**Anthropic’s recent Claude Fable 5.1, Opus 5, and Mythos 5 releases have driven the current frontier on Humanity’s Last Exam (HLE), a 2,500-question expert-authored benchmark spanning mathematics, sciences, and humanities designed to resist saturation.** As of mid-September 2026, these models lead public leaderboards at 64.5–65%, ahead of Meta’s Muse Spark 1.1 (~62%) and OpenAI’s GPT-5.4 Pro (~59%), reflecting gains from advanced reasoning techniques and tool use. Scores have climbed steadily through 2026 from the mid-40s earlier in the year, though differences across evaluation setups (text-only vs. multimodal, with/without tools) create some variance. With three-plus months remaining until year-end resolution, further model updates from Anthropic or rivals could push the highest 2026 score higher, while the benchmark’s difficulty limits rapid jumps beyond the low-to-mid 60s without major breakthroughs. Trader consensus centers on these competitive releases as the key swing factor.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড$71,625 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
60%+
52%
65%+
29%
70%+
15%
75%+
11%
80%+
7%
90%+
5%
$71,625 Vol.
60%+
$40,843 Vol.
52%
65%+
$16,633 Vol.
29%
70%+
$6,392 Vol.
15%
75%+
$3,602 Vol.
11%
80%+
$1,710 Vol.
7%
90%+
$2,445 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model achieves at least the specified accuracy on Humanity’s Last Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".**Anthropic’s recent Claude Fable 5.1, Opus 5, and Mythos 5 releases have driven the current frontier on Humanity’s Last Exam (HLE), a 2,500-question expert-authored benchmark spanning mathematics, sciences, and humanities designed to resist saturation.** As of mid-September 2026, these models lead public leaderboards at 64.5–65%, ahead of Meta’s Muse Spark 1.1 (~62%) and OpenAI’s GPT-5.4 Pro (~59%), reflecting gains from advanced reasoning techniques and tool use. Scores have climbed steadily through 2026 from the mid-40s earlier in the year, though differences across evaluation setups (text-only vs. multimodal, with/without tools) create some variance. With three-plus months remaining until year-end resolution, further model updates from Anthropic or rivals could push the highest 2026 score higher, while the benchmark’s difficulty limits rapid jumps beyond the low-to-mid 60s without major breakthroughs. Trader consensus centers on these competitive releases as the key swing factor.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model achieves at least the specified accuracy on Humanity’s Last Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Jul 23, 2026, 6:41 PM ET
ভলিউম
$71,625শেষ তারিখ
Jan 1, 2027মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jul 23, 2026, 6:41 PM ETরেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://agi.safe.ai/রেজলভার
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model achieves at least the specified accuracy on Humanity’s Last Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".**Anthropic’s recent Claude Fable 5.1, Opus 5, and Mythos 5 releases have driven the current frontier on Humanity’s Last Exam (HLE), a 2,500-question expert-authored benchmark spanning mathematics, sciences, and humanities designed to resist saturation.** As of mid-September 2026, these models lead public leaderboards at 64.5–65%, ahead of Meta’s Muse Spark 1.1 (~62%) and OpenAI’s GPT-5.4 Pro (~59%), reflecting gains from advanced reasoning techniques and tool use. Scores have climbed steadily through 2026 from the mid-40s earlier in the year, though differences across evaluation setups (text-only vs. multimodal, with/without tools) create some variance. With three-plus months remaining until year-end resolution, further model updates from Anthropic or rivals could push the highest 2026 score higher, while the benchmark’s difficulty limits rapid jumps beyond the low-to-mid 60s without major breakthroughs. Trader consensus centers on these competitive releases as the key swing factor.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model achieves at least the specified accuracy on Humanity’s Last Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".
ভলিউম
$71,625শেষ তারিখ
Jan 1, 2027মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jul 23, 2026, 6:41 PM ETরেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://agi.safe.ai/রেজলভার
0x65070BE91...**Anthropic’s recent Claude Fable 5.1, Opus 5, and Mythos 5 releases have driven the current frontier on Humanity’s Last Exam (HLE), a 2,500-question expert-authored benchmark spanning mathematics, sciences, and humanities designed to resist saturation.** As of mid-September 2026, these models lead public leaderboards at 64.5–65%, ahead of Meta’s Muse Spark 1.1 (~62%) and OpenAI’s GPT-5.4 Pro (~59%), reflecting gains from advanced reasoning techniques and tool use. Scores have climbed steadily through 2026 from the mid-40s earlier in the year, though differences across evaluation setups (text-only vs. multimodal, with/without tools) create some variance. With three-plus months remaining until year-end resolution, further model updates from Anthropic or rivals could push the highest 2026 score higher, while the benchmark’s difficulty limits rapid jumps beyond the low-to-mid 60s without major breakthroughs. Trader consensus centers on these competitive releases as the key swing factor.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডসম্পর্কিত
Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?
78%
Will the highest score achieved by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?
36%
Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?
81%
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বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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