Trader consensus on Polymarket strongly favors an Anthropic IPO closing above $600 billion at 88% implied probability, driven by explosive secondary market valuations exceeding $1 trillion—up over 900% since late 2025—and fresh reports of talks for a $30 billion funding round at a $900 billion-plus valuation as of May 12, 2026. Claude large language model advancements, including enterprise adoption surpassing OpenAI with $30 billion run-rate revenue, have fueled this surge, alongside strategic backing from Amazon and Google amid intensifying AI competition. Lower brackets languish below 2% as private valuations eclipse them, while an 11% no-IPO-by-2027 chance reflects execution risks despite Q4 2026 IPO groundwork with bankers and law firms. Watch for funding closure and Claude capability demos as key catalysts.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড600B+ 88%
No IPO by December 31, 2027 11%
400–600B 1.6%
300–400B <1%
$297,523 Vol.
$297,523 Vol.
Dec 31, 2027
<100B
<1%
100–200B
<1%
200–300B
<1%
300–400B
<1%
400–600B
2%
600B+
88%
No IPO by December 31, 2027
11%
600B+ 88%
No IPO by December 31, 2027 11%
400–600B 1.6%
300–400B <1%
$297,523 Vol.
$297,523 Vol.
Dec 31, 2027
<100B
$138,181 Vol.
<1%
100–200B
$53,388 Vol.
<1%
200–300B
$8,864 Vol.
<1%
300–400B
$60,093 Vol.
<1%
400–600B
$9,125 Vol.
2%
600B+
$15,215 Vol.
88%
No IPO by December 31, 2027
$12,657 Vol.
11%
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket strongly favors an Anthropic IPO closing above $600 billion at 88% implied probability, driven by explosive secondary market valuations exceeding $1 trillion—up over 900% since late 2025—and fresh reports of talks for a $30 billion funding round at a $900 billion-plus valuation as of May 12, 2026. Claude large language model advancements, including enterprise adoption surpassing OpenAI with $30 billion run-rate revenue, have fueled this surge, alongside strategic backing from Amazon and Google amid intensifying AI competition. Lower brackets languish below 2% as private valuations eclipse them, while an 11% no-IPO-by-2027 chance reflects execution risks despite Q4 2026 IPO groundwork with bankers and law firms. Watch for funding closure and Claude capability demos as key catalysts.
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Feb 4, 2026, 1:21 PM ET
ভলিউম
$297,523শেষ তারিখ
Dec 31, 2027মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Feb 4, 2026, 1:21 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket strongly favors an Anthropic IPO closing above $600 billion at 88% implied probability, driven by explosive secondary market valuations exceeding $1 trillion—up over 900% since late 2025—and fresh reports of talks for a $30 billion funding round at a $900 billion-plus valuation as of May 12, 2026. Claude large language model advancements, including enterprise adoption surpassing OpenAI with $30 billion run-rate revenue, have fueled this surge, alongside strategic backing from Amazon and Google amid intensifying AI competition. Lower brackets languish below 2% as private valuations eclipse them, while an 11% no-IPO-by-2027 chance reflects execution risks despite Q4 2026 IPO groundwork with bankers and law firms. Watch for funding closure and Claude capability demos as key catalysts.
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
ভলিউম
$297,523শেষ তারিখ
Dec 31, 2027মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Feb 4, 2026, 1:21 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket strongly favors an Anthropic IPO closing above $600 billion at 88% implied probability, driven by explosive secondary market valuations exceeding $1 trillion—up over 900% since late 2025—and fresh reports of talks for a $30 billion funding round at a $900 billion-plus valuation as of May 12, 2026. Claude large language model advancements, including enterprise adoption surpassing OpenAI with $30 billion run-rate revenue, have fueled this surge, alongside strategic backing from Amazon and Google amid intensifying AI competition. Lower brackets languish below 2% as private valuations eclipse them, while an 11% no-IPO-by-2027 chance reflects execution risks despite Q4 2026 IPO groundwork with bankers and law firms. Watch for funding closure and Claude capability demos as key catalysts.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা