December 31, 2027
5%
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Apr 30, 2026, 3:13 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Anthropic's recent $65 billion Series H round at a $965 billion post-money valuation in May 2026, paired with its June confidential SEC filing targeting a fall 2026 IPO window as early as September or October, drives the 64.5% market-implied probability for a closing market cap above $1.8 trillion. Traders cite the company's run-rate revenue exceeding $47 billion, projected operating profit, and competitive positioning in large language models as factors supporting a substantial first-day premium over the private valuation, similar to recent SpaceX momentum. With only a 4.9% chance assigned to no IPO by December 2027, the consensus reflects high confidence in the timeline amid favorable AI sector dynamics, though execution risks around regulatory review and market conditions remain.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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